606 N 3rd St · Guthrie Center, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$52,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Smaller home with front porch and ample yard. Great rental property or first time home buyer. 1 bedroom, 1 bath with newer roof and new hot water heater. Contact Listing Firm for more information.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Front porch
- Large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Rectangular lot; Concrete road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($778 rent vs $52k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in IA, #1,697 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Guthrie Center Community School District (rural): math 72% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #105 of 289 in IA (top 36%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Guthrie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($363 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Guthrie County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $52k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.54%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $56,784
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 907 Prairie St | 0.58mi | 1/1.0 | 716 (+15%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $91 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.14×
- Total profit
- $46,177
- Equity at exit
- $47,296
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.31×
- Total profit
- $122,146
- Equity at exit
- $101,996
Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50115
- Home prices YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $778 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$275
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $494/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$163
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,125
- Closing costs
- $1,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 442-char remark
-
2026-06-17$52,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $494 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$165/yr (+$14/mo · 33.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,334
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,941
- − Property taxes
- −$494
- − Insurance
- −$262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$747
- − Management
- −$747
- − Depreciation
- −$1,527
- Taxable income
- $2,616
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$628
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,686/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guthrie Center Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1913320
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,953
- Composite
- 61.37/100
- National rank
- #767
- State rank
- #105 of 289 in IA
Livability — Guthrie Center
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1697
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Guthrie Center, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,741
Population outlook (Guthrie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,248 people
- By 2030
- 9,993 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 9,440 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 8,926 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 8,466 · -17.4%
- By 2100
- 7,842 · -23.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Guthrie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.0) · D 30.3% · R 68.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.3pp toward R · 2008: -7.7pp · 2024: -38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.0 2020: R+35.9 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+10.2 2008: R+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.38%
- Current HPI
- 296.9462
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
+110.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $52,500 DMMLS
- 2016-11-04 Sold (MLS) $20,000 DMMLS
- 2016-09-19 Listed $25,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $494 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…