625 Main St #643 · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$649,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
All showings are by appointment. Apartment 643 at 625 Main Street is a spacious and serene oversized 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home that offers a perfect escape from the hustle and bustle of city life. With its generous layout and thoughtful design, this residence provides plenty of room to live, entertain, and unwind in comfort. Step into a welcoming foyer that sets the stage for this beautifully appointed home. The open-concept kitchen is a dream for both everyday cooks and seasoned chefs alike, featuring top-of-the-line stainless steel appliances, abundant cabinet space, and sleek granite countertops that extend into a breakfast bar-seamlessly connecting the kitchen to the expansive dining
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Granite countertops
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building contains 361 total units; Pets allowed in building
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $804; Building amenities include bike storage, indoor pool, and storage
Exterior
- Home design: Condominium in a 19-story building; Unit entry level: 643
- Construction: Building name: Westview
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Basement: Other; Total of 3 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer allowed in unit; Building laundry other (building provides laundry facilities)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $649k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-900 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $519k (20.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $556k (14.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $519k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 32 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,556/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 1319% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($571k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.94%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.72% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $49,892
- Equity at exit
- $318,620
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $233,377
- Equity at exit
- $512,975
Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10044
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,556 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,403
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$811 /mo · $9,735/yr
- Insurance
- −$270
- HOA
- −$804
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,167
- Net cashflow
- $-900
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-452 | -5% $-676 | +0% $-900 | +5% $-1,124 | +10% $-1,349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,339 | -5% $-1,119 | +0% $-900 | +5% $-681 | +10% $-461 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-573 | -0.5pp $-735 | base $-900 | +0.5pp $-1,068 | +1.0pp $-1,239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,250
- Closing costs
- $19,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 E 72nd St Unit 17D New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $5,500 | $8.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 501 E 74th St #1572 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $10,210 | $10.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 403 E 69th St #1518 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $3,990 | $5.36 | 25d | 3 | 0.45mi |
| 411 E 68th St Unit 1021976P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $6,792 | $7.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1290 1st Ave #1499 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $6,100 | $9.09 | 4d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 888 Main St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $4,928 | $5.43 | 0d | 8 | 0.48mi |
| 885 Main St #705 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,800 | $4.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 885 Main St Unit 6B New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $5,300 | $5.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 400 E 66th St Unit 1016404P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $10,597 | $13.40 | 4d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 1373 1st Ave Unit 1952 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 650 | $7,260 | $11.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 360 E 65th St #1283 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1059 | $4,840 | $4.57 | 4d | 3 | 0.55mi |
| 404 E 76th St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $4,895 | $4.89 | 5d | 2 | 0.55mi |
| 404 E 76th St Unit 19C New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $7,500 | $6.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 403 E 62nd St Unit 14C New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $4,900 | $7.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 300 E 69th St Unit 1294661P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $6,870 | $8.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1310 2nd Ave Unit 1224958P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $5,450 | $7.80 | 3d | 2 | 0.61mi |
| 435 E 79th St New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $5,500 | $5.83 | 9d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 420 E 80th St #198 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 623 | $4,760 | $7.64 | 19d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 304 E 65th St Unit 11C New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $5,450 | $7.08 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 347 E 78th St Unit 1460467P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $7,606 | $11.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 347 E 78th St Unit 1530420P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $6,270 | $9.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 301 E 63rd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $6,650 | $6.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 308 E 78th St #2024 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $4,610 | $8.38 | 25d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 315 E 78th St Unit 1021894P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 548 | $5,643 | $10.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 220 E 65th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $5,950 | $8.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 231 E 76th St #1530 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $6,470 | $9.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 501 1/2 E 83rd St #1998 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $4,710 | $8.97 | 25d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 225 E 63rd St #1675 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 627 | $5,230 | $8.34 | 25d | 2 | 0.76mi |
| 301 E 79th St Unit 28P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $5,500 | $7.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 599 E 56th St Unit 1817 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $4,850 | $7.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1567 York Ave Unit 1021866P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $5,910 | $7.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 220 E 63rd St #567 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $6,460 | $8.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 252 E 61st St #638 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 666 | $5,530 | $8.30 | 3d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 329 E 58th St #807 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $5,860 | $9.02 | 9d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 400 E 57th St #2106 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $6,610 | $7.32 | 4d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 412 E 55th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $5,250 | $6.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 300 E 57th St #1714 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $5,800 | $7.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 515 E 86th St Unit 589 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $6,070 | $8.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 420 E 54th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1018 | $7,261 | $7.13 | 0d | 12 | 0.91mi |
| 227 E 57th St Unit 14C New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $4,750 | $6.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $804 · $9,648/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $649,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $649,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $649,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $649,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $649,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $649,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $649,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $649,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $649,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2025-09-23status Active
-
2025-06-06$649,000 Active
-
2021-08-20$595,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $66,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,354
- − Property taxes
- −$9,735
- − Insurance
- −$3,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,334
- − Management
- −$5,334
- − HOA
- −$9,648
- − Depreciation
- −$18,880
- Taxable loss
- −$21,860
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,246
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,554/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,520
- Household income
- $103,347
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1319.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Asian 29% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Danish 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 54% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Chinese 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.72%
- Current HPI
- 200.3549
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+9.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-23 Relisted — RLS at REBNY
- 2025-06-06 Listed $649,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2021-08-20 Listed $595,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…