1848 Seagrape St NE · Palm Bay, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.2/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is an opportunity for you to live in much sought after Palm Bay Colony. This home is a very nice 3 Bedroom 2 Bathroom home. This home has a beautiful deck on the side of the home, it's own well for irrigation, a workshop with utilities and a fenced in yard. Newer appliances - Stainless Refrigerator, dishwasher, and glass top stove. Front Load Washer and Dryer are also included! The positives far outweigh the negatives. It was a rental and will need some work but at this price you can't go wrong. Call today for a showing and get this home before it is gone.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: Palm Bay Colony; Voluntary association fee ($45) that includes grounds maintenance; Community amenities: Clubhouse, Tennis courts, Pickleball, Shuffleboard; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; One level; Faces south
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Membrane roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Side porch; Chain link fencing around backyard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub)
- Laundry & utility: In-unit washer and dryer; Dryer; Washer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Palm Bay Elementary School (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,697 of 2,144 statewide, top 80%, 586 students, 74% FRL); Stone Magnet Middle School (math 33% / reading 35%, grade F, #426 of 571 statewide, top 75%, 670 students, 69% FRL); Palm Bay Magnet Senior High School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,486 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 43% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $145k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.32%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-10,179
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,621
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32905
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,577 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,717/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $282
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1924 Seagrape St NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1894 Coco Plum St NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 19d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2399 Coconut Palm Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,795 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2361 Commerce Park Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1106 | $1,902 | $1.72 | 14d | 47 | 0.38mi |
| 2331 Commerce Park Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1094 | $1,736 | $1.59 | 14d | 33 | 0.52mi |
| 2155 Robert J Conlan Blvd NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $1,740 | $1.59 | 14d | 20 | 0.52mi |
| 1700 Woodlake Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 23d | 12 | 0.65mi |
| 520 Benton Dr Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3711 Vista Oaks Cir NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1236 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1630 Bottlebrush Dr Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,495 | $2.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 342 Crown Blvd Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,900 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4001 Pinewood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,269 | $1.22 | 23d | 5 | 0.96mi |
| 2643B Kingswood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3016 Pinewood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,103 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1880 Mogra Cir NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,382 | $1.27 | 14d | 6 | 1.05mi |
| 2168 Tarrytown Ln NE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,775 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1300 Arlington Ln NE #125 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1140 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2106 Tarrytown Ln NE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3104 Swift St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1379 | $1,750 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4315 S Babcock St Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $1,738 | $1.74 | 14d | 15 | 1.25mi |
| 3101 Wiley Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,499 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 343 Talbot St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,699 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1051 Clearmont St NE Unit 202 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 993 | $1,480 | $1.49 | 19d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $145,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $157,000
-
2026-03-17price $160,000
-
2026-03-04$175,000 Active
-
2026-02-17historical $175,000
-
2017-05-22soldstatus $69,000 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Here is an opportunity for you to live in much sought after Palm Bay Colony. This home is a very nice 3 Bedroom 2 Bathroom home. This home has a beautiful deck on the side of the home, it's own well for irrigation, a workshop with utilities and a fenced in yard. Newer appliances - Stainless Refrigerator, dishwasher, and glass top stove. Front Load Washer and Dryer are also included! The positives far outweigh the negatives. It was a rental and will need some work but at this price you can't go wrong. Call today for a showing and get this home before it is gone.
-
2017-03-21$72,000 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Here is an opportunity for you to live in much sought after Palm Bay Colony. This home is a very nice 3 Bedroom 2 Bathroom home. This home has a beautiful deck on the side of the home, it's own well for irrigation, a workshop with utilities and a fenced in yard. Newer appliances - Stainless Refrigerator, dishwasher, and glass top stove. Front Load Washer and Dryer are also included! The positives far outweigh the negatives. It was a rental and will need some work but at this price you can't go wrong. Call today for a showing and get this home before it is gone.
-
2008-03-17$39,900
-
1975-04-01soldstatus $21,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,717 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,717 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,920
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,717
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,514
- − Management
- −$1,514
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,110
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$266
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,113/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Bay
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #6458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Bay, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 132,211
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,792
- Household income
- $56,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1962.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.59%
- Current HPI
- 309.8748
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.52%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+630.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $157,000 SCMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $160,000 SCMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $175,000 SCMLS
- 2026-02-17 Coming Soon $175,000 SCMLS
- 2017-05-22 Sold (MLS) $69,000 SCMLS
- 2017-03-21 Listed $72,000 SCMLS
- 2008-03-17 Listed $39,900 SCMLS
- 1975-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,717 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…