🏷️ Likely Rental
21 Drake Ave · New Rochelle, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$739,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Two-Family Home in the Heart of New Rochelle This bright and sunny two-family residence is ideally located just steps from New Rochelle’s vibrant downtown and the Metro-North train station—only 35 minutes to Grand Central Station! Property Features: Spacious, fully fenced flat backyard — perfect for gatherings and outdoor entertaining Legal layout includes: Second Floor: 1-bedroom / 1-bathroom unit First Floor: 3-bedroom / 1-bathroom unit Bonus Space: Finished above-ground basement with a full bathroom and private street-level entrance — ideal for a home office, studio, or guest suite Financial Highlights: Monthly Rent Roll: $1,660 (1-bed) + $2,900 (3-bed) Both units are currently month-to-month leases Low property taxes A rare opportunity to own a versatile and income-producing property in one of Westchester’s most desirable commuter-friendly neighborhoods!
Key facts
- 2,614 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 79 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $739k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $170/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $637k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $637k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
- New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,370/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($102k/yr) (locally 961% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($695k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $248k; list at $739k implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.97%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,502,384
- List price
- $739,000
- Delta
- -50.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Harold Ct | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,120 (-2%) | 23mo | $738,000 | $348 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-49,973
- Equity at exit
- $161,617
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $27,941
- Equity at exit
- $155,803
Cash invested: $206,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10805
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 20.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,370 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,875
- Tax from tax record
- −$510 /mo · $6,120/yr
- Insurance
- −$308
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,338
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $757 | -5% $548 | +0% $339 | +5% $130 | +10% $-79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-164 | -5% $87 | +0% $339 | +5% $591 | +10% $842 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $711 | -0.5pp $527 | base $339 | +0.5pp $148 | +1.0pp $-47 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $3,058 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $3,312 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,370 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $184,750
- Closing costs
- $22,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Maple Ave New Rochelle, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2414 | $6,500 | $2.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7 Flower St New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2910 | $4,200 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 25 Leroy Pl #1 New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1420 | $3,995 | $2.81 | 8d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 55 Clinton Pl New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 991 | $6,747 | $6.80 | 0d | 24 | 0.55mi |
| 40 Memorial Hwy New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $4,580 | $4.99 | 0d | 50 | 0.59mi |
| 18 Shady Glen Ct New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $5,800 | $3.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9 9th St Unit 1st Floor New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1463 | $3,400 | $2.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 72 Soundview St Unit 2 New Rochelle, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,850 | $2.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 175 Huguenot St #1402 New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1475 | $4,750 | $3.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 25 Acacia Ter Unit 1 New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,800 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7 Alpha Pl Unit First floor New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $4,700 | $3.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-21days on market $739,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $739,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $739,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $739,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $739,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $739,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $739,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $739,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $739,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $739,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $739,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $739,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $739,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $739,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-04-01$739,000 Active 915-char remark
Show marketing remark (915 chars)
Charming Two-Family Home in the Heart of New Rochelle This bright and sunny two-family residence is ideally located just steps from New Rochelle’s vibrant downtown and the Metro-North train station—only 35 minutes to Grand Central Station! Property Features: Spacious, fully fenced flat backyard — perfect for gatherings and outdoor entertaining Legal layout includes: Second Floor: 1-bedroom / 1-bathroom unit First Floor: 3-bedroom / 1-bathroom unit Bonus Space: Finished above-ground basement with a full bathroom and private street-level entrance — ideal for a home office, studio, or guest suite Financial Highlights: Monthly Rent Roll: $1,660 (1-bed) + $2,900 (3-bed) Both units are currently month-to-month leases Low property taxes A rare opportunity to own a versatile and income-producing property in one of Westchester’s most desirable commuter-friendly neighborhoods!
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2026-01-01historical
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2025-08-04price $739,000
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2025-05-16$769,000 Active
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2018-07-31soldstatus $247,500 Sold
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2018-04-04historical Pending
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2017-09-27status Active
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2017-09-27historical
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2017-09-23price $247,500
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2017-05-28$259,900 Active
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2014-01-27price $439,000
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2006-07-07soldstatus $445,000
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2006-01-17$445,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,120 · $510/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,304 · $775/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,185/yr (+$265/mo · 52.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $76,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$41,395
- − Property taxes
- −$6,120
- − Insurance
- −$3,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,115
- − Management
- −$6,115
- − Depreciation
- −$21,498
- Taxable loss
- −$8,499
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,040
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Rochelle City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620490
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,165
- Composite
- 56.63/100
- National rank
- #1139
- State rank
- #171 of 590 in NY
Livability — New Rochelle
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #8572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Rochelle, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 63,657
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,903
- Household income
- $102,109
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 961.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 38% Black 17% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Russian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 7% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.48%
- Current HPI
- 278.8511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+66.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $739,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $739,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-16 Listed $769,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-31 Sold (MLS) $247,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-04 Contingent — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-27 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-27 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-23 Price Changed $247,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-28 Listed $259,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-27 Price Changed $439,000 HGMLS
- 2006-07-07 Sold (MLS) $445,000 HGMLS
- 2006-01-17 Listed $445,000 HGMLS
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,120 · -25.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…