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34 Louise Ln
B Composite 73.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

34 Louise Ln · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,072 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1955 6,534 sqft lot Est $96k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your new sanctuary in the heart of Cahokia Heights! This great 3-bedroom home is ready for you to move in and start creating lasting memories. Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood just 15 minutes away from shopping areas, you'll enjoy both the serenity of suburban living and the convenience of nearby amenities. Convenient carport with a fresh coat of paint and a charging port ready for your electric vehicle. Recently passed city occupancy inspection—move in with peace of mind! This home is ready to welcome a new family and offers a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Don’t miss your chance to make this charming property your own! Schedule a viewing today!

Key facts

  • Brand new roof
  • One level living
  • 6,534 sq ft lot

Tags

BRAND NEW ROOFONE LEVEL LIVINGEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot with other features on a 0.15-acre parcel; Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,325/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.34%
Cash-on-cash
32.31%
DSCR
2.44
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$96,480
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37 Louise Ln 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,104 (+3%) 0mo $105,000 $95 91
1 Helen Ct 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,116 (+4%) 2mo $105,000 $94 79
3 Dora Dr 0.18mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,158 (+8%) 5mo $110,000 $95 65
17 Hanover Ln 0.46mi 3/1.0 925 (-14%) 1mo $50,000 $54 51
2 Margie Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+8%) 8mo $110,000 $95 49
2350 Lorraine Dr 0.52mi 3/1.5 966 (-10%) 11mo $69,900 $72 48
5 E Adams Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 925 (-14%) 5mo $105,000 $114 47
92 W Adams Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 925 (-14%) 2mo $79,900 $86 42
17 Drexel Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 925 (-14%) 10mo $75,500 $82 42
38 Westwood Dr 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,225 (+14%) 2mo $90,000 $73 39
43 Drexel Dr 0.53mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,225 (+14%) 8mo $90,000 $73 36
11 Westwood Dr 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,225 (+14%) 6mo $110,000 $90 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$22,310
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
4.21×
Total profit
$62,876
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,325 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$123 /mo · $1,474/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$528

Break-even live

Break-even rent $657
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13 Marilyn Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 995 $1,150 $1.16 43d 1 0.06mi
8 Louise Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,275 $1.11 17d 1 0.12mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 12d 1 0.22mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 23d 1 0.22mi
21 Agnes Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,050 $1.22 21d 1 0.23mi
2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 0.37mi
32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,675 $1.23 16d 1 0.45mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 43d 1 0.46mi
13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 12d 1 0.47mi
70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 43d 1 0.61mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 21d 1 0.83mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 4d 1 1.14mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 2d 1 1.27mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 43d 1 1.40mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 43d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $70,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,474 · $123/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,531 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$58/yr (+$5/mo · 3.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,900
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,474
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,272
− Management
−$1,272
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$5,575
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,338
After-tax cash flow
$4,995/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+268.4% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Rental Removed $1,250 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-10-15 Listed for Rent $1,250 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-09-27 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-06-11 Price Changed $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-04-10 Listed for Rent $1,500 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-04-07 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-17 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-16 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-03 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-03 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-28 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-02 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-01 Price Changed $69,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-17 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-25 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-19 Listed $59,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-18 Coming Soon $59,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-20 Price Changed $5,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-04 Price Changed $7,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
  • 1994-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,474 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…