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15771 Buchanan Rd
B- Composite 67.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

15771 Buchanan Rd · Stanwood, MI 49346
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1998 0.59 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity await with this 1998 manufactured home featuring a one-car garage. This fixer-upper offers potential for investors, flippers or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Home has experienced water damage to flooring throughout due to frozen ruptured pipes and will require repairs and updates. Property is being sold ''as-is''. * All info and measurements to be verified by buyer and buyers agent.

Key facts

  • 0.59 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1998

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Well water; Electricity available
  • Home design: Ranch style; Residential property; Built in 1998
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: 0.59-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: LP tank owned; Crawl space basement; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Propane water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#654 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Morley Stanwood Community Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #390 of 540 in MI (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Mecosta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mecosta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $99k implies a 890% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.13%
Cash-on-cash
38.71%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$40,941
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
41.7%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$109,110
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49346

Home prices YoY
-27.2%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,998 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$894

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    remarks 405-char remark
  2. 2026-05-31
    listed $99,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,976
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,918
− Management
−$1,918
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$9,734
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,336
After-tax cash flow
$8,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morley Stanwood Community Schools
NCES district ID
2624600
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$40,617
Composite
24.03/100
National rank
#7769
State rank
#390 of 540 in MI

Livability — Stanwood

Score
57/100
State rank
#654
US rank
#22265

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,851

Population outlook (Mecosta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,954 people
By 2030
42,954 · +0.0%
By 2040
41,574 · -3.2%
By 2050
39,250 · -8.6%
By 2075
32,628 · -24.0%
By 2100
27,476 · -36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecosta

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.43%
Current HPI
196.1356
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+890.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $99,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…