9949 SE 309th Ave · Pittman, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman Special – Motivated Seller! Cash Only Opportunity Unlock the potential in this 1975 mobile home—perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a solid layout and plenty of opportunity for renovation and customization. Situated on a spacious lot, the property includes multiple outbuildings, providing extra storage, workshop space, or creative possibilities. With some TLC, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-producing property. Seller is highly motivated—bring your offers! Cash only sale. Property is being sold as-is. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity to create value and make it your own!
Key facts
- Workshop space
- Extra storage
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#885 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $60k implies a 606% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.38%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.50×
- Total profit
- $58,869
- Equity at exit
- $54,053
- IRR
- 40.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.09×
- Total profit
- $152,752
- Equity at exit
- $116,567
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32702
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,006 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $524/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-04-03status Active 740-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
Handyman Special – Motivated Seller! Cash Only Opportunity Unlock the potential in this 1975 mobile home—perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a solid layout and plenty of opportunity for renovation and customization. Situated on a spacious lot, the property includes multiple outbuildings, providing extra storage, workshop space, or creative possibilities. With some TLC, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-producing property. Seller is highly motivated—bring your offers! Cash only sale. Property is being sold as-is. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity to create value and make it your own!
-
2026-03-29status Pending 740-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
Handyman Special – Motivated Seller! Cash Only Opportunity Unlock the potential in this 1975 mobile home—perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a solid layout and plenty of opportunity for renovation and customization. Situated on a spacious lot, the property includes multiple outbuildings, providing extra storage, workshop space, or creative possibilities. With some TLC, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-producing property. Seller is highly motivated—bring your offers! Cash only sale. Property is being sold as-is. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity to create value and make it your own!
-
2026-03-23$60,000 Active 740-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
Handyman Special – Motivated Seller! Cash Only Opportunity Unlock the potential in this 1975 mobile home—perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath property offers a solid layout and plenty of opportunity for renovation and customization. Situated on a spacious lot, the property includes multiple outbuildings, providing extra storage, workshop space, or creative possibilities. With some TLC, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or income-producing property. Seller is highly motivated—bring your offers! Cash only sale. Property is being sold as-is. Don’t miss this affordable opportunity to create value and make it your own!
-
1992-05-01soldstatus $8,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $524 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $524 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$524
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$966
- − Management
- −$966
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,208
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,010
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,926/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pittman
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #885
- US rank
- #25007
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,732
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.23%
- Current HPI
- 383.8128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+605.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Listed $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $524 · +67.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…