199 E Parkway Dr · Madison, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Enclosed back porch
- Vaulted ceiling
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes reported
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; 1,260 above-grade finished area
- Construction: Built (per public records); Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($34/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#250 in OH, #3,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Madison Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #308 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: South Elementary School (math 65% / reading 58%, grade B, #646 of 1,584 statewide, top 41%, 564 students, 34% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 52% / reading 58%, grade B-, #335 of 654 statewide, top 52%, 609 students, 36% FRL); Madison High School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C, #275 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 860 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $225k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-36,280
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-31,360
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44057
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,913 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$234 /mo · $2,814/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $130 | -5% $67 | +0% $3 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $-73 | +0% $3 | +5% $78 | +10% $154 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $116 | -0.5pp $60 | base $3 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-08$225,000 Active
-
2015-12-31soldstatus $118,500 Sold 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
-
2015-12-31soldstatus $118,500
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
-
2015-12-28status Pending 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
-
2015-10-27historical Contingent 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
-
2015-10-21price $99,900 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
-
2015-09-09price $109,900 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
-
2015-08-04price $117,500 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
-
2015-07-13$121,500 Active 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
Well Kept, one owner Ranch in popular Parkway Estates/ Spacious great room boasting a vaulted ceiling & gas fireplace/Step-Saver Kitchen opens to dining room/ Master bath features a step-in shower/Enjoy the outdoors on your screened in patio overlooking your partially fenced yard/All appliances stay/Convenient to School, shopping, & restaurants and Rt. 90.
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1992-02-18soldstatus $74,900
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1992-02-18soldstatus $74,900
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1990-01-26soldstatus $150,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,814 · $234/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,162 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- +$348/yr (+$29/mo · 12.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,814
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,836
- − Management
- −$1,836
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$3,808
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$914
- After-tax cash flow
- $948/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904788
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,608
- Composite
- 49.99/100
- National rank
- #1924
- State rank
- #308 of 656 in OH
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #250
- US rank
- #3982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, OH
- County
- Lake · 224,932 people
- City population
- 19,491
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,491
- Household income
- $70,212
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.5
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.42%
- Current HPI
- 187.8978
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+50.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $225,000 MLSNOW
- 2015-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $118,500 Public Records
- 2015-12-31 Sold (MLS) $118,500 MLSNOW
- 2015-12-28 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2015-10-27 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2015-10-21 Price Changed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2015-09-09 Price Changed $109,900 MLSNOW
- 2015-08-04 Price Changed $117,500 MLSNOW
- 2015-07-13 Listed $121,500 MLSNOW
- 1992-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 1992-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 1990-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,814 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…