212 S Main St · North East, MD
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Br, 2ba 1/2 a duplex with apartment in back with 2BR, 1BA. One-car garage. Wall-to-wall carpet.
Key facts
- 7,230 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (front entry); Driveway; Total of 1 garage parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Other foundation type
- Exterior features: Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Located in city limits (North East)
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Semi-detached structure
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $222k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.1% in North East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#164 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, schools D-, crime D-.
- Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $225k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.24%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,198
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -4.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-4,432
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $40,564
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21901
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,593 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,472/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$544
- Net cashflow
- $485
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $613 | -5% $549 | +0% $485 | +5% $422 | +10% $358 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $280 | -5% $383 | +0% $485 | +5% $588 | +10% $690 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $599 | -0.5pp $543 | base $485 | +0.5pp $427 | +1.0pp $368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-24$225,000 Active 333-char remark
-
2004-06-15soldstatus $105,000 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
3 Br, 2ba 1/2 a duplex with apartment in back with 2BR, 1BA. One-car garage. Wall-to-wall carpet.
-
2004-05-21$119,900 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
3 Br, 2ba 1/2 a duplex with apartment in back with 2BR, 1BA. One-car garage. Wall-to-wall carpet.
-
2004-05-21historical 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
3 Br, 2ba 1/2 a duplex with apartment in back with 2BR, 1BA. One-car garage. Wall-to-wall carpet.
-
1996-10-28soldstatus $150,000
-
1996-10-19soldstatus $75,000
-
1996-09-11historical
-
1996-08-22$74,000
-
1986-05-19soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,472 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,472 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,113
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,472
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,489
- − Management
- −$2,489
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $2,389
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$573
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cecil County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400240
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,544
- Composite
- 21.51/100
- National rank
- #8322
- State rank
- #15 of 24 in MD
Livability — North East
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #164
- US rank
- #7366
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North East, MD
- County
- Cecil County · 65,041 people
- City population
- 19,514
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,514
- Household income
- $113,719
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 427.0
Population outlook (Cecil County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,877 people
- By 2030
- 106,905 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 107,156 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 104,170 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 95,771 · -9.5%
- By 2100
- 82,381 · -22.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Cecil
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.5% · R 64.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.98%
- Current HPI
- 236.852
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+350.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-06-15 Sold (MLS) $105,000 MRIS
- 2004-05-21 Listed $119,900 MRIS
- 2004-05-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1996-10-19 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MRIS
- 1996-09-11 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-08-22 Listed $74,000 MRIS
- 1986-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,472 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…