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9949 SE 309th Ave
B+ Composite 78.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$60,000

9949 SE 309th Ave · Pittman, FL 32702
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · Manufactured public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1975 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Handyman Special – Motivated Seller! Cash Only Opportunity Unlock the potential in this 1975 mobile home—perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a solid layout and plenty of opportunity for renovation and customization. Situated on a spacious lot, the property includes multiple outbuildings, providing extra storage, workshop space, or creative possibilities. With some TLC, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-producing property. Seller is highly motivated—bring your offers! Cash only sale. Property is being sold as-is. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity to create value and make it your own!

Key facts

  • Workshop space
  • Extra storage
  • Spacious lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTMULTIPLE OUTBUILDINGSEXTRA STORAGEWORKSHOP SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#885 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $60k implies a 606% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
14.52%
Cash-on-cash
29.38%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.6%
Equity multiple
4.50×
Total profit
$58,869
Equity at exit
$54,053
10-year hold
IRR
40.5%
Equity multiple
10.09×
Total profit
$152,752
Equity at exit
$116,567

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32702

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,006 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $524/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $485
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-04-03
    status Active 740-char remark
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    Handyman Special – Motivated Seller! Cash Only Opportunity Unlock the potential in this 1975 mobile home—perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a solid layout and plenty of opportunity for renovation and customization. Situated on a spacious lot, the property includes multiple outbuildings, providing extra storage, workshop space, or creative possibilities. With some TLC, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-producing property. Seller is highly motivated—bring your offers! Cash only sale. Property is being sold as-is. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity to create value and make it your own!

  17. 2026-03-29
    status Pending 740-char remark
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    Handyman Special – Motivated Seller! Cash Only Opportunity Unlock the potential in this 1975 mobile home—perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a solid layout and plenty of opportunity for renovation and customization. Situated on a spacious lot, the property includes multiple outbuildings, providing extra storage, workshop space, or creative possibilities. With some TLC, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-producing property. Seller is highly motivated—bring your offers! Cash only sale. Property is being sold as-is. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity to create value and make it your own!

  18. 2026-03-23
    listed $60,000 Active 740-char remark
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    Handyman Special – Motivated Seller! Cash Only Opportunity Unlock the potential in this 1975 mobile home—perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a solid layout and plenty of opportunity for renovation and customization. Situated on a spacious lot, the property includes multiple outbuildings, providing extra storage, workshop space, or creative possibilities. With some TLC, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-producing property. Seller is highly motivated—bring your offers! Cash only sale. Property is being sold as-is. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity to create value and make it your own!

  19. 1992-05-01
    soldstatus $8,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$524 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$524 · $44/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,070
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$524
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$966
− Management
−$966
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$4,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,010
After-tax cash flow
$3,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pittman

Score
52/100
State rank
#885
US rank
#25007

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment C Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,732

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.23%
Current HPI
383.8128
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+605.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $524 · +67.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…