311 3rd Ave NW · Perham, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your beautifully refreshed home in the heart of Perham! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence has been thoughtfully updated to maximize comfort and convenience. The main level features a completely reimagined layout, boasting a spacious primary bedroom, a modernized full bathroom, and the ultimate convenience of main-floor laundry. The expansive living room and kitchen shine with brand-new flooring, creating a seamless flow for daily living. Transition easily to outdoor entertaining through the kitchen’s walk-out deck—perfect for summer grilling and relaxing. Combining modern updates with a functional design, this home is ready for you to move in and enjoy!
Key facts
- Walk-out deck
- Reimagined layout
- Main-floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 6.0% in Perham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#328 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Perham-Dent Public School District (town): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #110 of 301 in MN (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 140 units permitted in Otter Tail County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $124k; list at $205k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.71%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $42,039
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $133,421
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56573
- Home prices YoY
- -15.8%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,125 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,514/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$656
- Net cashflow
- $1,182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,298 | -5% $1,240 | +0% $1,182 | +5% $1,124 | +10% $1,066 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $935 | -5% $1,059 | +0% $1,182 | +5% $1,306 | +10% $1,429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,285 | -0.5pp $1,234 | base $1,182 | +0.5pp $1,129 | +1.0pp $1,075 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 812 7th St SW Unit A Perham, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $3,750 | $2.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 812 7th St SW Unit B Perham, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to your beautifully refreshed home in the heart of Perham! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence has been thoughtfully updated to maximize comfort and convenience. The main level features a completely reimagined layout, boasting a spacious primary bedroom, a modernized full bathroom, and the ultimate convenience of main-floor laundry. The expansive living room and kitchen shine with brand-new flooring, creating a seamless flow for daily living. Transition easily to outdoor entertaining through the kitchen’s walk-out deck—perfect for summer grilling and relaxing. Combining modern updates with a functional design, this home is ready for you to move in and enjoy!
-
2026-05-05historical Contingent - Inspection 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to your beautifully refreshed home in the heart of Perham! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence has been thoughtfully updated to maximize comfort and convenience. The main level features a completely reimagined layout, boasting a spacious primary bedroom, a modernized full bathroom, and the ultimate convenience of main-floor laundry. The expansive living room and kitchen shine with brand-new flooring, creating a seamless flow for daily living. Transition easily to outdoor entertaining through the kitchen’s walk-out deck—perfect for summer grilling and relaxing. Combining modern updates with a functional design, this home is ready for you to move in and enjoy!
-
2026-04-30status Active 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to your beautifully refreshed home in the heart of Perham! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence has been thoughtfully updated to maximize comfort and convenience. The main level features a completely reimagined layout, boasting a spacious primary bedroom, a modernized full bathroom, and the ultimate convenience of main-floor laundry. The expansive living room and kitchen shine with brand-new flooring, creating a seamless flow for daily living. Transition easily to outdoor entertaining through the kitchen’s walk-out deck—perfect for summer grilling and relaxing. Combining modern updates with a functional design, this home is ready for you to move in and enjoy!
-
2026-04-17$205,000 Active 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to your beautifully refreshed home in the heart of Perham! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence has been thoughtfully updated to maximize comfort and convenience. The main level features a completely reimagined layout, boasting a spacious primary bedroom, a modernized full bathroom, and the ultimate convenience of main-floor laundry. The expansive living room and kitchen shine with brand-new flooring, creating a seamless flow for daily living. Transition easily to outdoor entertaining through the kitchen’s walk-out deck—perfect for summer grilling and relaxing. Combining modern updates with a functional design, this home is ready for you to move in and enjoy!
-
2019-07-23soldstatus $123,600
-
2019-06-04historical
-
2019-01-21$129,000
-
2006-07-14soldstatus $95,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,514 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,905 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- +$391/yr (+$33/mo · 25.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$1,514
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,000
- − Management
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable income
- $11,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,763
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,422/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Perham-Dent Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2728230
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,712
- Composite
- 43.64/100
- National rank
- #2966
- State rank
- #110 of 301 in MN
Livability — Perham
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #328
- US rank
- #7425
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Perham, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,868
Population outlook (Otter Tail County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,183 people
- By 2030
- 58,267 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 57,999 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 57,183 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 57,638 · -0.9%
- By 2100
- 54,697 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 18% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Otter Tail
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.2) · D 32.1% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -34.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.48%
- Current HPI
- 225.7071
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+114.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Listed $205,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $123,600 Public Records
- 2019-06-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-21 Listed $129,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $95,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,514 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…