6447 US Highway 36 · Joes, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a project? This little diamond in the rough could be right up your alley! Located in the community of Joes, this 1792 sq ft space is a canvas to create your perfect master piece. Garage and outbuildings are also contained on this over1/2 acre lot. Call today to learn more!
Key facts
- Over1/2 acre lot
- 0.66 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single Family Residence
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Well water (meter installed); No water rights; Septic tank; Electricity available; Propane
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Previously owned / not new construction; Mixed zoning
- Construction: Frame construction with metal siding; Metal roof; Built above grade finished area: 1,792
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Paved lot; Highway frontage; Minimal flood risk (C rating)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all conforming)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Rough-in for an additional bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating system specified
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate dining room; Study
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#377 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Liberty J-4 School District (rural): math 21% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #52 of 176 in CO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Yuma County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.30%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,512
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6447 US Highway 36 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,792 (0%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $36 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $33,311
- Equity at exit
- $49,461
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $90,380
- Equity at exit
- $76,225
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80822
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,242 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $519/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $378 | -5% $347 | +0% $316 | +5% $284 | +10% $253 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $217 | -5% $267 | +0% $316 | +5% $365 | +10% $414 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $344 | base $316 | +0.5pp $287 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-16$110,000 Active
-
2021-11-15soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $519 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $605 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- +$86/yr (+$7/mo · 16.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,909
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$519
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,193
- − Management
- −$1,193
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,093
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$502
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,285/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liberty J-4 School District
- NCES district ID
- 0800019
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 39.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,184
- Composite
- 37.25/100
- National rank
- #8973
- State rank
- #52 of 176 in CO
Livability — Joes
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #377
- US rank
- #24685
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Joes, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 239
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,867 people
- By 2030
- 9,661 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 9,233 · -6.4%
- By 2050
- 8,701 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 7,356 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 5,601 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 18% Pacific Islander 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.4) · D 16.3% · R 81.6% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -48.4pp · 2024: -65.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.4 2020: R+66.7 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+48.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+37.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Contingent — IRES
- 2026-02-16 Listed $110,000 IRES
- 2021-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2026): $519 · +556.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…