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130 Edgewood Dr
B- Composite 66.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

130 Edgewood Dr · Denton, MI 48651
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1950 6,098 sqft lot Est $105k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained and full of rustic knotty pine charm, this updated log cabin sits within 2 blocks from beautiful Houghton Lake. At end of street a boat launch for lake access. Offering 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, this cozy getaway also features a detached 16' x 24' insulated garage with storage above, providing plenty of room for your ATV, golf cart, fishing boat, and other Up North toys. Numerous updates have been completed within the last five years, including a new metal roof, well pump, pressure tank, hot water heater, refrigerator, wall furnace, and new sunroom windows for evening relaxing. Blending classic cabin character with the comfort of modern updates, this property offers the perfect Up North retreat walking distance to the largest inland lake in Michigan and all the recreational opportunities for summer fun swimming, fishing, boating, jet ski, winter snowmobiling, and Houghton Lake’s Tipup Town !

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • New well pump
  • New hot water heater

Tags

DETACHED GARAGENEW METAL ROOFNEW WELL PUMPNEW PRESSURE TANKNEW HOT WATER HEATERNEW REFRIGERATOR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Private well water; Shared septic
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Log construction
  • Construction: Log construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 120; Lot about 0.14 acres; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and other living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Houghton Lake Community Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #410 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Roscommon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roscommon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $105k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.96%
Cash-on-cash
20.25%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,832
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 Maple Bluffs Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 (+1) 570 (-9%) 1mo $100,000 $175 73
106 Toepher Dr 0.29mi 2/1.0 (+1) 620 (-1%) 16mo $70,000 $113 67
107 Sheridan Dr 0.18mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (+8%) 10mo $75,000 $112 65
216 Cottage Dr 0.32mi 2/1.0 (+1) 600 (-4%) 13mo $101,000 $168 63
209 Deer Track Dr 0.33mi 2/1.0 (+1) 600 (-4%) 15mo $109,000 $182 61
2757 Owens Dr Unit 84 0.55mi 1/1.0 615 (-1%) 17mo $82,900 $135 58
213 Cottage Dr 0.29mi 2/2.0 (+1) 640 (+3%) 18mo $50,000 $78 58
130 Stratford Dr 0.21mi 2/1.0 (+1) 591 (-5%) 24mo $72,400 $123 56
120 Kimberly Dr 0.38mi 2/1.0 (+1) 640 (+3%) 20mo $183,000 $286 56
126 Cottage Dr 0.27mi 2/1.0 (+1) 560 (-10%) 20mo $119,550 $213 48
326A Kimberly Dr 0.60mi 2/1.0 (+1) 714 (+14%) 22mo $250,000 $350 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$14,579
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$53,367
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48651

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,060/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$496

Break-even live

Break-even rent $864
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $105,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,500 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,500 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,500 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,500 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,500 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,500 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,500 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,500 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,500 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,500 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,500 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,500 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,500 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,500 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    price $115,500 940-char remark
    Show marketing remark (940 chars)

    Well-maintained and full of rustic knotty pine charm, this updated log cabin sits within 2 blocks from beautiful Houghton Lake. At end of street a boat launch for lake access. Offering 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, this cozy getaway also features a detached 16' x 24' insulated garage with storage above, providing plenty of room for your ATV, golf cart, fishing boat, and other Up North toys. Numerous updates have been completed within the last five years, including a new metal roof, well pump, pressure tank, hot water heater, refrigerator, wall furnace, and new sunroom windows for evening relaxing. Blending classic cabin character with the comfort of modern updates, this property offers the perfect Up North retreat walking distance to the largest inland lake in Michigan and all the recreational opportunities for summer fun swimming, fishing, boating, jet ski, winter snowmobiling, and Houghton Lake’s Tipup Town !

  18. 2026-05-21
    price $115,500
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    Well-maintained and full of rustic knotty pine charm, this updated log cabin sits within 2 blocks from beautiful Houghton Lake. At the end of the street is a boat launch for lake access. Offering 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, this cozy getaway also features a detached 16x24 insulated garage with storage above, providing plenty of room for your ATV, golf cart, fishing boat, and other Up North toys. Numerous updates have been completed within the last five years, including a new metal roof, well pump, pressure tank, hot water heater, refrigerator, wall furnace, and new sunroom windows for evening relaxing. Blending classic cabin character with the comfort of modern updates, this property offers the perfect Up North retreat walking distance to the largest inland lake in Michigan and all the recreational opportunities for summer fun including swimming, fishing, boating, jet ski, riding trails in your ATV, winter snowmobiling, and Houghton Lake's Tipup Town!

  19. 2026-05-21
    price $115,500 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    Well-maintained and full of rustic knotty pine charm, this updated log cabin sits within 2 blocks from beautiful Houghton Lake. At the end of the street is a boat launch for lake access. Offering 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, this cozy getaway also features a detached 16x24 insulated garage with storage above, providing plenty of room for your ATV, golf cart, fishing boat, and other Up North toys. Numerous updates have been completed within the last five years, including a new metal roof, well pump, pressure tank, hot water heater, refrigerator, wall furnace, and new sunroom windows for evening relaxing. Blending classic cabin character with the comfort of modern updates, this property offers the perfect Up North retreat walking distance to the largest inland lake in Michigan and all the recreational opportunities for summer fun including swimming, fishing, boating, jet ski, riding trails in your ATV, winter snowmobiling, and Houghton Lake's Tipup Town!

  20. 2026-04-16
    listed $119,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    Well-maintained and full of rustic knotty pine charm, this updated log cabin sits within 2 blocks from beautiful Houghton Lake. At the end of the street is a boat launch for lake access. Offering 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, this cozy getaway also features a detached 16x24 insulated garage with storage above, providing plenty of room for your ATV, golf cart, fishing boat, and other Up North toys. Numerous updates have been completed within the last five years, including a new metal roof, well pump, pressure tank, hot water heater, refrigerator, wall furnace, and new sunroom windows for evening relaxing. Blending classic cabin character with the comfort of modern updates, this property offers the perfect Up North retreat walking distance to the largest inland lake in Michigan and all the recreational opportunities for summer fun including swimming, fishing, boating, jet ski, riding trails in your ATV, winter snowmobiling, and Houghton Lake's Tipup Town!

  21. 2026-04-16
    listed $119,900 Active 965-char remark
    Show marketing remark (965 chars)

    Well-maintained and full of rustic knotty pine charm, this updated log cabin sits within 2 blocks from beautiful Houghton Lake. At the end of the street is a boat launch for lake access. Offering 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, this cozy getaway also features a detached 16x24 insulated garage with storage above, providing plenty of room for your ATV, golf cart, fishing boat, and other Up North toys. Numerous updates have been completed within the last five years, including a new metal roof, well pump, pressure tank, hot water heater, refrigerator, wall furnace, and new sunroom windows for evening relaxing. Blending classic cabin character with the comfort of modern updates, this property offers the perfect Up North retreat walking distance to the largest inland lake in Michigan and all the recreational opportunities for summer fun including swimming, fishing, boating, jet ski, riding trails in your ATV, winter snowmobiling, and Houghton Lake's Tipup Town!

  22. 2026-04-15
    listed $119,900 Active 940-char remark
    Show marketing remark (940 chars)

    Well-maintained and full of rustic knotty pine charm, this updated log cabin sits within 2 blocks from beautiful Houghton Lake. At end of street a boat launch for lake access. Offering 1 bedroom and 1 full bath, this cozy getaway also features a detached 16' x 24' insulated garage with storage above, providing plenty of room for your ATV, golf cart, fishing boat, and other Up North toys. Numerous updates have been completed within the last five years, including a new metal roof, well pump, pressure tank, hot water heater, refrigerator, wall furnace, and new sunroom windows for evening relaxing. Blending classic cabin character with the comfort of modern updates, this property offers the perfect Up North retreat walking distance to the largest inland lake in Michigan and all the recreational opportunities for summer fun swimming, fishing, boating, jet ski, winter snowmobiling, and Houghton Lake’s Tipup Town !

  23. 2020-09-30
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,060 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,338 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$278/yr (+$23/mo · 26.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,906
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,060
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,433
− Management
−$1,433
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$4,520
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,085
After-tax cash flow
$4,869/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houghton Lake Community Schools
NCES district ID
2618600
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,744
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8158
State rank
#410 of 540 in MI

Livability — Denton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Houghton Lake, MI
Population (ZIP)
4,331

Population outlook (Roscommon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,249 people
By 2030
21,206 · -4.7%
By 2040
19,070 · -14.3%
By 2050
17,564 · -21.1%
By 2075
15,420 · -30.7%
By 2100
13,168 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roscommon

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.9) · D 32.9% · R 65.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -32.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.9 2020: R+30.0 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.27%
Current HPI
252.9662
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $115,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $115,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $115,500 WWMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $119,900 WWMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-09-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 WWMLS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,060 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…