15317 Cartier Dr · Sterling Heights, MI 48038

$22,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 57 Days on market

Built 1993 $18/sqft · 86% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the perfect blend of modern style and community comfort in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom home nestled within the vibrant River's Edge Manufactured Park. The inviting open-concept interior flows seamlessly into a chef-ready kitchen complete with crisp white cabinetry and ample counter space. Spacious primary suite with full bath. Beyond your front door, life at River's Edge Park offers a true resort-style experience with exclusive access to two sparkling community pools and two playgrounds, providing endless opportunities for recreation and relaxation. Whether you are a first-time buyer or looking to downsize in style, this home offers a high-quality lifestyle in a community you'll be proud to call home.

Key facts

• Chef-ready kitchen
• Playgrounds
• Electric fireplace

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT INTERIOR
• ELECTRIC FIREPLACE
• CHEF-READY KITCHEN
• WHITE CABINETRY
• COMMUNITY POOLS
• PLAYGROUNDS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $22k).
• Recommended offer: $21k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 63.8% vs local median 3.8% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
• Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $152 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $660 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $21,340 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 6.94% ✓
• Cap rate: 63.83%
• Cash-on-cash: 205.50%
• DSCR: 10.14
• GRM: 1.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $162,623
• List price: $22,000
• Delta: -86.47%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 14 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
15317 Cartier Dr	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,216 (0%)	0mo	$22,000	$18	100
15329 Cartier Drive Dr	0.02mi	3/2.0	1,344 (+10%)	2mo	$52,000	$39	79
38181 Hayes Rd	0.13mi	3/1.5	1,124 (-8%)	1mo	$305,000	$271	78
15941 Charlemange Ave W	0.44mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,216 (0%)	24mo	$54,000	$44	55
38021 Orleans St. St	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,056 (-13%)	7mo	$41,000	$39	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 10.61×
• Total profit: $59,169
• Equity at exit: $3,280

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 20.61×
• Total profit: $120,828
• Equity at exit: $1,902

Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48038

• Rents YoY: -0.9%
• Active inventory: 257
• Price-to-rent: 1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,528 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$115
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$28 /mo · $330/yr
• Insurance: −$9
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$321
• Net cashflow: $1,055

Break-even live

Break-even rent $192

Max offer price $22,000

Occupancy floor 26%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $5,500
• Closing costs: $660
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 38 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
15353 Dominique Dr Unit 834 Clinton Township, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,549	$1.47	24d	1	0.10mi
15368 Dominique Dr Unit 868 Clinton Township, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,549	$1.47	44d	1	0.10mi
15329 Danseur Dr Unit 795 Clinton Twp, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,549	$1.47	3d	1	0.12mi
15377 Dominique Dr Unit 828 Clinton Township, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,549	$1.47	2d	1	0.13mi
15386 Danseur Dr Unit 822 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	44d	1	0.16mi
38051 Saint Tropez Dr Unit 990 Clinton Township, MI	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,549	$1.38	3d	1	0.20mi
38100 Ducharme Dr Unit 476 Clinton Township, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,549	$1.47	3d	1	0.24mi
15811 Villaire Ave Unit 643 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	44d	1	0.26mi
38033 Ducharme Dr Unit 604 Clinton Twp, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,499	$1.56	44d	1	0.27mi
15974 Villaire Ave Unit 445 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	1.0	768	$1,319	$1.72	3d	1	0.28mi
15836 Croatia Dr Unit 544 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	1.0	840	$1,349	$1.61	44d	1	0.28mi
38055 Leverette Ave Unit 491 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	5d	1	0.33mi
38044 Johannes Dr Unit 521 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	44d	1	0.33mi
15835 Marentette Dr Unit 512 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	44d	1	0.35mi
16011 Villaire Ave Unit 682 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	2d	1	0.35mi
38019 Leverette Ave Unit 500 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,389	$1.45	2d	1	0.35mi
16016 Villaire Ave Unit 402 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	5d	1	0.36mi
15868 Marentette Dr Unit 339 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	13d	1	0.38mi
16035 Villaire Ave Unit 688 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	44d	1	0.39mi
38013 Chilver Ave Unit 381 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	44d	1	0.41mi
38053 Orleans St Unit 124 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,499	$1.56	15d	1	0.50mi
16151 Notre Dame St Unit 245 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,309	$1.36	44d	1	0.51mi
16142 Normandy St Unit 249 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,399	$1.46	44d	1	0.53mi
38029 Versailles St Unit 49 Clinton Township, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,369	$1.43	5d	1	0.67mi
14357 Shadywood Dr Sterling Heights, MI	2.0	2.0	1500	$2,100	$1.40	3d	1	0.76mi
14273 Shadywood Dr Sterling Heights, MI	2.0	2.0	1373	$2,100	$1.53	44d	1	0.83mi
38227 Schoenherr Rd Sterling Heights, MI	2.0	1.5	1250	$1,830	$1.46	2d	1	1.04mi
38271 Fairway Ct Clinton Township, MI	2.0	1.0	925	$1,188	$1.28	44d	2	1.05mi
38271 Fairway Ct Unit 100A Clinton Township, MI	2.0	1.0	925	$1,250	$1.35	24d	1	1.05mi
38280 Fairway Ct Unit 140B Clinton Township, MI	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,150	$1.15	44d	1	1.08mi
13429 Denver Cir S Sterling Heights, MI	3.0	1.5	1216	$2,100	$1.73	44d	1	1.09mi
17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI	2.0	1.0	962	$1,250	$1.30	44d	2	1.10mi
17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI	2.0	1.0	962	$1,325	$1.38	15d	2	1.10mi
38255 Fairway Ct Clinton Twp, MI	2.0	1.0	923	$1,250	$1.35	13d	1	1.12mi
38177 Jamestown Dr Sterling Heights, MI	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,850	$1.42	5d	1	1.12mi
36607 Holiday Cir E Clinton Twp, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0	775	$1,249	$1.61	44d	2	1.29mi
0 Woodland MDWS Update, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1002	$2,052	$2.05	2d	9	1.35mi
17001 Eleanor Dr S Clinton Twp, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0	790	$1,200	$1.52	44d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Pending 729-char remark

   Show marketing remark (747 chars)

   Discover the perfect blend of modern style and community comfort in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom home nestled within the vibrant River’s Edge Manufactured Park. The inviting open-concept interior flows seamlessly into a chef-ready kitchen complete with crisp white cabinetry and ample counter space. Spacious primary suite with full bath. Beyond your front door, life at River’s Edge Park offers a true resort-style experience with exclusive access to two sparkling community pools and two playgrounds, providing endless opportunities for recreation and relaxation. Whether you are a first-time buyer or looking to downsize in style, this home offers a high-quality lifestyle in a community you’ll be proud to call home.

2. 2026-05-13
   status Pending 747-char remark

   Show marketing remark (747 chars)

   Discover the perfect blend of modern style and community comfort in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom home nestled within the vibrant River’s Edge Manufactured Park. The inviting open-concept interior flows seamlessly into a chef-ready kitchen complete with crisp white cabinetry and ample counter space. Spacious primary suite with full bath. Beyond your front door, life at River’s Edge Park offers a true resort-style experience with exclusive access to two sparkling community pools and two playgrounds, providing endless opportunities for recreation and relaxation. Whether you are a first-time buyer or looking to downsize in style, this home offers a high-quality lifestyle in a community you’ll be proud to call home.

3. 2026-03-17
   listed $22,000 Active 747-char remark

   Show marketing remark (729 chars)

   Discover the perfect blend of modern style and community comfort in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom home nestled within the vibrant River's Edge Manufactured Park. The inviting open-concept interior flows seamlessly into a chef-ready kitchen complete with crisp white cabinetry and ample counter space. Spacious primary suite with full bath. Beyond your front door, life at River's Edge Park offers a true resort-style experience with exclusive access to two sparkling community pools and two playgrounds, providing endless opportunities for recreation and relaxation. Whether you are a first-time buyer or looking to downsize in style, this home offers a high-quality lifestyle in a community you'll be proud to call home.

4. 2026-03-17
   listed $22,000 Active 729-char remark

   Show marketing remark (729 chars)

   Discover the perfect blend of modern style and community comfort in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom home nestled within the vibrant River's Edge Manufactured Park. The inviting open-concept interior flows seamlessly into a chef-ready kitchen complete with crisp white cabinetry and ample counter space. Spacious primary suite with full bath. Beyond your front door, life at River's Edge Park offers a true resort-style experience with exclusive access to two sparkling community pools and two playgrounds, providing endless opportunities for recreation and relaxation. Whether you are a first-time buyer or looking to downsize in style, this home offers a high-quality lifestyle in a community you'll be proud to call home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,333
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,232
• − Property taxes: −$330
• − Insurance: −$110
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,467
• − Management: −$1,467
• − Depreciation: −$640
• Taxable income: $13,088
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,141
• After-tax cash flow: $9,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Chippewa Valley Schools
• NCES district ID: 2609570
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $64,964
• Composite: 39.61/100
• National rank: #3922
• State rank: #133 of 540 in MI

Livability — Sterling Heights

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #173
• US rank: #4545

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Macomb County · 638,552 people
• City population: 133,573
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 44,422
• Household income: $78,567
• Rent vs Own: 37.7% rent · 62.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1788.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 925,296 people
• By 2030: 948,226 · +2.5%
• By 2040: 983,961 · +6.3%
• By 2050: 1,010,200 · +9.2%
• By 2075: 1,076,222 · +16.3%
• By 2100: 1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 16% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

• 2024 margin: R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -212.31%
• Current HPI: 261.3877
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.92%
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-05-13 Pending — REALCOMP
• 2026-03-17 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
• 2026-03-17 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS