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1804 N Hope Rd
B Composite 70.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

1804 N Hope Rd · Midland, MI 48642
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,809 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1883 1.92 ac lot $64/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits at 1804 N Hope Rd in Midland, MI, offering incredible flexibility for homeowners and investors alike. This two-story home features limitless potential as a rental property, multi-generational home, or owner-occupied residence with an in-law suite. Situated on approximately 2 acres in the historic Averill community of Lincoln Township, this property provides a peaceful country setting while still being just minutes from Midland and Sanford. The main home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 ½ bathrooms, with a functional layout that includes a spacious living room, kitchen, and main-floor laundry. Upstairs you'll find all three bedrooms with large closets, plus a bonus room that could serve as an office, playroom, or additional storage space. Attached to the home is a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartment, currently set up as a rental but easily converted into a private in-law suite or guest quarters, making this property ideal for multi-generational living or additional income potential. Outside, the 2-car attached garage and expansive 2-acre lot provide plenty of room for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future improvements. The location offers convenient access to the Pere Marquette Rail-Trail, perfect for biking, walking, and enjoying the outdoors, while still being close to shopping, dining, and schools in both Midland and Sanford. If you're looking for space, versatility, and investment potential in a desirable rural setting, this property is a must-see.

Key facts

  • 1.92 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1883

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $794 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 4.4% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#28 in MI, #578 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Meridian Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #225 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Meridian Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #484 of 1,397 statewide, top 38%, 543 students, 55% FRL); Meridian Junior High School (math 21% / reading 45%, grade F, #306 of 493 statewide, top 63%, 396 students, 48% FRL); Meridian Early College High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #154 of 713 statewide, top 25%, 408 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 99 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 320 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Midland County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $115k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1883 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1883 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.58%
Cash-on-cash
29.58%
DSCR
2.32
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$286,078
List price
$115,000
Delta
-59.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$27,259
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$70,608
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48642

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,983 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,466/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$794

Break-even live

Break-even rent $979
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $859 -5% $826 +0% $794 +5% $761 +10% $729
Rent -10% $637 -5% $715 +0% $794 +5% $872 +10% $950
Rate -1.0pp $852 -0.5pp $823 base $794 +0.5pp $764 +1.0pp $734

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $115,000 Pending 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 66 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,000 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-04-07
    listed $115,000 Active 1498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1509 chars)

    Opportunity awaits at 1804 N Hope Rd in Midland, MI, offering incredible flexibility for homeowners and investors alike. This two-story home features limitless potential as a rental property, multi-generational home, or owner-occupied residence with an in-law suite. Situated on approximately 2 acres in the historic Averill community of Lincoln Township, this property provides a peaceful country setting while still being just minutes from Midland and Sanford. The main home offers 3 bedrooms and 1½ bathrooms, with a functional layout that includes a spacious living room, kitchen, and main-floor laundry. Upstairs you’ll find all three bedrooms with large closets, plus a bonus room that could serve as an office, playroom, or additional storage space. Attached to the home is a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartment, currently set up as a rental but easily converted into a private in-law suite or guest quarters, making this property ideal for multi-generational living or additional income potential. Outside, the 2-car attached garage and expansive 2-acre lot provide plenty of room for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future improvements. The location offers convenient access to the Pere Marquette Rail-Trail, perfect for biking, walking, and enjoying the outdoors, while still being close to shopping, dining, and schools in both Midland and Sanford. If you’re looking for space, versatility, and investment potential in a desirable rural setting, this property is a must-see.

  13. 2026-04-07
    listed $115,000 Active 1509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1509 chars)

    Opportunity awaits at 1804 N Hope Rd in Midland, MI, offering incredible flexibility for homeowners and investors alike. This two-story home features limitless potential as a rental property, multi-generational home, or owner-occupied residence with an in-law suite. Situated on approximately 2 acres in the historic Averill community of Lincoln Township, this property provides a peaceful country setting while still being just minutes from Midland and Sanford. The main home offers 3 bedrooms and 1½ bathrooms, with a functional layout that includes a spacious living room, kitchen, and main-floor laundry. Upstairs you’ll find all three bedrooms with large closets, plus a bonus room that could serve as an office, playroom, or additional storage space. Attached to the home is a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartment, currently set up as a rental but easily converted into a private in-law suite or guest quarters, making this property ideal for multi-generational living or additional income potential. Outside, the 2-car attached garage and expansive 2-acre lot provide plenty of room for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future improvements. The location offers convenient access to the Pere Marquette Rail-Trail, perfect for biking, walking, and enjoying the outdoors, while still being close to shopping, dining, and schools in both Midland and Sanford. If you’re looking for space, versatility, and investment potential in a desirable rural setting, this property is a must-see.

  14. 2026-01-23
    historical
  15. 2025-12-08
    price $109,900
  16. 2025-09-21
    price $114,900
  17. 2025-07-22
    listed $124,900 Active
  18. 2016-08-19
    soldstatus $45,000
  19. 2004-01-14
    soldstatus $54,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,466 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,619 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$152/yr (+$13/mo · 10.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,802
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,466
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,904
− Management
−$1,904
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$8,165
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,960
After-tax cash flow
$7,566/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Meridian Public Schools
NCES district ID
2623580
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$51,641
Composite
33.34/100
National rank
#5493
State rank
#225 of 540 in MI

Livability — Midland

Score
85/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#578

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Midland County · 66,531 people
City population
66,531
Metro
Midland, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,039
Household income
$77,847
Rent vs Own
25.3% rent · 74.7% own
Severe rent burden
935.0

Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,968 people
By 2030
83,368 · -0.7%
By 2040
80,713 · -3.9%
By 2050
76,698 · -8.7%
By 2075
67,617 · -19.5%
By 2100
57,529 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Midland

2024 margin
R (+15.2) · D 41.6% · R 56.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -15.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.2 2020: R+14.6 2016: R+19.4 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.89%
Current HPI
192.0812
Rent YoY
▲ 0.60%
Metro
Midland, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-21 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2004-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $54,400 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,466 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…