8909 W 81st St · Overland Park, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Crisp And Clean With New Stove, Dishwasher, Disposal, Paint, And Carpet. 1st Floor Fam Rm W/ Fireplace. New Exterior Paint. Great Covered Deck. Rec Rm W/ Fresh Paint , New Carpet , & 1/2 Bath. (Bsmt. Shower Exc. From Inspections). Furn & Ca 4 Years. Rs Andrews Home Warranty Provided By Seller. $50 Deductable.
Key facts
- Large living room
- Nice-sized kitchen
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approx. 2,002; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,452 (per public records); Below-grade finished area approximately 550 (estimated); Age: 51–75 years
- HOA & community: No association fees; No maintenance provided
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Not in a flood plain; Located inside city limits
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central)
- Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Basement (partial/other); Fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Overland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#16 in KS, #1,851 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute D+.
- Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.51%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $381,843
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7909 Grandview St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,890 (+3%) | 0mo | $395,000 | $209 | 76 |
| 8812 W 82nd St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (-11%) | 2mo | $395,000 | $242 | 74 |
| 8915 W 81st St | 0.01mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,656 (-9%) | 7mo | $285,000 | $172 | 71 |
| 8817 W 82nd Ter | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 2,032 (+11%) | 0mo | $365,000 | $180 | 69 |
| 8412 England St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,916 (+5%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $136 | 68 |
| 8101 Goodman St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,868 (+2%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $134 | 66 |
| 8201 Antioch Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,634 (-11%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $229 | 65 |
| 7800 Hardy St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,856 (+2%) | 0mo | $420,000 | $226 | 64 |
| 9317 W 82nd St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-11%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $216 | 62 |
| 9312 W 81st Ter | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 2,040 (+12%) | 4mo | $399,000 | $196 | 61 |
| 8100 Lowell Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,075 (+14%) | 3mo | $339,950 | $164 | 38 |
| 9609 W 83rd Ter | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,552 (-15%) | 4mo | $445,000 | $287 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-16,781
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $21,861
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66204
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,223 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,357/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $356 | -5% $294 | +0% $231 | +5% $169 | +10% $107 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $56 | -5% $144 | +0% $231 | +5% $319 | +10% $407 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $342 | -0.5pp $287 | base $231 | +0.5pp $174 | +1.0pp $117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9010 W 82nd St Overland Park, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $2,179 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 9130 W 78th St Overland Park, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $1,745 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 9128 W 78th St Overland Park, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $1,745 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8403 Carter St Overland Park, KS | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1732 | $4,750 | $2.74 | 11d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9551 W 85th St Overland Park, KS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1026 | $1,225 | $1.19 | 13d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 8100 Perry St Overland Park, KS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 991 | $1,850 | $1.87 | 8d | 10 | 0.69mi |
| 8000 Perry St Overland Park, KS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,685 | $1.69 | 2d | 11 | 0.73mi |
| 8342 Wedd St Overland Park, KS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1223 | $1,455 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7512 Newton St Overland Park, KS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $2,095 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7650 Goddard St Shawnee, KS | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1225 | $1,925 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7405 W 74th St Overland Park, KS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2272 | $3,100 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7405 W 74th St Overland Park, KS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2272 | $3,100 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7106 Mastin St Unit 1 Shawnee, KS | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1700 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 6801 W 76th St Overland Park, KS | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1300 | $1,972 | $1.52 | 24d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 7109 Conser St Overland Park, KS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $2,600 | $1.52 | 8d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-15$219,900 Active
-
2000-08-28soldstatus
-
2000-08-25soldstatus 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Crisp And Clean With New Stove, Dishwasher, Disposal, Paint, And Carpet. 1st Floor Fam Rm W/ Fireplace. New Exterior Paint. Great Covered Deck. Rec Rm W/ Fresh Paint , New Carpet , & 1/2 Bath. (Bsmt. Shower Exc. From Inspections). Furn & Ca 4 Years. Rs Andrews Home Warranty Provided By Seller. $50 Deductable.
-
2000-07-02$123,950 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Crisp And Clean With New Stove, Dishwasher, Disposal, Paint, And Carpet. 1st Floor Fam Rm W/ Fireplace. New Exterior Paint. Great Covered Deck. Rec Rm W/ Fresh Paint , New Carpet , & 1/2 Bath. (Bsmt. Shower Exc. From Inspections). Furn & Ca 4 Years. Rs Andrews Home Warranty Provided By Seller. $50 Deductable.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,357 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,357 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,673
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$3,357
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,134
- − Management
- −$2,134
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$766
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$184
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shawnee Mission Pub Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2011640
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,923
- Composite
- 37.55/100
- National rank
- #4391
- State rank
- #22 of 169 in KS
Livability — Overland Park
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #1851
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Overland Park, KS
- County
- Johnson County · 574,662 people
- City population
- 180,138
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,948
- Household income
- $75,889
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 935.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 663,396 people
- By 2030
- 702,585 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 775,386 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 841,772 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 994,137 · +49.9%
- By 2100
- 1,073,036 · +61.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.5) · D 53.4% · R 44.9% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.5pp toward D · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: 8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.5 2020: D+8.2 2016: R+2.7 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+9.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -355.92%
- Current HPI
- 266.5058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.79%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+77.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $219,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-08-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-08-25 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-07-02 Listed $123,950 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,357 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…