4245 N Hwy A1a #8 · Fort Pierce, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
We invite you to come and enjoy this charming well maintained corner townhouse just steps away from beach! 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bath, ample closets, storage and parking! Welcoming private patio to enjoy grilling on the barbi & good company!!! Great amenities for such a little gem. .. community pool & tennis and access to beach & ocean. .. Maintenance is extremely affordable. .. AND it even covers insurance!!!! What more can you ask for?!
Key facts
- Community amenities
- Tennis courts
- Private patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building name/number: 4245; Living area reported as 1,234 (building area total 1,334 per public records); Road frontage east of US-1
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee $560 monthly; Association amenities: beach access, parking, tennis courts, sidewalks; HOA fee includes insurance, sewer, trash, water, and common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking (1 space); Community parking included with association
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Sewer available and water available
- Home design: Townhouse; Resale property; 2 stories; Faces west
- Construction: Other construction materials; Other roof type
- Exterior features: Open patio; Patio; Sidewalks; Paved road frontage; Ocean access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: No main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (2 total bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Furnished; Blinds and sliding window treatments; Entry level living area
- Laundry & utility: Interior laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (6.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $285k).
- Recommended offer: $266k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $285k implies a 520% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.59%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-35,794
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $37,896
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34949
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Rents YoY
- 13.6%
- Active inventory
- 387
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,159 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$361 /mo · $4,336/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$560
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$663
- Net cashflow
- $-106
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $56 | -5% $-25 | +0% $-106 | +5% $-186 | +10% $-267 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-355 | -5% $-231 | +0% $-106 | +5% $19 | +10% $144 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $38 | -0.5pp $-33 | base $-106 | +0.5pp $-180 | +1.0pp $-255 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4275 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 1546254P Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $4,838 | $4.41 | 16d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4225 N Highway A1A #20 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1234 | $3,000 | $2.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4225 N Highway A1A #18 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1234 | $2,400 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4225 N Highway A1A #17 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1234 | $2,500 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4250 N Highway A1A #805 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $3,300 | $3.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4250 N Highway A1A #705 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $2,750 | $2.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4250 N Highway A1A #302 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $2,300 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4250 N Highway A1A #1005 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $5,300 | $5.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4200 N Highway A1A #215 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $2,300 | $2.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4200 N Highway A1A #1111 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $3,800 | $3.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4200 N Highway A1A #413 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $3,000 | $2.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3880 N Highway A1A #802 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $4,500 | $3.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3870 N Highway A1A #102 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $3,350 | $2.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3870 N Highway A1A #304 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $5,500 | $4.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3870 N Highway A1A #604 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $5,000 | $4.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3870 N Highway A1A #301 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $2,600 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3870 N Highway A1A #202 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $3,000 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3870 North Highway A1A Ph 6 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $3,800 | $2.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3870 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 906 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5047 N Highway A1A #1205 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $2,800 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5047 N Highway A1A #705 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,850 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5047 N Highway A1A #404 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,100 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5047 N Highway A1A #801 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $4,800 | $3.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5049 N Highway A1A #1503 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $3,750 | $2.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5051 N Highway A1A Unit 8-2 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $2,750 | $2.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5051 N Highway A1A Unit 13-5 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $3,500 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5051 N Highway A1A Unit 4-5 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $2,900 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5055 N Highway A1A #603 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5055 N Highway A1A #404 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $2,950 | $2.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5061 N Highway A1A #504 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $3,500 | $2.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5061 N Highway A1A #404 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $4,500 | $3.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5059 N Highway A1A #203 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $4,500 | $3.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3200 N Highway A1A #1208 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,200 | $3.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3200 N Highway A1A #209 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,800 | $2.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3206 S Lakeview Cir #1105 Hutchinson Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,500 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $560 · $6,720/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $285,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $285,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $285,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $285,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 683-char remark
-
2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $285,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2025-12-16$285,000 Active
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
We invite you to come and enjoy this charming well maintained corner townhouse just steps away from beach! 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bath, ample closets, storage and parking! Welcoming private patio to enjoy grilling on the barbi & good company!!! Great amenities for such a little gem. .. community pool & tennis and access to beach & ocean. .. Maintenance is extremely affordable. .. AND it even covers insurance!!!! What more can you ask for?!
-
2025-12-16$285,000 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
We invite you to come and enjoy this charming well maintained corner townhouse just steps away from beach! 2 bedrooms, 1.5 bath, ample closets, storage and parking! Welcoming private patio to enjoy grilling on the barbi & good company!!! Great amenities for such a little gem. .. community pool & tennis and access to beach & ocean. .. Maintenance is extremely affordable. .. AND it even covers insurance!!!! What more can you ask for?!
-
1999-12-13soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,336 · $361/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,336 · $361/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,903
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,336
- − Insurance
- −$2,222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,032
- − Management
- −$3,032
- − HOA
- −$6,720
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$5,695
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,367
- After-tax cash flow
- $97/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Pierce
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #3360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 78,556
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,470
- Household income
- $94,949
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 265.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Italian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.89%
- Current HPI
- 601.12
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.64%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+519.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-16 Listed $285,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $285,000 Beaches MLS
- 1999-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,336 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…