Triplex
172 Orange Ave · Suffern, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 172 Orange Avenue – a rare investment gem in the heart of Suffern! This classic Colonial triplex is in great condition and fully rented. Featuring two oversized 3-bedroom units and a well-kept 2-bedroom, the property offers spacious living that tenants love and investors can count on. The home is beautifully maintained and boasts a large driveway with ample parking – a major bonus and hard to find in this area! With reliable income, solid tenancy, and a property that’s been well cared for, this is the kind of turnkey opportunity investors dream about. Don’t miss your chance to own a cash-flowing property in one of Rockland County’s most desirable ren
Key facts
- Large driveway
- Ample parking
- Spacious living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax information available (tax year 2026)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; No carport
- Utilities: Electricity connected (Orange & Rockland); Natural gas connected; Public sewer
- Home design: Triplex
- Construction: Built with advanced framing techniques
- Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Landscaped; Near public transit; Near schools; Near shops; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit and two 3-bedroom units
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total across property)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Other heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features; Hardwood flooring; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $502/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $799k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.2% in Suffern — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#546 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Suffern Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #242 of 590 in NY (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Richard P Connor Elementary School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 383 students, 0% FRL); Suffern Middle School (math 30% / reading 56%, grade D-, #370 of 729 statewide, top 51%, 836 students, 38% FRL); Suffern Senior High School (math 96% / reading 95%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,486 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,949/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 828% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $665k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.08%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-32,872
- Equity at exit
- $119,133
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $97,598
- Equity at exit
- $69,083
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10901
- Active inventory
- 230
- Price-to-rent
- 20.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,949 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,830 /mo · $21,965/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,089
- Net cashflow
- $1,506
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,959 | -5% $1,732 | +0% $1,506 | +5% $1,280 | +10% $1,054 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $720 | -5% $1,113 | +0% $1,506 | +5% $1,899 | +10% $2,292 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,909 | -0.5pp $1,710 | base $1,506 | +0.5pp $1,299 | +1.0pp $1,089 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $9,948 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $3,316 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $3,316 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $3,316 |
| Total (3 units) | $9,949 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $799,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 669-char remark
-
2026-06-17$799,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $21,965 · $1,830/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $21,965 · $1,830/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $119,388
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$21,965
- − Insurance
- −$3,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,551
- − Management
- −$9,551
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable income
- $6,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,518
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suffern Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628320
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,871
- Composite
- 51.17/100
- National rank
- #1758
- State rank
- #242 of 590 in NY
Livability — Suffern
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #9788
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suffern, NY
- County
- Rockland County · 98,828 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,095
- Household income
- $108,041
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 828.0
Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 339,642 people
- By 2030
- 345,987 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 357,178 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 362,456 · +6.7%
- By 2075
- 367,281 · +8.1%
- By 2100
- 328,211 · -3.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 4% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockland
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -582.29%
- Current HPI
- 282.4798
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+20.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-19 Listed $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $665,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $21,965 · +29.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…