2113 Golden Lake Loop · St. Augustine, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-In Ready - 2/2 Townhome with Garage, Pool, Gym & 2024 Updates! Welcome to 2113 Golden Lake Loop - a freshly updated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom townhome in the desirable Lofts at Sebastian Cove. Original owners have lovingly maintained this home and never rented it - a rare find. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a low-maintenance, high-value property in St. Augustine. Fresh 2024 Updates Include: New luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, including threaded stair caps Entire condo painted with 2 coats - including baseboards Both bathrooms upgraded with glass sliding shower doors Stainless steel appliances in kitchen Community & Building Feat
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Freshly updated
- Access to gym
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Unfurnished unit
- HOA & community: Community has an association; Monthly association fee of $299; Association amenities include fitness center and full-time management; Association fee covers grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage; 220V outlet in garage
- Security: Fire sprinkler system; Fire alarm; Smoke and carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; Property is attached; 2 stories; Entry level: 1; Faces west
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction
- Exterior features: Community pool (not private); Paved road access; Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm; Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detector(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in lower level / in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-145 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (12.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (12.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.1% in St. Augustine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Crookshank Elementary School (math 64% / reading 62%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 704 students, 64% FRL); R J Murray Middle School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade B-, #196 of 571 statewide, top 36%, 695 students, 50% FRL); St. Augustine High School (math 54% / reading 62%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 1,784 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 20% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Johns average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 635 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.12%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-46,070
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- -33.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.25×
- Total profit
- $-69,807
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32084
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 635
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,748 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,206/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$299
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $-145
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-32 | -5% $-89 | +0% $-145 | +5% $-201 | +10% $-258 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-283 | -5% $-214 | +0% $-145 | +5% $-76 | +10% $-7 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-45 | -0.5pp $-94 | base $-145 | +0.5pp $-197 | +1.0pp $-249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2851 Golden Lake Loop Unit 2851 St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,595 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 319 Golden Lake Loop St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 817 Golden Lake Loop Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 121 Oxmoor Rd St. Augustine, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1105 | $2,045 | $1.85 | 8d | 23 | 0.72mi |
| 105 Shields Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $1,998 | $2.03 | 4d | 22 | 1.07mi |
| 728 Cabernet Pl Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $1,750 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 740 Cabernet Pl Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1245 | $1,750 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1329 Truman Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $2,030 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 127 Crete Ct Unit Ct St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 8d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 480 Cabernet Pl Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1082 | $1,675 | $1.55 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 131 Merlot Way Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 131 Merlot Way Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1204 | $1,750 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $299 · $3,588/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$199,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,206 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,652 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$446/yr (+$37/mo · 37.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,977
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,206
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,678
- − Management
- −$1,678
- − HOA
- −$3,588
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$5,104
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,225
- After-tax cash flow
- $-515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Augustine
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,291
- Household income
- $73,837
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1748.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 11% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.02%
- Current HPI
- 330.9505
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $199,000 realMLS
Property tax history
-4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,206 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…