1987 W Melvina St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$26,250
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
City Tax Foreclosure - 3BR Single Family w/ 1,382 square feet, and more. City Scope of Essential Work is $20,900 Total scope of work is $23,800. Room and lot sizes are estimates & all information should be verified. Property being sold in 'as-is' condition. Bring flashlights & use caution when entering.
Key facts
- 2,613 sq ft lot
- Built 1915
- Listed 104 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 40.6% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,179/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($182 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 122.43%
- DSCR
- 6.45
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,554
- List price
- $26,250
- Delta
- -73.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3840 N 18th St St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (+2%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $85 | 85 |
| 3741 N 25th St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (+1%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $140 | 76 |
| 3812 N 27th St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,372 (-1%) | 3mo | $79,900 | $58 | 69 |
| 4182 N 13th St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,351 (-2%) | 5mo | $239,000 | $177 | 57 |
| 4348 N 19th St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,499 (+8%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $153 | 56 |
| 3908 N 25th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,179 (-15%) | 1mo | $73,200 | $62 | 53 |
| 3450 N 23rd St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,556 (+13%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $87 | 51 |
| 4058 N 24th Pl | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,561 (+13%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $70 | 48 |
| 2417 W Roosevelt Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-13%) | 0mo | $194,900 | $162 | 46 |
| 1508 W Concordia Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-14%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $126 | 39 |
| 3936 N 28th St | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,584 (+15%) | 3mo | $146,600 | $93 | 38 |
| 3783 N 9th St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,562 (+13%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $141 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.29×
- Total profit
- $68,306
- Equity at exit
- $23,648
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 25.36×
- Total profit
- $179,061
- Equity at exit
- $50,998
Cash invested: $7,350 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53206
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,179 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$138
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$33 /mo · $394/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $750
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $768 | -5% $759 | +0% $750 | +5% $741 | +10% $732 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $657 | -5% $703 | +0% $750 | +5% $796 | +10% $843 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $763 | -0.5pp $757 | base $750 | +0.5pp $743 | +1.0pp $736 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,562
- Closing costs
- $788
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3911 N 20th St Unit 3913 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3927-3929 N 17th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3646 N 19th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1707 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3747 N 16th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $875 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4227 N 26th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3298 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $895 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4355 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $975 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3347 N 29th St Unit 3347A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $845 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4048 N 7th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3908 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1326 W Burleigh St Unit 1326 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2955 N 17th St Unit B UPSTAIRS Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2945 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,195 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3871-3873 N 36th St Unit 3871 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $950 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3630 W Nash St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3600 N Vel R. Phillips Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3124 N 33rd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2931 W Chambers St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3703 N 1st St Unit Upper-3705 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3025 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,125 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3606 N 41st St Unit 3608 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2630 N 24th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $26,250 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $26,250 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $26,250 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $26,250 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $26,250 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $26,250 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $26,250 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-03-06$35,000 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
City Tax Foreclosure - 3BR Single Family w/ 1,382 square feet, and more. City Scope of Essential Work is $20,900 Total scope of work is $23,800. Room and lot sizes are estimates & all information should be verified. Property being sold in 'as-is' condition. Bring flashlights & use caution when entering.
-
2026-02-17status Pending 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
This is a City of Milwaukee tax foreclosed property. Sealed Bids due by 2/16/2026 at 10:00AM. Owner Occupant offers will be prioritized.
-
2026-02-17historical 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
This is a City of Milwaukee tax foreclosed property. Sealed Bids due by 2/16/2026 at 10:00AM. Owner Occupant offers will be prioritized.
-
2026-01-14$46,600 Active 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
This is a City of Milwaukee tax foreclosed property. Sealed Bids due by 2/16/2026 at 10:00AM. Owner Occupant offers will be prioritized.
-
2013-02-06$42,000
-
2013-02-06historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,147
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,470
- − Property taxes
- −$394
- − Insurance
- −$131
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,132
- − Management
- −$1,132
- − Depreciation
- −$764
- Taxable income
- $9,124
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,809/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,887
- Household income
- $29,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2061.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Norwegian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 133.03%
- Current HPI
- 397.7151
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.28%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $35,000 METROMLS
- 2026-02-17 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $46,600 METROMLS
- 2013-02-06 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-06 Listed $42,000 METROMLS
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2023): $9,229 · +790.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…