CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
202 Bell Ave
B- Composite 69.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

202 Bell Ave · Altoona, PA 16602
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,617 sqft · SingleFamily · 83 Days on market
Built 1920 3,049 sqft lot $53/sqft · 16% below area Est $101k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 83 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $85k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.28%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,485
List price
$85,000
Delta
-16.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 Crawford Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,530 (-5%) 1mo $145,000 $95 86
125 E 4th Ave 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,708 (+6%) 0mo $27,000 $16 76
215 Logan Blvd 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,768 (+9%) 2mo $200,000 $113 74
818 Bell Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,632 (+1%) 2mo $135,000 $83 73
105 1st Ave 0.13mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,795 (+11%) 0mo $109,900 $61 70
510 E Grant Ave 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,643 (+2%) 1mo $229,900 $140 68
312 E Walton Ave 0.30mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,785 (+10%) 0mo $115,000 $64 63
604 1st Ave 0.37mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,746 (+8%) 0mo $80,000 $46 62
508-512 5th Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,755 (+8%) 1mo $75,000 $43 62
711 E Bell Ave 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,580 (-2%) 1mo $166,000 $105 59
224 E 3rd Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,377 (-15%) 0mo $98,700 $72 57
1022 1st Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,850 (+14%) 1mo $122,000 $66 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$477
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$18,783
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16602

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,008 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,094/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $725
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $272 -5% $248 +0% $224 +5% $200 +10% $176
Rent -10% $144 -5% $184 +0% $224 +5% $263 +10% $303
Rate -1.0pp $266 -0.5pp $245 base $224 +0.5pp $202 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1244 $790 $0.64 45d 1 0.16mi
1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 975 $1,605 $1.65 45d 9 0.90mi
1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1430 $899 $0.63 45d 1 1.19mi
1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 45d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $85,000 Pending 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    price $100,000 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (592 chars)

    Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.

  18. 2026-04-19
    price $110,000 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (592 chars)

    Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.

  19. 2026-04-08
    price $114,900 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (592 chars)

    Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.

  20. 2026-03-26
    listed $124,900 Active 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (592 chars)

    Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.

  21. 2002-06-19
    soldstatus $45,900 133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    THIS 3 BEDROOM FEATURES LIVINGROOM WITH FIREPLACE, OAK KITCHEN, AND FAMILY ROOM OFF KITCHEN. MOST APPLIANCES ARE INCLUDED. LOW TAXES.

  22. 2002-06-19
    soldstatus $46,400
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    THIS 3 BEDROOM FEATURES LIVINGROOM WITH FIREPLACE, OAK KITCHEN, AND FAMILY ROOM OFF KITCHEN. MOST APPLIANCES ARE INCLUDED. LOW TAXES.

  23. 2001-11-08
    listed $45,900 133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    THIS 3 BEDROOM FEATURES LIVINGROOM WITH FIREPLACE, OAK KITCHEN, AND FAMILY ROOM OFF KITCHEN. MOST APPLIANCES ARE INCLUDED. LOW TAXES.

  24. 2000-04-28
    soldstatus $49,000
  25. 1969-06-01
    soldstatus $6,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,094 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,219 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$124/yr (+$10/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,092
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,094
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$967
− Management
−$967
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$337
After-tax cash flow
$2,347/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Altoona Area SD
NCES district ID
4202340
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$38,465
Composite
30.85/100
National rank
#6130
State rank
#406 of 539 in PA

Livability — Altoona

Score
79/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#2060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Altoona, PA
County
Blair County · 59,867 people
City population
59,867
Metro
Altoona, PA
Population (ZIP)
26,352
Household income
$55,046
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
740.0

Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,571 people
By 2030
117,966 · -3.0%
By 2040
109,174 · -10.2%
By 2050
99,542 · -18.1%
By 2075
76,775 · -36.8%
By 2100
54,326 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blair

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.37%
Current HPI
212.2268
Rent YoY
Metro
Altoona, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1370.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $100,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $110,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $114,900 AHARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $124,900 AHARMLS
  • 2002-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $46,400 Public Records
  • 2002-06-19 Sold (MLS) $45,900 AHARMLS
  • 2001-11-08 Listed $45,900 AHARMLS
  • 2000-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1969-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,800 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,094 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…