🏷️ Likely Rental
10-12 Columbia St · Oneonta, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity is calling you from this duplex in the City of Oneonta offering flexible living and rental options. Side by side unit apartments each offer a formal dining room, comfortable living room and a full bath. Apartment #10 (right unit) is vacant and offers 3 bedrooms, while Apartment #12 (left unit) is tenant occupied and has 2 bedrooms. Both units have separate front porch access, share a laundry room conveniently on the first floor, and have separate utilities. The property also features ample off-street parking with each unit having space on either side of the house and a spacious shared backyard. This could be a great owner occupied or good investment! Located close to
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Full bath
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays grounds care, trash collection, and water; Current rents: Unit 1 $950 (leased), Unit 2 $1,350; Operating expenses include insurance, licenses, trash, and water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story multi-family building; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes an oven/range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies by area
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (total of 2 full bathrooms in the building)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with forced air
- Interior features: Includes a formal dining room, living room, and porch; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.5% in Oneonta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#253 in NY, #4,021 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Oneonta City School District (town): math 46% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #374 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Otsego County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.76%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,799
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- -47.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Church St | 0.17mi | 6/2.0 | 1,976 (+4%) | 15mo | $272,000 | $138 | 73 |
| 12 Academy St | 0.49mi | 6/3.5 | 2,084 (+10%) | 24mo | $269,900 | $130 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $90,603
- Equity at exit
- $134,231
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.23×
- Total profit
- $260,023
- Equity at exit
- $289,474
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13820
- Home prices YoY
- 22.7%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,908 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$463 /mo · $5,558/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-24$149,000 Active 800-char remark
-
2026-04-23historical
-
2026-01-23status Active
-
2026-01-07status Pending
-
2025-12-27$159,000 Active
-
2025-12-12historical
-
2025-09-04$179,000 Active
-
2021-07-12soldstatus $158,000
-
2021-07-09soldstatus $158,000
-
2021-04-13$167,500
-
2005-08-05soldstatus $129,900
-
2002-05-31soldstatus $72,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,558 · $463/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,558 · $463/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,890
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$5,558
- − Insurance
- −$1,412
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,831
- − Management
- −$1,831
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable loss
- −$423
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$101
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,839/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oneonta City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621780
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,631
- Composite
- 43.19/100
- National rank
- #3066
- State rank
- #374 of 590 in NY
Livability — Oneonta
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #4021
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oneonta, NY
- County
- Otsego County · 23,056 people
- City population
- 23,056
- Metro
- Oneonta, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,056
- Household income
- $65,953
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 662.0
Population outlook (Otsego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,987 people
- By 2030
- 55,403 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 50,336 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 45,715 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 38,769 · -33.1%
- By 2100
- 33,468 · -42.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otsego
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 46.1% · R 53.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 67.86%
- Current HPI
- 366.3391
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oneonta, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+106.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $149,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-01-23 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2026-01-07 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-12-27 Listed $159,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-12-12 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $179,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-09 Sold (MLS) $158,000 ODBOR
- 2021-04-13 Listed $167,500 ODBOR
- 2005-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
- 2002-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,558 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…