34 Louise Ln · Cahokia Heights, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new sanctuary in the heart of Cahokia Heights! This great 3-bedroom home is ready for you to move in and start creating lasting memories. Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood just 15 minutes away from shopping areas, you'll enjoy both the serenity of suburban living and the convenience of nearby amenities. Convenient carport with a fresh coat of paint and a charging port ready for your electric vehicle. Recently passed city occupancy inspection—move in with peace of mind! This home is ready to welcome a new family and offers a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Don’t miss your chance to make this charming property your own! Schedule a viewing today!
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- One level living
- 6,534 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single-family residential home; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot with other features on a 0.15-acre parcel; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,325/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.31%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Louise Ln | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (+3%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $95 | 91 |
| 1 Helen Ct | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+4%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $94 | 79 |
| 3 Dora Dr | 0.18mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,158 (+8%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $95 | 65 |
| 17 Hanover Ln | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-14%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $54 | 51 |
| 2 Margie Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+8%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $95 | 49 |
| 2350 Lorraine Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 966 (-10%) | 11mo | $69,900 | $72 | 48 |
| 5 E Adams Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-14%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 92 W Adams Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-14%) | 2mo | $79,900 | $86 | 42 |
| 17 Drexel Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-14%) | 10mo | $75,500 | $82 | 42 |
| 38 Westwood Dr | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,225 (+14%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $73 | 39 |
| 43 Drexel Dr | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,225 (+14%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $73 | 36 |
| 11 Westwood Dr | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,225 (+14%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $90 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $22,310
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.21×
- Total profit
- $62,876
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62206
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,325 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Marilyn Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 8 Louise Ln East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,275 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 21 Agnes Dr Cahokia, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $1,675 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $885 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $995 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,400 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$70,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,474 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,531 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,474
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,272
- − Management
- −$1,272
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $5,575
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,338
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cahokia CUSD 187
- NCES district ID
- 1708040
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 5% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,028
- Composite
- 6.44/100
- National rank
- #14827
- State rank
- #864 of 919 in IL
Livability — Cahokia Heights
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cahokia Heights, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 19,956
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,959
- Household income
- $33,838
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 729.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.26%
- Current HPI
- 131.5144
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+268.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Rental Removed $1,250 BUILDIUM
- 2025-10-15 Listed for Rent $1,250 BUILDIUM
- 2025-09-27 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2025-06-11 Price Changed $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2025-04-10 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
- 2025-04-07 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-17 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-16 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-03 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-03 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-28 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-02 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $69,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-17 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-25 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-19 Listed $59,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-18 Coming Soon $59,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-20 Price Changed $5,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-04 Price Changed $7,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
- 1994-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,474 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…