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8926 Vista De Palmas Dr
B- Composite 69.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

8926 Vista De Palmas Dr · Edinburg, TX 78539
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 854 sqft · SingleFamily · 21 Days on market
Built 1990 Good condition 1.15 ac lot $93/sqft · 42% below area Est $137k · 42% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to peaceful country living in Monte Alto! This well-maintained manufactured home sits on 1.15 acres, offering plenty of space, privacy, and endless possibilities. The home features 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, making it perfect for a starter home, downsizing, or an investment opportunity. Enjoy the wide-open space for outdoor activities, future expansion, or even adding additional structures. The property has been well cared for and provides a quiet setting while still being conveniently located near surrounding cities like Edinburg and Elsa. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat, rental property, or a place to call home with room to grow—this property delivers value and f

Key facts

  • 1.15 acres
  • Quiet setting
  • Wide open space

Tags

1.15 ACRESWIDE OPEN SPACEQUIET SETTINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage or carport (no covered parking); 0 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric service (implied)
  • Home design: Single-story structure
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Building area about 854
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Dirt road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater; No conveying appliances
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Laminate and solid surface countertops; Window coverings; Includes maid quarters
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($966 rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.4% in Edinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#784 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Monte Alto ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #777 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,815 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.77%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,975
List price
$79,000
Delta
-41.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-1,794
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$5,357
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78539

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
406
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$966 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $272 -5% $244 +0% $217 +5% $190 +10% $162
Rent -10% $141 -5% $179 +0% $217 +5% $255 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $257 -0.5pp $237 base $217 +0.5pp $197 +1.0pp $176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-04-22
    price $79,900 781-char remark
  14. 2026-04-07
    price $85,000 781-char remark
  15. 2026-03-24
    listed $92,000 Active 781-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,590
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$927
− Management
−$927
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$1,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$344
After-tax cash flow
$2,261/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained manufactured home offers a good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Both Replace air conditioning unit — Improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Both Replace air conditioning unit — Improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monte Alto ISD
NCES district ID
4831230
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$36,135
Composite
17.38/100
National rank
#9069
State rank
#777 of 826 in TX

Livability — Edinburg

Score
64/100
State rank
#784
US rank
#14319

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
City population
178,279
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
37,168
Household income
$66,967
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
1525.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 45% White 10% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 77% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada
Languages at home
32% English-only · Spanish 64% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.52%
Current HPI
211.4723
Rent YoY
▼ -0.52%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $79,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $79,900 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $85,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $92,000 MCALLENMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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