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204 N Adam St
C- Composite 53.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$134,900

204 N Adam St · Northwood, ND 58267
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,595 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1900 10,500 sqft lot Est $198k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!

Key facts

  • Downtown northwood
  • Thriving community
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLDOWNTOWN NORTHWOODTHRIVING COMMUNITYSTRONG K-12 SCHOOL SYSTEM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story
  • Construction: Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Lot approximately 75 x 150 (10,500 sq ft)

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil); Cooling available
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Total of 10 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-714/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (21.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#46 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Northwood 129 (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #31 of 169 in ND (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Northwood Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #54 of 236 statewide, top 26%, 190 students, 25% FRL); Northwood High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #33 of 144 statewide, top 32%, 144 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
  • Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $135k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,780 (21.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$197,780
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
303 S Adam ST St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (+1%) 14mo $143,700 $89 70
403 Old Hwy 15 0.42mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,592 (-0%) 9mo $197,900 $124 66
212 Hougen St S 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,825 (+14%) 2mo $199,500 $109 59
116 Lincoln St 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,428 (-10%) 11mo $219,900 $154 55
112 Deaconess Ct 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,356 (-15%) 8mo $299,900 $221 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$42,469
Equity at exit
$92,588
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$126,355
Equity at exit
$175,072

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58267

Home prices YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,578/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$-60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,133
Max offer price $124,388
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17 -5% $-21 +0% $-60 +5% $-98 +10% $-136
Rent -10% $-143 -5% $-101 +0% $-60 +5% $-18 +10% $24
Rate -1.0pp $8 -0.5pp $-25 base $-60 +0.5pp $-94 +1.0pp $-130

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,900 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,900 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $134,900 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $134,900 Active 78 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $134,900 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    price $134,900
  18. 2026-04-02
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-27
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2026-03-19
    listed $139,900 Active
  21. 2024-09-04
    soldstatus
  22. 2024-08-30
    soldstatus Closed 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!

  23. 2024-08-05
    historical Active Under Contract 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!

  24. 2024-02-08
    status Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!

  25. 2024-01-22
    historical Active Under Contract 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!

  26. 2023-07-10
    listed $125,000 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    Check out this historic home in Northwood just minutes from Grand Forks or GFAFB. This home has a total of 4 bedrooms; the main bedroom is on the first floor. Also located on the main floor are the kitchen, dining room, living room, an additional bedroom, full bath & laundry. Head upstairs to two additional bedrooms and a large bonus room. Great corner lot with a detached two stall garage. See it today!

  27. 2007-07-31
    soldstatus $80,000
  28. 2006-05-03
    soldstatus
  29. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  30. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  31. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  32. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  33. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  34. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  35. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  36. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  37. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus
  38. 2006-01-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,578 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,578 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,694
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$1,578
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,015
− Management
−$1,015
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$3,071
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$737
After-tax cash flow
$23/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwood 129
NCES district ID
3814340
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$55,395
Composite
47.28/100
National rank
#5059
State rank
#31 of 169 in ND

Livability — Northwood

Score
72/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#5950

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Northwood, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,483

Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,606 people
By 2030
86,489 · +7.3%
By 2040
99,506 · +23.4%
By 2050
115,269 · +43.0%
By 2075
171,303 · +112.5%
By 2100
238,330 · +195.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 36% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.90%
Current HPI
153.0771
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.6% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $134,900 GFAAR
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted GFAAR
  • 2026-03-27 Contingent GFAAR
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $139,900 GFAAR
  • 2024-09-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-08-30 Sold (MLS) GFAAR
  • 2024-08-05 Contingent GFAAR
  • 2024-02-08 Relisted GFAAR
  • 2024-01-22 Contingent GFAAR
  • 2023-07-10 Listed $125,000 GFAAR
  • 2007-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2006-05-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,578 · -18.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…