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3225-3227 Market St Duplex
D Composite 44.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0

$1,795,000

3225-3227 Market St · San Francisco, CA 94114
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,523 sqft · MultiFamily · 7 Days on market
Built 1908 2,308 sqft lot Est $1875k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Why Buy a Condo When You Can Own the Whole Building? Two full-floor homes, spectacular city views, a two-car garage, and monthly income of $4,446 / month - all at a price that rivals many Castro condominiums. Commanding a prominent position on one of the Castro's most desirable residential streets, this exceptional two-unit residence blends historic San Francisco character with remarkable views, abundant natural light, and outstanding owner-user potential. Originally built in 1908 as an earthquake cottage and expanded into two full-floor flats in 1927, the building showcases elegant Spanish Revival influences with a striking stucco facade, arched windows, decorative architectural detailing,

Key facts

  • Rear garden
  • Private view deck
  • Historic character

Tags

TWO CAR GARAGEHISTORIC CHARACTERPRIVATE VIEW DECKREAR GARDENUNBEATABLE CASTRO LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property configured as multi-family with 3 total units (2 leased, 1 vacant); Unit mix: one penthouse (vacant, top floor), one 2-bed flat (tenant occupied), one tenant-occupied studio; Vacancy present: 1 unit
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage parking; 2 total parking spaces (2-car garage)
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detectors; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Standard utility services (water, sewer, power implied)
  • Home design: Residential income property (Duplex); Mediterranean/Spanish architectural style; Originally built in 1908
  • Construction: Built in 1908
  • Exterior features: Balcony/deck; Landscaped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 bedrooms across the property; Unit 1 (Penthouse): 2 bedrooms; Unit 2 (Flat): 2 bedrooms; Unit 3: studio
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Total of 4 bathrooms (3 full, 1 partial); Unit 1: 1.5 baths; Unit 2: 1 bath; Unit 3: 1 bath (studio)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace insert heating; Wall furnace; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Central heating with fireplace inserts and wall furnaces; Fireplace(s); Coin-operated laundry in a common area; Dishwasher, Disposal, Microwave, Tankless Water Heater, Washer/Dryer (varies by unit)
  • Laundry & utility: Coin-operated washer/dryer in common area; Washer/Dryer available (varies by unit); Tankless water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.79M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-36k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-2k/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.36M (24.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.19M (33.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.19M (33.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.4%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $11,880/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($204k/yr) (locally 1336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $183k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $171k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$294k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,188,000 (33.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.27%
Cash-on-cash
-7.21%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,874,589
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
465-471 Corbett Ave 0.09mi 4/4.0 2,740 (+9%) 1mo $1,450,000 $529 77
321 Caselli Ave 0.04mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,250 (-11%) 2mo $2,480,000 $1,102 71
136 Downey St 0.53mi 4/— 2,490 (-1%) 6mo $1,900,000 $763 68
10-12 A Saturn St 0.27mi 3/4.0 (-1) 2,400 (-5%) 7mo $1,550,000 $646 64
10-12 Grand View Ter 0.22mi 4/4.0 2,254 (-11%) 5mo $2,700,000 $1,198 64
417-419 Eureka St 0.46mi 4/1.0 2,364 (-6%) 6mo $1,390,000 $588 55
200 Hoffman Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,688 (+6%) 2mo $2,700,000 $1,004 55
64-66 Woodland Ave 0.53mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,760 (+9%) 10mo $2,050,000 $743 47
4113-4115 20th St 0.64mi 3/4.0 (-1) 2,300 (-9%) 0mo $2,000,000 $870 46
514 Hill St 0.67mi 4/5.0 2,740 (+9%) 10mo $2,000,000 $730 38
253 Hartford St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,147 (-15%) 2mo $1,100,000 $512 36
49 High St 0.72mi 4/1.0 2,830 (+12%) 7mo $1,688,888 $597 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.51% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$787,966
Equity at exit
$1,552,952
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$2,613,068
Equity at exit
$3,283,030

Cash invested: $502,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94114

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Rents YoY
14.4%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
25.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,880 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$9,413
Tax est. 1.5%
$2,244 /mo · $26,925/yr
Insurance
$748
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,495
Net cashflow
$-3,020

Break-even live

Break-even rent $15,702
Max offer price $1,358,053
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,779 -5% $-2,399 +0% $-3,020 +5% $-3,640 +10% $-4,260
Rent -10% $-3,958 -5% $-3,489 +0% $-3,020 +5% $-2,550 +10% $-2,081
Rate -1.0pp $-2,116 -0.5pp $-2,563 base $-3,020 +0.5pp $-3,485 +1.0pp $-3,958

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $11,880

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$448,750
Closing costs
$53,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
143 Corbett Ave San Francisco, CA 4.0 4.0 2500 $10,500 $4.20 44d 1 0.26mi
270 Eureka St San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0 2024 $6,995 $3.46 3d 1 0.37mi
1265 Stanyan St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 2005 $13,900 $6.93 8d 1 0.40mi
701 Castro St San Francisco, CA 5.0 4.0 3300 $22,995 $6.97 19d 1 0.59mi
753 Castro St San Francisco, CA 4.0 3.0 2467 $10,950 $4.44 44d 1 0.60mi
13 Warren Dr San Francisco, CA 3.0 3.0 1900 $8,750 $4.61 44d 1 0.67mi
1436 Waller St Unit 1436 San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 1800 $6,890 $3.83 44d 1 0.72mi
4058 20th St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 1794 $13,975 $7.79 25d 1 0.73mi
65 High St Unit NA San Francisco, CA 4.0 3.0 2315 $9,950 $4.30 44d 1 0.74mi
124 Alpine Ter San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 2200 $11,995 $5.45 14d 1 0.77mi
124 Alpine Ter San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 2200 $11,995 $5.45 11d 1 0.77mi
124 Alpine Ter San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 2200 $12,500 $5.68 25d 1 0.77mi
22 Mountview Ct San Francisco, CA 4.0 2.0 1900 $7,400 $3.89 44d 1 0.83mi
1059 Noe St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.5 2545 $14,000 $5.50 44d 1 0.87mi
1626 Noe St San Francisco, CA 3.0 2.0 1870 $12,000 $6.42 25d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,795,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,795,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,795,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,795,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,795,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $1,795,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥76°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$142,560
− Mortgage interest
−$100,548
− Property taxes
−$26,925
− Insurance
−$8,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$11,405
− Management
−$11,405
− Depreciation
−$52,218
Taxable loss
−$68,916
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$16,540
After-tax cash flow
$-19,696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,020
Household income
$204,134
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1336.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Asian 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.51%
Current HPI
223.6988
Rent YoY
▲ 14.40%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $1,795,000 San Francisco MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…