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333 Greenly St
B+ Composite 75.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

333 Greenly St · Adrian, MI 49221
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily · 68 Days on market
Built 1945 8,276 sqft lot Est $160k · 44% under ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

They say to take advantage of good opportunities right? Well then don't miss out on this beautiful Dutch colonial style home located in the heart of Adrian MI. This wonderful corner lot home is a 3 minute drive from Adrian college and almost walking distance from restaurants and a grocery store. Inside your greeted with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 Baths and a big living room. Enclosed front porch gives you a great area to decompress after a long day or drink your morning coffee. This is a diamond in the rough for an investor or individual looking to turn it into their dream home! All offers subject to probate court approval.

Key facts

  • Dutch colonial style
  • Corner lot
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

DUTCH COLONIAL STYLECORNER LOTENCLOSED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 5.6% in Adrian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#342 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
  • Adrian School District (town): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #370 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
15.11%
Cash-on-cash
31.51%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
416 Allis St 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,816 (+4%) 4mo $142,500 $78 62
443 Stockford Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,916 (+10%) 6mo $176,600 $92 58
146 Budlong St 0.36mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,550 (-11%) 4mo $270,000 $174 53
229 Clinton St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,621 (-7%) 2mo $76,250 $47 52
1115 W Maumee St 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,811 (+4%) 10mo $194,000 $107 50
695 Budlong St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,684 (-3%) 8mo $265,000 $157 49
376 Budlong St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,507 (-13%) 8mo $135,000 $90 48
710 N Broad St 0.70mi 4/2.5 1,836 (+6%) 8mo $188,000 $102 48
216 Budlong St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,480 (-15%) 10mo $155,000 $105 44
404 S Mckenzie St S 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,918 (+10%) 3mo $173,000 $90 44
903 Michigan Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,551 (-11%) 6mo $138,000 $89 40
426 State St 0.69mi 4/1.5 1,518 (-13%) 9mo $133,000 $88 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$27,566
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$78,375
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49221

Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,659 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,686/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$661

Break-even live

Break-even rent $822
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $712 -5% $686 +0% $661 +5% $635 +10% $610
Rent -10% $530 -5% $595 +0% $661 +5% $726 +10% $792
Rate -1.0pp $706 -0.5pp $684 base $661 +0.5pp $638 +1.0pp $614

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-03-28
    status Pending 620-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    They say to take advantage of good opportunities right? Well then don't miss out on this beautiful Dutch colonial style home located in the heart of Adrian MI. This wonderful corner lot home is a 3 minute drive from Adrian college and almost walking distance from restaurants and a grocery store. Inside your greeted with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 Baths and a big living room. Enclosed front porch gives you a great area to decompress after a long day or drink your morning coffee. This is a diamond in the rough for an investor or individual looking to turn it into their dream home! All offers subject to probate court approval.

  2. 2026-03-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    They say to take advantage of good opportunities right? Well then don't miss out on this beautiful Dutch colonial style home located in the heart of Adrian MI. This wonderful corner lot home is a 3 minute drive from Adrian college and almost walking distance from restaurants and a grocery store. Inside your greeted with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 Baths and a big living room. Enclosed front porch gives you a great area to decompress after a long day or drink your morning coffee. This is a diamond in the rough for an investor or individual looking to turn it into their dream home! All offers subject to probate court approval.

  3. 2026-02-17
    price $89,900 620-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    They say to take advantage of good opportunities right? Well then don't miss out on this beautiful Dutch colonial style home located in the heart of Adrian MI. This wonderful corner lot home is a 3 minute drive from Adrian college and almost walking distance from restaurants and a grocery store. Inside your greeted with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 Baths and a big living room. Enclosed front porch gives you a great area to decompress after a long day or drink your morning coffee. This is a diamond in the rough for an investor or individual looking to turn it into their dream home! All offers subject to probate court approval.

  4. 2026-02-17
    price $89,900
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    They say to take advantage of good opportunities right? Well then don't miss out on this beautiful Dutch colonial style home located in the heart of Adrian MI. This wonderful corner lot home is a 3 minute drive from Adrian college and almost walking distance from restaurants and a grocery store. Inside your greeted with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 Baths and a big living room. Enclosed front porch gives you a great area to decompress after a long day or drink your morning coffee. This is a diamond in the rough for an investor or individual looking to turn it into their dream home! All offers subject to probate court approval.

  5. 2026-01-23
    price $100,000 620-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    They say to take advantage of good opportunities right? Well then don't miss out on this beautiful Dutch colonial style home located in the heart of Adrian MI. This wonderful corner lot home is a 3 minute drive from Adrian college and almost walking distance from restaurants and a grocery store. Inside your greeted with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 Baths and a big living room. Enclosed front porch gives you a great area to decompress after a long day or drink your morning coffee. This is a diamond in the rough for an investor or individual looking to turn it into their dream home! All offers subject to probate court approval.

  6. 2026-01-22
    price $100,000
  7. 2026-01-20
    listed $110,000 Active
  8. 2026-01-19
    listed $110,000 Active 620-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    They say to take advantage of good opportunities right? Well then don't miss out on this beautiful Dutch colonial style home located in the heart of Adrian MI. This wonderful corner lot home is a 3 minute drive from Adrian college and almost walking distance from restaurants and a grocery store. Inside your greeted with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 Baths and a big living room. Enclosed front porch gives you a great area to decompress after a long day or drink your morning coffee. This is a diamond in the rough for an investor or individual looking to turn it into their dream home! All offers subject to probate court approval.

  9. 2026-01-01
    historical
  10. 2026-01-01
    historical
  11. 2025-11-21
    price $110,000
  12. 2025-11-20
    price $110,000
  13. 2025-11-08
    price $130,000
  14. 2025-11-08
    price $130,000
  15. 2025-10-01
    listed $140,000 Active
  16. 2025-10-01
    listed $140,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,686 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,686 · $141/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,903
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,686
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,592
− Management
−$1,592
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$6,932
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,664
After-tax cash flow
$6,267/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Adrian School District
NCES district ID
2601950
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$41,288
Composite
25.33/100
National rank
#7480
State rank
#370 of 540 in MI

Livability — Adrian

Score
69/100
State rank
#342
US rank
#8722

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Adrian, MI
City population
41,041
Population (ZIP)
41,041

Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,497 people
By 2030
92,722 · -2.9%
By 2040
85,641 · -10.3%
By 2050
77,971 · -18.4%
By 2075
60,043 · -37.1%
By 2100
41,468 · -56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.64%
Current HPI
237.3796
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,686 · -12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…