4070 Mccall Ln · Marianna, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fantastic opportunity to own at this location. Plenty of upside potential with this one. Over 1800 sqft on 1 acre. Also has a detached finished out building that would make a great office or music room. Home needs some repairs and updates but priced with plenty of room. Power is on and well works. Would make a great rehab to sell or long-term rental. Laminate floors in most of the home. Metal roof. Cash offers only due to repairs needed.
Key facts
- Laminate floors
- Metal roof
- Great office
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed
Exterior
- Home design: Double wide mobile home; Zoned for single-family residential
- Exterior features: Workshop on the property; Paved lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor (11 x 10 and 10 x 10); Primary bedroom on the first floor (12 x 14)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Total of 3 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.3% in Marianna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#592 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.33%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $11,774
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $42,965
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32448
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,220 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,077/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $398
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $84,000 Pending 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-25$89,000 Active
-
1996-02-23soldstatus $77,000
-
1995-08-04soldstatus $58,100
-
1986-05-01soldstatus $28,800
-
1984-03-01soldstatus $59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,077 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,077 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,638
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,077
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,171
- − Management
- −$1,171
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $3,650
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$876
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,905/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson
- NCES district ID
- 1200960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,824
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3358
- State rank
- #39 of 73 in FL
Livability — Marianna
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #592
- US rank
- #11318
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,041
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,095 people
- By 2030
- 44,432 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 41,077 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 37,587 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 28,921 · -37.3%
- By 2100
- 19,332 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 41% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.86%
- Current HPI
- 140.1373
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+50.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $89,000 CPARMLS
- 1996-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1995-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $58,100 Public Records
- 1986-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,800 Public Records
- 1984-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+21.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,077 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…