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625 Main St #643
D Composite 41.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$649,000

625 Main St #643 · New York, NY 10044
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 803 sqft · Condo · 333 Days on market
Built 1975 $804/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

All showings are by appointment. Apartment 643 at 625 Main Street is a spacious and serene oversized 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home that offers a perfect escape from the hustle and bustle of city life. With its generous layout and thoughtful design, this residence provides plenty of room to live, entertain, and unwind in comfort. Step into a welcoming foyer that sets the stage for this beautifully appointed home. The open-concept kitchen is a dream for both everyday cooks and seasoned chefs alike, featuring top-of-the-line stainless steel appliances, abundant cabinet space, and sleek granite countertops that extend into a breakfast bar-seamlessly connecting the kitchen to the expansive dining

Key facts

  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Granite countertops
  • Breakfast bar

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSBREAKFAST BAREXPANSIVE DINING AREAEXTRA-LONG LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building contains 361 total units; Pets allowed in building
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $804; Building amenities include bike storage, indoor pool, and storage

Exterior

  • Home design: Condominium in a 19-story building; Unit entry level: 643
  • Construction: Building name: Westview
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Basement: Other; Total of 3 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer allowed in unit; Building laundry other (building provides laundry facilities)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $649k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-900 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $519k (20.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $556k (14.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $519k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 32 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,556/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 1319% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
  • New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($571k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $518,767 (20.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
4.63%
Cash-on-cash
-5.94%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.72% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$49,892
Equity at exit
$318,620
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$233,377
Equity at exit
$512,975

Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10044

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,556 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,403
Tax est. 1.5%
$811 /mo · $9,735/yr
Insurance
$270
HOA
$804
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,167
Net cashflow
$-900

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,695
Max offer price $518,767
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-452 -5% $-676 +0% $-900 +5% $-1,124 +10% $-1,349
Rent -10% $-1,339 -5% $-1,119 +0% $-900 +5% $-681 +10% $-461
Rate -1.0pp $-573 -0.5pp $-735 base $-900 +0.5pp $-1,068 +1.0pp $-1,239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$162,250
Closing costs
$19,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
515 E 72nd St Unit 17D New York, NY 1.0 1.0 687 $5,500 $8.01 25d 1 0.32mi
501 E 74th St #1572 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 1000 $10,210 $10.21 22d 1 0.40mi
403 E 69th St #1518 New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 745 $3,990 $5.36 25d 3 0.45mi
411 E 68th St Unit 1021976P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 893 $6,792 $7.61 23d 1 0.46mi
1290 1st Ave #1499 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 671 $6,100 $9.09 4d 2 0.47mi
888 Main St New York, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 908 $4,928 $5.43 0d 8 0.48mi
885 Main St #705 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $4,800 $4.36 0d 1 0.51mi
885 Main St Unit 6B New York, NY 2.0 2.0 950 $5,300 $5.58 0d 1 0.51mi
400 E 66th St Unit 1016404P New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $10,597 $13.40 4d 2 0.51mi
1373 1st Ave Unit 1952 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 650 $7,260 $11.17 25d 1 0.53mi
360 E 65th St #1283 New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1059 $4,840 $4.57 4d 3 0.55mi
404 E 76th St New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $4,895 $4.89 5d 2 0.55mi
404 E 76th St Unit 19C New York, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $7,500 $6.82 25d 1 0.55mi
403 E 62nd St Unit 14C New York, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $4,900 $7.54 23d 1 0.59mi
300 E 69th St Unit 1294661P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 839 $6,870 $8.19 21d 1 0.61mi
1310 2nd Ave Unit 1224958P New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 699 $5,450 $7.80 3d 2 0.61mi
435 E 79th St New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 943 $5,500 $5.83 9d 3 0.62mi
420 E 80th St #198 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 623 $4,760 $7.64 19d 1 0.65mi
304 E 65th St Unit 11C New York, NY 1.0 1.0 770 $5,450 $7.08 16d 1 0.65mi
347 E 78th St Unit 1460467P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 645 $7,606 $11.79 25d 1 0.68mi
347 E 78th St Unit 1530420P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 645 $6,270 $9.72 23d 1 0.68mi
301 E 63rd St New York, NY 2.0 1.0 975 $6,650 $6.82 5d 1 0.69mi
308 E 78th St #2024 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 550 $4,610 $8.38 25d 2 0.71mi
315 E 78th St Unit 1021894P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 548 $5,643 $10.30 23d 1 0.71mi
220 E 65th St New York, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $5,950 $8.50 3d 1 0.72mi
231 E 76th St #1530 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $6,470 $9.95 22d 1 0.74mi
501 1/2 E 83rd St #1998 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 525 $4,710 $8.97 25d 2 0.75mi
225 E 63rd St #1675 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 627 $5,230 $8.34 25d 2 0.76mi
301 E 79th St Unit 28P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $5,500 $7.86 25d 1 0.76mi
599 E 56th St Unit 1817 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 625 $4,850 $7.76 25d 1 0.77mi
1567 York Ave Unit 1021866P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 742 $5,910 $7.96 23d 1 0.78mi
220 E 63rd St #567 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $6,460 $8.07 22d 1 0.78mi
252 E 61st St #638 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 666 $5,530 $8.30 3d 2 0.78mi
329 E 58th St #807 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 650 $5,860 $9.02 9d 1 0.79mi
400 E 57th St #2106 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 903 $6,610 $7.32 4d 3 0.80mi
412 E 55th St New York, NY 1.0 1.0 767 $5,250 $6.84 25d 1 0.86mi
300 E 57th St #1714 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 820 $5,800 $7.07 22d 1 0.89mi
515 E 86th St Unit 589 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 695 $6,070 $8.73 21d 1 0.90mi
420 E 54th St New York, NY 3.0 1.0–2.5 1018 $7,261 $7.13 0d 12 0.91mi
227 E 57th St Unit 14C New York, NY 1.0 1.0 780 $4,750 $6.09 25d 1 0.92mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$804 · $9,648/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $649,000 Active 333 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $649,000 Active 330 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $649,000 Active 329 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $649,000 Active 327 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $649,000 Active 325 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $649,000 Active 321 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $649,000 Active 320 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $649,000 Active 315 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $649,000 Active 313 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $649,000 Active 312 DOM
  11. 2025-09-23
    status Active
  12. 2025-06-06
    listed $649,000 Active
  13. 2021-08-20
    listed $595,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$66,670
− Mortgage interest
−$36,354
− Property taxes
−$9,735
− Insurance
−$3,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,334
− Management
−$5,334
− HOA
−$9,648
− Depreciation
−$18,880
Taxable loss
−$21,860
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,246
After-tax cash flow
$-5,554/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
New York County · 1,599,927 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
11,520
Household income
$103,347
Rent vs Own
81.1% rent · 18.9% own
Severe rent burden
1319.0

Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,825,725 people
By 2030
1,904,611 · +4.3%
By 2040
2,052,719 · +12.4%
By 2050
2,206,601 · +20.9%
By 2075
2,509,427 · +37.4%
By 2100
2,702,933 · +48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Asian 29% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Danish 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
54% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
43% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Chinese 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9%

Political lean MEDSL · New York

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.72%
Current HPI
200.3549
Rent YoY
▲ 3.58%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-23 Relisted RLS at REBNY
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $649,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2021-08-20 Listed $595,000 RLS at REBNY

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…