204 N Adam St · Northwood, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!
Key facts
- Downtown northwood
- Thriving community
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story
- Construction: Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Lot approximately 75 x 150 (10,500 sq ft)
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil); Cooling available
- Interior features: Partial basement; Total of 10 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-714/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (7.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#46 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Northwood 129 (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #31 of 169 in ND (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Northwood Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #54 of 236 statewide, top 26%, 190 students, 25% FRL); Northwood High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #33 of 144 statewide, top 32%, 144 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
- Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $135k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.89%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,780
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 S Adam ST St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+1%) | 14mo | $143,700 | $89 | 70 |
| 403 Old Hwy 15 | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,592 (-0%) | 9mo | $197,900 | $124 | 66 |
| 212 Hougen St S | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 1,825 (+14%) | 2mo | $199,500 | $109 | 59 |
| 116 Lincoln St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-10%) | 11mo | $219,900 | $154 | 55 |
| 112 Deaconess Ct | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,356 (-15%) | 8mo | $299,900 | $221 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $42,469
- Equity at exit
- $92,588
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $126,355
- Equity at exit
- $175,072
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58267
- Home prices YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,578/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $-60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $17 | -5% $-21 | +0% $-60 | +5% $-98 | +10% $-136 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-143 | -5% $-101 | +0% $-60 | +5% $-18 | +10% $24 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $8 | -0.5pp $-25 | base $-60 | +0.5pp $-94 | +1.0pp $-130 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 38 events
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2026-06-21days on market $134,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $134,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $134,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $134,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $134,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $134,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-04-23price $134,900
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2026-04-02status Active
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2026-03-27historical Active Under Contract
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2026-03-19$139,900 Active
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2024-09-04soldstatus
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2024-08-30soldstatus Closed 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!
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2024-08-05historical Active Under Contract 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!
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2024-02-08status Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!
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2024-01-22historical Active Under Contract 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!
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2023-07-10$125,000 Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!
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2007-07-31soldstatus $80,000
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2006-05-03soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
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2006-01-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,578 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,578 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,694
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,578
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,015
- − Management
- −$1,015
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$3,071
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$737
- After-tax cash flow
- $23/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwood 129
- NCES district ID
- 3814340
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,395
- Composite
- 47.28/100
- National rank
- #5059
- State rank
- #31 of 169 in ND
Livability — Northwood
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #5950
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northwood, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,483
Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,606 people
- By 2030
- 86,489 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 99,506 · +23.4%
- By 2050
- 115,269 · +43.0%
- By 2075
- 171,303 · +112.5%
- By 2100
- 238,330 · +195.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 36% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.90%
- Current HPI
- 153.0771
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+68.6% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $134,900 GFAAR
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — GFAAR
- 2026-03-27 Contingent — GFAAR
- 2026-03-19 Listed $139,900 GFAAR
- 2024-09-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-08-30 Sold (MLS) — GFAAR
- 2024-08-05 Contingent — GFAAR
- 2024-02-08 Relisted — GFAAR
- 2024-01-22 Contingent — GFAAR
- 2023-07-10 Listed $125,000 GFAAR
- 2007-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,578 · -18.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…