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8909 W 81st St
C Composite 59.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

8909 W 81st St · Overland Park, KS 66204
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,827 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1955 10,586 sqft lot Est $382k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Crisp And Clean With New Stove, Dishwasher, Disposal, Paint, And Carpet. 1st Floor Fam Rm W/ Fireplace. New Exterior Paint. Great Covered Deck. Rec Rm W/ Fresh Paint , New Carpet , & 1/2 Bath. (Bsmt. Shower Exc. From Inspections). Furn & Ca 4 Years. Rs Andrews Home Warranty Provided By Seller. $50 Deductable.

Key facts

  • Large living room
  • Nice-sized kitchen
  • Functional layout

Tags

NICE-SIZED KITCHENLARGE LIVING ROOMFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTRECREATION AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approx. 2,002; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,452 (per public records); Below-grade finished area approximately 550 (estimated); Age: 51–75 years
  • HOA & community: No association fees; No maintenance provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Not in a flood plain; Located inside city limits

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central)
  • Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Basement (partial/other); Fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Overland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#16 in KS, #1,851 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute D+.
  • Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $219,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.51%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$381,843
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7909 Grandview St 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,890 (+3%) 0mo $395,000 $209 76
8812 W 82nd St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,630 (-11%) 2mo $395,000 $242 74
8915 W 81st St 0.01mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,656 (-9%) 7mo $285,000 $172 71
8817 W 82nd Ter 0.18mi 3/2.5 2,032 (+11%) 0mo $365,000 $180 69
8412 England St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,916 (+5%) 1mo $259,900 $136 68
8101 Goodman St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,868 (+2%) 7mo $250,000 $134 66
8201 Antioch Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,634 (-11%) 6mo $375,000 $229 65
7800 Hardy St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,856 (+2%) 0mo $420,000 $226 64
9317 W 82nd St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,622 (-11%) 4mo $350,000 $216 62
9312 W 81st Ter 0.26mi 3/2.5 2,040 (+12%) 4mo $399,000 $196 61
8100 Lowell Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,075 (+14%) 3mo $339,950 $164 38
9609 W 83rd Ter 0.52mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,552 (-15%) 4mo $445,000 $287 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-16,781
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$21,861
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66204

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,223 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$280 /mo · $3,357/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,930
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $356 -5% $294 +0% $231 +5% $169 +10% $107
Rent -10% $56 -5% $144 +0% $231 +5% $319 +10% $407
Rate -1.0pp $342 -0.5pp $287 base $231 +0.5pp $174 +1.0pp $117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9010 W 82nd St Overland Park, KS 3.0 1.0 1360 $2,179 $1.60 5d 1 0.08mi
9130 W 78th St Overland Park, KS 3.0 2.0 1527 $1,745 $1.14 18d 1 0.50mi
9128 W 78th St Overland Park, KS 3.0 2.0 1527 $1,745 $1.14 13d 1 0.50mi
8403 Carter St Overland Park, KS 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1732 $4,750 $2.74 11d 1 0.60mi
9551 W 85th St Overland Park, KS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1026 $1,225 $1.19 13d 2 0.68mi
8100 Perry St Overland Park, KS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 991 $1,850 $1.87 8d 10 0.69mi
8000 Perry St Overland Park, KS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 998 $1,685 $1.69 2d 11 0.73mi
8342 Wedd St Overland Park, KS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1223 $1,455 $1.19 24d 1 0.77mi
7512 Newton St Overland Park, KS 3.0 2.0 1295 $2,095 $1.62 24d 1 1.04mi
7650 Goddard St Shawnee, KS 2.0 1.0–2.5 1225 $1,925 $1.57 15d 1 1.19mi
7405 W 74th St Overland Park, KS 3.0 3.0 2272 $3,100 $1.36 24d 1 1.28mi
7405 W 74th St Overland Park, KS 3.0 3.0 2272 $3,100 $1.36 15d 1 1.28mi
7106 Mastin St Unit 1 Shawnee, KS 3.0 3.5 1700 $2,300 $1.35 5d 1 1.40mi
6801 W 76th St Overland Park, KS 2.0 1.0–2.0 1300 $1,972 $1.52 24d 2 1.47mi
7109 Conser St Overland Park, KS 4.0 2.0 1706 $2,600 $1.52 8d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $219,900 Active
  3. 2000-08-28
    soldstatus
  4. 2000-08-25
    soldstatus 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Crisp And Clean With New Stove, Dishwasher, Disposal, Paint, And Carpet. 1st Floor Fam Rm W/ Fireplace. New Exterior Paint. Great Covered Deck. Rec Rm W/ Fresh Paint , New Carpet , & 1/2 Bath. (Bsmt. Shower Exc. From Inspections). Furn & Ca 4 Years. Rs Andrews Home Warranty Provided By Seller. $50 Deductable.

  5. 2000-07-02
    listed $123,950 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Crisp And Clean With New Stove, Dishwasher, Disposal, Paint, And Carpet. 1st Floor Fam Rm W/ Fireplace. New Exterior Paint. Great Covered Deck. Rec Rm W/ Fresh Paint , New Carpet , & 1/2 Bath. (Bsmt. Shower Exc. From Inspections). Furn & Ca 4 Years. Rs Andrews Home Warranty Provided By Seller. $50 Deductable.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,357 · $280/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,357 · $280/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,673
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$3,357
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,134
− Management
−$2,134
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$766
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$184
After-tax cash flow
$2,961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shawnee Mission Pub Schools
NCES district ID
2011640
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$64,923
Composite
37.55/100
National rank
#4391
State rank
#22 of 169 in KS

Livability — Overland Park

Score
80/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#1851

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute D+ Cost of living C Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Overland Park, KS
County
Johnson County · 574,662 people
City population
180,138
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
17,948
Household income
$75,889
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
935.0

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
663,396 people
By 2030
702,585 · +5.9%
By 2040
775,386 · +16.9%
By 2050
841,772 · +26.9%
By 2075
994,137 · +49.9%
By 2100
1,073,036 · +61.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.5) · D 53.4% · R 44.9% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+17.5pp toward D · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: 8.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.5 2020: D+8.2 2016: R+2.7 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+9.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -355.92%
Current HPI
266.5058
Rent YoY
▲ 4.79%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+77.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $219,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-08-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-08-25 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-07-02 Listed $123,950 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,357 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…