241-20 Northern Blvd Unit 1M · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
Key facts
- New bath
- New kitchen
- Easy accessibility
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
- Recommended offer: $228k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 0.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $259k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 58% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 0.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -20.07%
- DSCR
- 0.11
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -56.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.63×
- Total profit
- $-118,173
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.73×
- Total profit
- $-198,142
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11362
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,786 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$324 /mo · $3,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$1,624
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$585
- Net cashflow
- $-1,213
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4420 Douglaston Pkwy Unit 5A Little Neck, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,100 | $3.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4230 Douglaston Pkwy Little Neck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4212 Marathon Pkwy Little Neck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,375 | $4.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 240-53 68th Ave Unit 1st Floor Douglaston, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 232-15 67th Ave Unit 1FL Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,900 | $3.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 40-11 214th Pl Unit 2R Bayside, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,800 | $4.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 214-16 40th Ave Unit 3rd Floor Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,800 | $3.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4 Chelsea Pl Apt 3F Great Neck, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $4,600 | $5.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-03-03status Pending
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2026-03-03status Pending 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2025-09-20status Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2025-09-20status Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2025-08-18status Pending 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2025-08-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2025-07-12price $259,000 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2025-05-21price $259,000
-
2025-04-17$279,000 Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2025-04-17$279,000 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
Spectacular Co-op unit with easy accessibility to transportation, recreation and shops, a must see. Easy to view, wonderful layout. Great for entertaining. All new kitchen and bath. 2 blocks to Douglaston LIRR-Port Washington line
-
2022-03-30soldstatus $150,000 Closed 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
Welcome to the Manorhouse of Douglaston Manor!! Prime opportunity to make this spacious 1 bedroom unit your own! Why Rent? When you can BUY and DESIGN to your TASTE! Take the Elevator up one flight to this 1st Floor unit with a great layout: Entry foyer leading to a large and sunny living room, L shape dining room, kitchen, with so much potential for an open floor plan and sprawling island, *KING SIZE* bedroom, full bath, and closets galore! Laundry and super on site, parking by waitlist. Just steps to LIRR, bus, shops, great restaurants, driving range and golf, parks, trails, & so much more..prime location!
-
2022-01-10status Pending 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
Welcome to the Manorhouse of Douglaston Manor!! Prime opportunity to make this spacious 1 bedroom unit your own! Why Rent? When you can BUY and DESIGN to your TASTE! Take the Elevator up one flight to this 1st Floor unit with a great layout: Entry foyer leading to a large and sunny living room, L shape dining room, kitchen, with so much potential for an open floor plan and sprawling island, *KING SIZE* bedroom, full bath, and closets galore! Laundry and super on site, parking by waitlist. Just steps to LIRR, bus, shops, great restaurants, driving range and golf, parks, trails, & so much more..prime location!
-
2021-11-03price $168,000 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
Welcome to the Manorhouse of Douglaston Manor!! Prime opportunity to make this spacious 1 bedroom unit your own! Why Rent? When you can BUY and DESIGN to your TASTE! Take the Elevator up one flight to this 1st Floor unit with a great layout: Entry foyer leading to a large and sunny living room, L shape dining room, kitchen, with so much potential for an open floor plan and sprawling island, *KING SIZE* bedroom, full bath, and closets galore! Laundry and super on site, parking by waitlist. Just steps to LIRR, bus, shops, great restaurants, driving range and golf, parks, trails, & so much more..prime location!
-
2021-07-01$198,000 Active 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
Welcome to the Manorhouse of Douglaston Manor!! Prime opportunity to make this spacious 1 bedroom unit your own! Why Rent? When you can BUY and DESIGN to your TASTE! Take the Elevator up one flight to this 1st Floor unit with a great layout: Entry foyer leading to a large and sunny living room, L shape dining room, kitchen, with so much potential for an open floor plan and sprawling island, *KING SIZE* bedroom, full bath, and closets galore! Laundry and super on site, parking by waitlist. Just steps to LIRR, bus, shops, great restaurants, driving range and golf, parks, trails, & so much more..prime location!
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2020-10-13historical
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2020-08-04price $268,800
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2020-07-04$280,000 Active
-
2020-07-04historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$3,885
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,675
- − Management
- −$2,675
- − HOA
- −$19,488
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable loss
- −$18,626
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,470
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,492
- Household income
- $122,090
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 250.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 48% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Hispanic 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Chinese 21% Korean 12% Other Indo-European 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.12%
- Current HPI
- 259.773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-7.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-20 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-20 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-12 Price Changed $259,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-21 Price Changed $259,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-17 Listed $279,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-17 Listed $279,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-30 Sold (MLS) $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-10 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-03 Price Changed $168,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-01 Listed $198,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-13 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-04 Price Changed $268,800 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-04 Listed $280,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-04 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…