15771 Buchanan Rd · Stanwood, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity await with this 1998 manufactured home featuring a one-car garage. This fixer-upper offers potential for investors, flippers or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Home has experienced water damage to flooring throughout due to frozen ruptured pipes and will require repairs and updates. Property is being sold ''as-is''. * All info and measurements to be verified by buyer and buyers agent.
Key facts
- 0.59 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Well water; Electricity available
- Home design: Ranch style; Residential property; Built in 1998
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: 0.59-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: LP tank owned; Crawl space basement; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Propane water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#654 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Morley Stanwood Community Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #390 of 540 in MI (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Mecosta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mecosta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $99k implies a 890% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.71%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $40,941
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $109,110
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49346
- Home prices YoY
- -27.2%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,998 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $894
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-31remarks 405-char remark
-
2026-05-31$99,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,976
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,918
- − Management
- −$1,918
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $9,734
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,336
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morley Stanwood Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2624600
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,617
- Composite
- 24.03/100
- National rank
- #7769
- State rank
- #390 of 540 in MI
Livability — Stanwood
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #654
- US rank
- #22265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,851
Population outlook (Mecosta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,954 people
- By 2030
- 42,954 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 41,574 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 39,250 · -8.6%
- By 2075
- 32,628 · -24.0%
- By 2100
- 27,476 · -36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mecosta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.43%
- Current HPI
- 196.1356
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+890.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-27 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-27 Listed $99,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2006-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…