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223 Thirwell Ave
C+ Composite 61.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

223 Thirwell Ave · Hazleton, PA 18201
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1900 $99/sqft · 37% below area Est $189k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice Single in desirable Hazleton Heights. Large Living and Dining Rms. Kitchen semi-modern. Gas Heat a plus. Three Bedrooms. Plus a full heated attic for a 4th bedroom and storage. Nice size lot. Garage is small is used for storage.

Key facts

  • Nice size lot
  • Full heated attic
  • Gas heat

Tags

GAS HEATFULL HEATED ATTICNICE SIZE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Three or more levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asbestos shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Fenced lot; Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; Radiant heating; Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Dining room fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.5% in Hazleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#930 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.36%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,061
List price
$159,000
Delta
-15.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
234 Berner Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,598 (-0%) 12mo $190,000 $119 83
276 Poplar St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,600 (0%) 4mo $150,500 $94 72
204 Samuels Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,456 (-9%) 2mo $175,000 $120 68
528 Samuels Ave 0.39mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,569 (-2%) 6mo $250,000 $159 67
144 Carleton Ave 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,456 (-9%) 19mo $175,000 $120 58
142 Carleton Ave 0.13mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,456 (-9%) 20mo $150,000 $103 55
534 Muir Ave 0.36mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,475 (-8%) 8mo $215,000 $146 53
129 Buttonwood St 0.49mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,614 (+1%) 12mo $220,000 $136 52
221 Muir Ave 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,360 (-15%) 13mo $215,000 $158 51
100 Franklin St 0.72mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,656 (+4%) 1mo $260,000 $157 46
306 Elm St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,442 (-10%) 14mo $139,000 $96 36
1413 Roberts Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,758 (+10%) 16mo $312,000 $177 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-8,334
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$15,322
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18201

Home prices YoY
-14.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,780 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,800/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$273

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,435
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $318 +0% $273 +5% $228 +10% $183
Rent -10% $132 -5% $203 +0% $273 +5% $343 +10% $414
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $313 base $273 +0.5pp $232 +1.0pp $190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 233-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $159,000 Active 233-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,800 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,800 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,362
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$2,800
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,709
− Management
−$1,709
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$817
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$196
After-tax cash flow
$3,079/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazleton Area SD
NCES district ID
4211700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$42,247
Composite
20.44/100
National rank
#8582
State rank
#476 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hazleton

Score
67/100
State rank
#930
US rank
#10115

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazleton, PA
City population
13,755
Population (ZIP)
31,428

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% White 36% Two or more races 18% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 41%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
43% English-only · Spanish 54% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.00%
Current HPI
354.7443
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2026-06-02 Sold (MLS) $170,000 LCAR
  • 2026-05-05 Pending LCAR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $159,000 LCAR

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,800 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…