13434 24th St · Santa Fe, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unique investment opportunity on 4.5 acres at 13434 24th St! This property features a brick 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home with a 2-car garage, offering comfortable living alongside income potential. The acreage is zoned for a mobile home park and is currently operating with seven homes on the property. There are five manufactured homes that convey with the sale, plus two additional owner-owned homes that lease their spaces, creating multiple income streams. With room to continue operating or expand, this property offers a rare chance to own a cash-flowing property with land and development potential. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio, operate a small mobile home park, or invest in land with existing income, this versatile property provides flexibility and opportunity. Buyer to verify zoning, usage, and all property details.
Key facts
- 4.5 acres
- 4.5 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56k ($672k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($75k rent vs $425k).
- Recommended offer: $400k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 164.4% vs local median 4.5% in Santa Fe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#550 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Santa Fe ISD (suburban): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #385 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $119k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($400k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 17.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 164.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 564.76%
- DSCR
- 26.13
- GRM
- 0.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $355,000
- List price
- $425,000
- Delta
- 19.72%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13329 24th St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (-0%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $174 | 83 |
| 13519 Montgomery Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,723 (-0%) | 12mo | $387,000 | $225 | 68 |
| 13406 Bob White Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (-4%) | 23mo | $394,368 | $237 | 62 |
| 13515 S Bellaire St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (-6%) | 20mo | $329,900 | $202 | 60 |
| 13314 Kaylee Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (-7%) | 7mo | $279,900 | $174 | 48 |
| 5002 Avenue P | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,705 (-2%) | 20mo | $389,000 | $228 | 46 |
| 13315 Mandy Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (-11%) | 20mo | $290,000 | $188 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 30.41×
- Total profit
- $3,499,276
- Equity at exit
- $63,369
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 65.24×
- Total profit
- $7,644,803
- Equity at exit
- $36,746
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77510
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 0.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $74,621 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$539 /mo · $6,472/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$15,670
- Net cashflow
- $56,005
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4120 Avenue O #10 Santa Fe, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $74,621 | $58.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-04status $425,000 Pending 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $425,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $425,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $425,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $425,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-16$425,000 Active 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
Unique investment opportunity on 4.5 acres at 13434 24th St! This property features a brick 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home with a 2-car garage, offering comfortable living alongside income potential. The acreage is zoned for a mobile home park and is currently operating with seven homes on the property. There are five manufactured homes that convey with the sale, plus two additional owner-owned homes that lease their spaces, creating multiple income streams. With room to continue operating or expand, this property offers a rare chance to own a cash-flowing property with land and development potential. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio, operate a small mobile home park, or invest in land with existing income, this versatile property provides flexibility and opportunity. Buyer to verify zoning, usage, and all property details.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,472 · $539/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,778 · $648/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,305/yr (+$109/mo · 20.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $895,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$6,472
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$71,636
- − Management
- −$71,636
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable income
- $707,412
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$169,779
- After-tax cash flow
- $502,286/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Fe ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4839270
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,769
- Composite
- 34.86/100
- National rank
- #5091
- State rank
- #385 of 826 in TX
Livability — Santa Fe
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #550
- US rank
- #10637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Fe, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,938
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 299.2228
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $425,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,472 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…