🏗️ New Construction
Pima Plan · Huffman, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.7/10.0
$171,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The first floor of this two-story home is host to a spacious open floorplan that seamlessly connects an inviting family room, elegant dining room and chef-inspired kitchen. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms, including the luxe owner's suite, which features a restful bedroom, en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Open floorplan
- Family room
- Dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $172k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-240 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $172k).
- Recommended offer: $151k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Huffman ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #500 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Huffman Middle (math 36% / reading 32%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 907 students, 42% FRL); Hargrave H S (math 31% / reading 46%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 1,125 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 738 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.95%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $260,327
- List price
- $171,990
- Delta
- -33.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 919 Capracotta Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (-4%) | 1mo | $180,990 | $138 | 82 |
| 31505 Olivella Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-4%) | 0mo | $199,990 | $154 | 82 |
| 920 Capracotta Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,451 (+7%) | 1mo | $149,991 | $103 | 77 |
| 928 Capracotta Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,451 (+7%) | 1mo | $180,990 | $125 | 76 |
| 904 Coperchiata Cir | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (+7%) | 2mo | $192,090 | $131 | 75 |
| 930 Capracotta Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (+7%) | 0mo | $187,990 | $129 | 75 |
| 31422 Pratola Serra Cir | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,451 (+7%) | 1mo | $248,990 | $172 | 73 |
| 31420 Pratola Serra Cir | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (+7%) | 1mo | $205,990 | $141 | 72 |
| 915 Pertuso Ln | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,189 (-13%) | 2mo | $148,990 | $125 | 64 |
| 942 Pertuso Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,189 (-13%) | 2mo | $147,990 | $124 | 63 |
| 920 Pertuso Ln | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,535 (+13%) | 0mo | $160,990 | $105 | 60 |
| 944 Pertuso Ln | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,535 (+13%) | 0mo | $156,990 | $102 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-57,447
- Equity at exit
- $38,816
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-69,595
- Equity at exit
- $22,508
Cash invested: $72,891 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 54 active · 31 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.5 mo (22%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $181,490 ($126/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 33 d
- This list price
- 31% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +51.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77336
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 738
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,973 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,365
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,905/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $-240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-60 | -5% $-150 | +0% $-240 | +5% $-330 | +10% $-420 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-396 | -5% $-318 | +0% $-240 | +5% $-162 | +10% $-84 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-109 | -0.5pp $-174 | base $-240 | +0.5pp $-308 | +1.0pp $-376 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,082
- Closing costs
- $7,810
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31416 Pratola Serra Cir Huffman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $1,599 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 934 Pertuso Ln Huffman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,699 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $171,990 Active 228 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $171,990 Active 226 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $171,990 Active 225 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $171,990 Active 224 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $171,990 Active 223 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $171,990 Active 220 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $171,990 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-07-28pricedays on market $171,990 Active 217 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $169,990 Active 215 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $169,990 Active 213 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $169,990 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $169,990 Active 211 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $169,990 Active 210 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $169,990 Active 209 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $169,990 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $169,990 Active 206 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $169,990 Active 205 DOM
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2026-07-15pricedays on market $169,990 Active 204 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $172,990 Active 203 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $172,990 Active 202 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $172,990 Active 201 DOM
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2026-07-12price $172,990 Active 200 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $171,990 Active 200 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $171,990 Active 198 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $171,990 Active 196 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $171,990 Active 195 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $171,990 Active 194 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $171,990 Active 193 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $171,990 Active 192 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $171,990 Active 191 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $171,990 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $171,990 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $171,990 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $171,990 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $171,990 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $171,990 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $171,990 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $171,990 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $171,990 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $171,990 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $171,990 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $171,990 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $171,990 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $171,990 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $171,990 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $171,990 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $171,990 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $171,990 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $171,990 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $171,990 Active 161 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,582
- − Property taxes
- −$3,905
- − Insurance
- −$1,302
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,894
- − Management
- −$1,894
- − Depreciation
- −$7,573
- Taxable loss
- −$7,471
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,793
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,088/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This two-story home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates that could further enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New lighting fixtures — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huffman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823820
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,848
- Composite
- 30.61/100
- National rank
- #6195
- State rank
- #500 of 826 in TX
Livability — Huffman
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 5,571,493 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,342
- Household income
- $96,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 22% of renters
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.59%
- Current HPI
- 472.03
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-12-23 Listed $219,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…