141 Carolinda Ln Unit I · Wapato, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a cozy, affordable home with peaceful country vibes? This nicely updated 1963 manufactured home offers 520 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet park just 15 minutes from Yakima. This one-bedroom, one-bath home features an open-concept living room and kitchen that makes the space feel bright and inviting. Updates throughout include fresh paint, updated flooring, newer blinds, and cabinetry, giving the home a clean, move-in-ready feel. You'll also appreciate the built-in storage that helps maximize every square foot. Step outside and enjoy a truly special setting with beautiful views of Mt. Adams and nearby pastures where sheep graze, creating a peaceful, country atmosphere that's hard to find. The park also offers on-site laundry facilities for added convenience. If you're looking for a low-maintenance home with charm, updates, and scenic surroundings--this one is a must-see! Lot rent is $575/mo which includes w/ s/g and bottled drinking water is provided. Seller financing is also available!
Key facts
- Updated flooring
- Built-in storage
- Built 1963
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($712 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#374 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Wapato School District (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #274 of 291 in WA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.86%
- DSCR
- 3.97
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $18,000
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- 38.89%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Carolinda Ln Unit I | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 520 (0%) | 1mo | $18,000 | $35 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.97×
- Total profit
- $20,800
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- 70.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.16×
- Total profit
- $50,141
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98951
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $712 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$150
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Looking for a cozy, affordable home with peaceful country vibes? This nicely updated 1963 manufactured home offers 520 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet park just 15 minutes from Yakima. This one-bedroom, one-bath home features an open-concept living room and kitchen that makes the space feel bright and inviting. Updates throughout include fresh paint, updated flooring, newer blinds, and cabinetry, giving the home a clean, move-in-ready feel. You'll also appreciate the built-in storage that helps maximize every square foot. Step outside and enjoy a truly special setting with beautiful views of Mt. Adams and nearby pastures where sheep graze, creating a peaceful, country atmosphere that's hard to find. The park also offers on-site laundry facilities for added convenience. If you're looking for a low-maintenance home with charm, updates, and scenic surroundings--this one is a must-see! Lot rent is $575/mo which includes w/ s/g and bottled drinking water is provided. Seller financing is also available!
-
2026-02-14$25,000 Active 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Looking for a cozy, affordable home with peaceful country vibes? This nicely updated 1963 manufactured home offers 520 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet park just 15 minutes from Yakima. This one-bedroom, one-bath home features an open-concept living room and kitchen that makes the space feel bright and inviting. Updates throughout include fresh paint, updated flooring, newer blinds, and cabinetry, giving the home a clean, move-in-ready feel. You'll also appreciate the built-in storage that helps maximize every square foot. Step outside and enjoy a truly special setting with beautiful views of Mt. Adams and nearby pastures where sheep graze, creating a peaceful, country atmosphere that's hard to find. The park also offers on-site laundry facilities for added convenience. If you're looking for a low-maintenance home with charm, updates, and scenic surroundings--this one is a must-see! Lot rent is $575/mo which includes w/ s/g and bottled drinking water is provided. Seller financing is also available!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,549
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$684
- − Management
- −$684
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $4,553
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,093
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,587/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 1963 manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, offering a cozy and move-in-ready living space.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants.
- Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract more tenants and reduce utility costs.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract more tenants and reduce utility costs. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wapato School District
- NCES district ID
- 5309480
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,269
- Composite
- 24.16/100
- National rank
- #13148
- State rank
- #274 of 291 in WA
Livability — Wapato
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #14468
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,935
Population outlook (Yakima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 256,514 people
- By 2030
- 259,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 265,677 · +3.6%
- By 2050
- 273,061 · +6.5%
- By 2075
- 296,991 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 315,291 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 28% Native American 18% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 62%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yakima
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 41.6% · R 55.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.08%
- Current HPI
- 288.0203
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — YAMLS
- 2026-02-14 Listed $25,000 YAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…