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1004 Gringo Rd
D+ Composite 49.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$157,000

1004 Gringo Rd · South Heights, PA 15001
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1947 0.90 ac lot $157/sqft · 24% below area Est $207k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic opportunity, being sold together with the vacant parcel next door for a combined total of 0.9 acres. The home features updated mechanics for added peace of mind. A versatile bonus room provides the perfect space for a home office, craft area, or playroom. The basement offers ample storage and walkout access for added convenience. This home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. The basement offers ample storage and walkout access for added convenience. Situated in the Hopewell School District, this property provides plenty of space and potential. Whether you’re looking to expand, invest, or simply enjoy the benefits of additional land.

Key facts

  • Additional land
  • Versatile bonus room
  • Walkout access

Tags

UPDATED MECHANICSVERSATILE BONUS ROOMAMPLE STORAGEWALKOUT ACCESSCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDADDITIONAL LAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $157k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($46/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.2% in South Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#368 in PA, #3,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Hopewell Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #191 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $132,812 (15.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.11%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$207,407
List price
$157,000
Delta
-24.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2071 Brodhead Rd 0.11mi 2/2.0 946 (-5%) 2mo $150,000 $159 80
3112 Ridge Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,001 (+0%) 11mo $120,000 $120 69
2118 Brodhead Rd 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+6%) 3mo $217,500 $206 68
5037 Clifton Dr 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 988 (-1%) 11mo $226,000 $229 66
205 Morrow Way 0.27mi 3/1.5 (+1) 960 (-4%) 10mo $186,000 $194 65
2031 Brodhead Rd 0.10mi 2/2.0 924 (-8%) 18mo $189,000 $205 64
125 Strawberry Aly 0.14mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,077 (+8%) 12mo $180,000 $167 63
5100 Mcintosh Dr 0.53mi 2/1.5 1,092 (+9%) 5mo $190,000 $174 54
5204 Webb St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (+6%) 13mo $222,500 $211 49
5106 Mcintosh Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+6%) 12mo $235,000 $223 49
5129 Wickham St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+4%) 13mo $240,000 $231 48
5612 Alan St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+10%) 8mo $241,000 $219 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-26,456
Equity at exit
$23,409
10-year hold
IRR
-10.9%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-27,800
Equity at exit
$13,574

Cash invested: $43,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15001

Home prices YoY
-20.8%
Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,328 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$823
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,879/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,323
Max offer price $157,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $93 -5% $48 +0% $4 +5% $-41 +10% $-85
Rent -10% $-101 -5% $-49 +0% $4 +5% $56 +10% $109
Rate -1.0pp $83 -0.5pp $44 base $4 +0.5pp $-37 +1.0pp $-78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,250
Closing costs
$4,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2971 Kane Rd Aliquippa, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1173 $1,600 $1.36 2d 18 1.21mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $157,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $157,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $157,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $157,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $157,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $157,000 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $157,000 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $157,000 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $157,000 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $157,000 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $157,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $157,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $157,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $157,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-03-19
    listed $157,000 Active 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic opportunity, being sold together with the vacant parcel next door for a combined total of 0.9 acres. The home features updated mechanics for added peace of mind. A versatile bonus room provides the perfect space for a home office, craft area, or playroom. The basement offers ample storage and walkout access for added convenience. This home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways. The basement offers ample storage and walkout access for added convenience. Situated in the Hopewell School District, this property provides plenty of space and potential. Whether you’re looking to expand, invest, or simply enjoy the benefits of additional land.

  16. 2025-11-03
    listed $157,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,879 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,180 · $182/mo
Expected delta
+$301/yr (+$25/mo · 16.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,937
− Mortgage interest
−$8,794
− Property taxes
−$1,879
− Insurance
−$785
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,275
− Management
−$1,275
− Depreciation
−$4,567
Taxable loss
−$2,638
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$633
After-tax cash flow
$680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hopewell Area SD
NCES district ID
4212030
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,944
Composite
41.98/100
National rank
#3340
State rank
#191 of 539 in PA

Livability — South Heights

Score
77/100
State rank
#368
US rank
#3206

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Beaver County · 116,001 people
City population
343
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,976
Household income
$70,985
Rent vs Own
24.4% rent · 75.6% own
Severe rent burden
720.0

Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,976 people
By 2030
161,449 · -2.1%
By 2040
151,752 · -8.0%
By 2050
141,155 · -14.4%
By 2075
118,142 · -28.4%
By 2100
91,740 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 13% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaver

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.21%
Current HPI
247.7251
Rent YoY
▲ 2.05%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $157,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $157,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,879 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…