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1023 Ross Ave
D Composite 42.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1023 Ross Ave · Alice, TX 78332
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,328 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1982 10,498 sqft lot $90/sqft · 36% below area Est $189k · 36% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled on a peaceful street in Alice, 2 bedroom 2 full bath home offers 1328 square feet of comfortable living space. Inside you'll be greeted with beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout the main living areas. A flexible bonus room provides the perfect space for a home office, hobby room or additional living area, while the bright sunroom offers a relaxing space to enjoy morning coffee or unwind while overlooking the backyard. The spacious backyard provides plenty of room to relax, entertain or expand outdoor living. A large workshop plus two additional storage sheds offer exceptional flexibility for hobbies, equipment or business-related uses. Conveniently located with walking distance to Anderson Park while still offering privacy this property is ideal for those seeking functionality and charm in a quiet setting.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Flexible bonus room
  • Large workshop

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFLEXIBLE BONUS ROOMBRIGHT SUNROOMSPACIOUS BACKYARDLARGE WORKSHOPTWO ADDITIONAL STORAGE SHEDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-617/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (7.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.1% in Alice — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#558 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Alice ISD (town): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #799 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Adams Middle (math 10% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 1,029 students, 84% FRL); Alice H S (math 9% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 1,290 students, 77% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6 units permitted in Jim Wells County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jim Wells County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,446 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.84%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$188,540
List price
$120,000
Delta
-36.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1117 Las Palmas Cir 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,418 (+7%) 12mo $219,000 $154 68
1202 Ebony Cir 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,436 (+8%) 7mo $289,000 $201 67
917 Corazan St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+14%) 2mo $185,000 $122 66
1305 Corazan Ave 0.18mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,453 (+9%) 20mo $195,000 $134 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-22,684
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-23,827
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78332

Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,024 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$181 /mo · $2,177/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$-51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,090
Max offer price $110,920
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17 -5% $-17 +0% $-51 +5% $-85 +10% $-119
Rent -10% $-132 -5% $-92 +0% $-51 +5% $-11 +10% $30
Rate -1.0pp $9 -0.5pp $-21 base $-51 +0.5pp $-82 +1.0pp $-114

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
901 Sunset Dr Unit DRIVE-77 Alice, TX 2.0 1.0 959 $975 $1.02 26d 1 1.28mi
901 Sunset Dr Alice, TX 2.0 1.0 895 $1,100 $1.23 26d 1 1.29mi
901 Sunset Dr Alice, TX 2.0 1.0 959 $975 $1.02 24d 1 1.29mi
901 Sunset Dr Alice, TX 2.0 1.0 959 $975 $1.02 5d 1 1.29mi
901 Sunset Dr Unit DRIVE-76 Alice, TX 2.0 1.0 959 $950 $0.99 26d 1 1.29mi
516 E 6th St Unit B Alice, TX 2.0 1.0 920 $1,200 $1.30 26d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful street in Alice, 2 bedroom 2 full bath home offers 1328 square feet of comfortable living space. Inside you'll be greeted with beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout the main living areas. A flexible bonus room provides the perfect space for a home office, hobby room or additional living area, while the bright sunroom offers a relaxing space to enjoy morning coffee or unwind while overlooking the backyard. The spacious backyard provides plenty of room to relax, entertain or expand outdoor living. A large workshop plus two additional storage sheds offer exceptional flexibility for hobbies, equipment or business-related uses. Conveniently located with walking distance to Anderson Park while still offering privacy this property is ideal for those seeking functionality and charm in a quiet setting.

  2. 2026-03-05
    price $120,000 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful street in Alice, 2 bedroom 2 full bath home offers 1328 square feet of comfortable living space. Inside you'll be greeted with beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout the main living areas. A flexible bonus room provides the perfect space for a home office, hobby room or additional living area, while the bright sunroom offers a relaxing space to enjoy morning coffee or unwind while overlooking the backyard. The spacious backyard provides plenty of room to relax, entertain or expand outdoor living. A large workshop plus two additional storage sheds offer exceptional flexibility for hobbies, equipment or business-related uses. Conveniently located with walking distance to Anderson Park while still offering privacy this property is ideal for those seeking functionality and charm in a quiet setting.

  3. 2026-02-11
    listed $130,000 Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Nestled on a peaceful street in Alice, 2 bedroom 2 full bath home offers 1328 square feet of comfortable living space. Inside you'll be greeted with beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout the main living areas. A flexible bonus room provides the perfect space for a home office, hobby room or additional living area, while the bright sunroom offers a relaxing space to enjoy morning coffee or unwind while overlooking the backyard. The spacious backyard provides plenty of room to relax, entertain or expand outdoor living. A large workshop plus two additional storage sheds offer exceptional flexibility for hobbies, equipment or business-related uses. Conveniently located with walking distance to Anderson Park while still offering privacy this property is ideal for those seeking functionality and charm in a quiet setting.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,177 · $181/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,196 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$19/yr (+$2/mo · 0.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,294
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,177
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$983
− Management
−$983
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$2,663
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$639
After-tax cash flow
$22/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alice ISD
NCES district ID
4807800
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$37,747
Composite
14.63/100
National rank
#9407
State rank
#799 of 826 in TX

Livability — Alice

Score
67/100
State rank
#558
US rank
#10742

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alice, TX
Population (ZIP)
27,281

Population outlook (Jim Wells County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,325 people
By 2030
44,156 · +1.9%
By 2040
45,790 · +5.7%
By 2050
47,455 · +9.5%
By 2075
51,800 · +19.6%
By 2100
52,006 · +20.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 84% White 14% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 49%

Political lean MEDSL · Jim Wells

2024 margin
R (+15.5) · D 42.0% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -15.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.5 2020: R+9.8 2016: D+10.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.86%
Current HPI
77.6253
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending CBMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $120,000 CBMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $130,000 CBMLS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,177 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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