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1263 Hillridge Dr
C+ Composite 64.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$38,000

1263 Hillridge Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1955 8,712 sqft lot $35/sqft · 7% above area Est $36k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NOTICE TO RESIDENTIAL INVESTORS! Are you looking for a FIXER-UPPER? You have found it! New on the market, three bedrooms located in an established neighborhood. Quick and easy access to I-75, shopping, schools and eateries.

Key facts

  • Eateries
  • Shopping
  • Quick access to i-75

Tags

ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODQUICK ACCESS TO I-75SHOPPINGSCHOOLSEATERIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.20 acre (8,712 sq ft); Subdivision: Bedingfield; Located in Macon, GA 31206
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; House structure; Resale property
  • Construction: Built in 1955; Wood siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances reported
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Flooring listed as 'Other'
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: One-level living; Family room; Additional living space labeled as 'Other'; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry listed as 'Other'

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bruce Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 434 students, 100% FRL); Rutland Middle School (math 12% / reading 28%, grade F, #349 of 470 statewide, top 75%, 812 students, 100% FRL); Rutland High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 907 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,860 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.87%
Cap rate
23.07%
Cash-on-cash
59.90%
DSCR
3.67
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,591
List price
$38,000
Delta
6.77%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1322 Triple Hill Dr 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,117 (+3%) 6mo $27,500 $25 77
1347 Schley St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,063 (-2%) 1mo $45,500 $43 74
1388 Lakeview Cir 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (+6%) 6mo $35,000 $31 65
4055 Emory Dr 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+13%) 2mo $58,000 $48 65
1151 N Beddingfield Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,080 (0%) 9mo $125,000 $116 61
4370 Mikado Ave 0.59mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,098 (+2%) 6mo $50,000 $46 57
1071 Sylvian Dr 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,001 (-7%) 9mo $53,000 $53 56
3366 Pio Nono Cir 0.60mi 3/1.0 962 (-11%) 8mo $106,000 $110 47
3366 Pio Nono Cir 0.60mi 3/1.0 962 (-11%) 8mo $106,000 $110 47
4283 Worsham Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-7%) 8mo $29,000 $29 47
1317 Peavy Dr 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-13%) 2mo $52,000 $56 44
1254 W Grenada Ter 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,188 (+10%) 3mo $100,000 $84 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.2%
Equity multiple
3.82×
Total profit
$29,998
Equity at exit
$5,666
10-year hold
IRR
66.5%
Equity multiple
8.48×
Total profit
$79,625
Equity at exit
$3,286

Cash invested: $10,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,089 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$199
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,373/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$531

Break-even live

Break-even rent $417
Max offer price $38,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,500
Closing costs
$1,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1240 Rocky Creek Rd Unit A Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,090 $0.81 21d 1 0.12mi
1289 Rocky Creek Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1404 $750 $0.53 43d 1 0.13mi
1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 13d 1 0.18mi
1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 980 $875 $0.89 13d 1 0.28mi
4028 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 21d 1 0.50mi
1260 Auburn Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 43d 1 0.53mi
1260 Auburn Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,295 $1.50 21d 1 0.53mi
4322 Mikado Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,230 $0.92 21d 1 0.55mi
1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 43d 1 0.56mi
906 Thomas St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $650 $0.81 43d 1 0.61mi
955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 43d 1 0.63mi
3823 Saint Charles Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,150 $1.13 43d 1 0.63mi
832 Richmond St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1364 $925 $0.68 21d 1 0.65mi
846 Bedingfield Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1187 $975 $0.82 43d 1 0.68mi
3685 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,450 $1.26 43d 1 0.70mi
3778 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 21d 1 0.72mi
3837 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 43d 1 0.80mi
1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 43d 1 0.88mi
3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 13d 1 0.96mi
3709 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1360 $1,300 $0.96 43d 1 0.99mi
837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 966 $750 $0.78 43d 1 1.07mi
4011 Marion Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 21d 1 1.08mi
3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 897 $745 $0.83 43d 1 1.09mi
524 Carmen Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1175 $1,050 $0.89 43d 1 1.10mi
534 Lynmore Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 864 $925 $1.07 43d 1 1.14mi
3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $895 $0.85 43d 1 1.15mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 43d 1 1.22mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1100 $925 $0.84 21d 1 1.22mi
1089 Brisbane St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 816 $1,075 $1.32 13d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $38,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $38,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $38,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $38,000 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $38,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $38,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $38,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $38,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $38,000 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $38,000 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $38,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $38,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $38,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $38,000 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $38,000 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $38,000 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    listed $38,000 Active 223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (223 chars)

    NOTICE TO RESIDENTIAL INVESTORS! Are you looking for a FIXER-UPPER? You have found it! New on the market, three bedrooms located in an established neighborhood. Quick and easy access to I-75, shopping, schools and eateries.

  18. 2026-04-25
    listed $38,000 New 227-char remark
  19. 2025-06-24
    soldstatus $26,000 Sold
  20. 2025-06-24
    soldstatus $26,000 Closed
  21. 2025-06-24
    soldstatus $26,000
  22. 2025-02-19
    status Active
  23. 2025-02-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  24. 2025-01-30
    listed $26,000 New
  25. 2025-01-30
    listed $26,000 Active
  26. 2025-01-30
    listed $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,373 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,373 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,073
− Mortgage interest
−$2,129
− Property taxes
−$1,373
− Insurance
−$190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,046
− Management
−$1,046
− Depreciation
−$1,105
Taxable income
$6,185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,484
After-tax cash flow
$4,889/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $38,000 CGMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $38,000 MGMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $38,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Sold (MLS) $26,000 CGMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Sold (MLS) $26,000 MGMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Sold (MLS) $26,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-02-19 Relisted MGMLS
  • 2025-02-13 Contingent MGMLS
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $26,000 CGMLS
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $26,000 MGMLS
  • 2025-01-30 Listed $26,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+29.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,373 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…