202 Bell Ave · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 83 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $85k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.28%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,485
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -16.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Crawford Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (-5%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $95 | 86 |
| 125 E 4th Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,708 (+6%) | 0mo | $27,000 | $16 | 76 |
| 215 Logan Blvd | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,768 (+9%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $113 | 74 |
| 818 Bell Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,632 (+1%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $83 | 73 |
| 105 1st Ave | 0.13mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,795 (+11%) | 0mo | $109,900 | $61 | 70 |
| 510 E Grant Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,643 (+2%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $140 | 68 |
| 312 E Walton Ave | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,785 (+10%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $64 | 63 |
| 604 1st Ave | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,746 (+8%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $46 | 62 |
| 508-512 5th Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,755 (+8%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $43 | 62 |
| 711 E Bell Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,580 (-2%) | 1mo | $166,000 | $105 | 59 |
| 224 E 3rd Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,377 (-15%) | 0mo | $98,700 | $72 | 57 |
| 1022 1st Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,850 (+14%) | 1mo | $122,000 | $66 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $477
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $18,783
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16602
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,008 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $272 | -5% $248 | +0% $224 | +5% $200 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $144 | -5% $184 | +0% $224 | +5% $263 | +10% $303 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $266 | -0.5pp $245 | base $224 | +0.5pp $202 | +1.0pp $179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $790 | $0.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,605 | $1.65 | 45d | 9 | 0.90mi |
| 1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $899 | $0.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-17status $85,000 Pending 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $100,000 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.
-
2026-04-19price $110,000 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.
-
2026-04-08price $114,900 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.
-
2026-03-26$124,900 Active 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
Affordable 3-bedroom home in Altoona offering classic character and great potential. The main level features a spacious living room with fireplace, an oak kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a convenient laundry room with half bath just off the kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and a full bath, plus a finished attic providing additional flexible living space. Exterior highlights include a covered front porch and a recently added rear deck. Situated on a manageable lot with public utilities and low taxes, this property is ideal for an owner-occupant or investor looking to add value.
-
2002-06-19soldstatus $45,900 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
THIS 3 BEDROOM FEATURES LIVINGROOM WITH FIREPLACE, OAK KITCHEN, AND FAMILY ROOM OFF KITCHEN. MOST APPLIANCES ARE INCLUDED. LOW TAXES.
-
2002-06-19soldstatus $46,400
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
THIS 3 BEDROOM FEATURES LIVINGROOM WITH FIREPLACE, OAK KITCHEN, AND FAMILY ROOM OFF KITCHEN. MOST APPLIANCES ARE INCLUDED. LOW TAXES.
-
2001-11-08$45,900 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
THIS 3 BEDROOM FEATURES LIVINGROOM WITH FIREPLACE, OAK KITCHEN, AND FAMILY ROOM OFF KITCHEN. MOST APPLIANCES ARE INCLUDED. LOW TAXES.
-
2000-04-28soldstatus $49,000
-
1969-06-01soldstatus $6,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,094 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,219 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$124/yr (+$10/mo · 11.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,092
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,094
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$967
- − Management
- −$967
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,403
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$337
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- City population
- 59,867
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,352
- Household income
- $55,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 740.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.37%
- Current HPI
- 212.2268
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+1370.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $100,000 AHARMLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $110,000 AHARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $114,900 AHARMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $124,900 AHARMLS
- 2002-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $46,400 Public Records
- 2002-06-19 Sold (MLS) $45,900 AHARMLS
- 2001-11-08 Listed $45,900 AHARMLS
- 2000-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 1969-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,800 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,094 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…