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2416 Shadow Ln #74
D Composite 40.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,990

2416 Shadow Ln #74 · Antioch, CA 94509
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 635 sqft · Condo public records · 253 Days on market
Built 1979 $283/sqft · 16% below area Est $215k · 16% under $485/mo HOA · 28% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Community pool
  • Pet area

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYDEDICATED PARKING SPACECOMMUNITY POOLOPEN BALCONYPRIVATE COMMUNITY POOLPET AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-216 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (21.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (2.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.9% in Antioch — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#782 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Antioch Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #200 of 517 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $180k implies a 234% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,790 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.15%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$214,646
List price
$179,990
Delta
-16.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.8%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-46,008
Equity at exit
$26,837
10-year hold
IRR
-38.6%
Equity multiple
-0.39×
Total profit
$-69,889
Equity at exit
$15,562

Cash invested: $50,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94509

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,760 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,229/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$485
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$-216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,033
Max offer price $141,790
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,998
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2796 Entrada Cir Antioch, CA 1.0 500 $1,695 $3.39 24d 1 0.14mi
2201 Sycamore Dr Antioch, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $1,445 $1.42 1d 10 0.18mi
2301 Sycamore Dr Antioch, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 716 $1,828 $2.55 1d 22 0.29mi
2725 Del Oro Cir Antioch, CA 1.0 1.0 580 $1,795 $3.09 11d 1 0.29mi
2200 Sycamore Dr Antioch, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 777 $1,917 $2.47 2d 12 0.31mi
2201 San Jose Dr Antioch, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 686 $1,615 $2.35 1d 8 0.35mi
1600 Aster Dr Antioch, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 838 $2,039 $2.43 1d 8 0.64mi
2800 Gentrytown Dr Antioch, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,650 $2.28 2d 9 0.75mi
619 W 17th St Unit C Antioch, CA 2.0 1.0 560 $1,795 $3.21 21d 1 0.76mi
2811 Cadiz Ln Antioch, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 715 $1,351 $1.89 21d 1 0.77mi
2811 Cadiz Ln Antioch, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 803 $1,391 $1.73 1d 1 0.77mi
616 1/2 W 16th St Antioch, CA 2.0 1.0 646 $1,950 $3.02 2d 1 0.81mi
616 1/2 W 16th St Antioch, CA 2.0 1.0 646 $1,950 $3.02 5d 1 0.81mi
318 Lawton St Antioch, CA 2.0 1.0 650 $1,850 $2.85 24d 1 0.93mi
318 Lawton St Antioch, CA 2.0 1.0 650 $1,850 $2.85 44d 1 0.93mi
1108 W 6th St Antioch, CA 1.0 1.0 460 $1,450 $3.15 43d 1 0.94mi
314 Lawton St #2 Antioch, CA 1.0 1.0 637 $1,495 $2.35 5d 1 0.95mi
314 Lawton St Antioch, CA 1.0 1.0 637 $1,550 $2.43 14d 1 0.95mi
3101 Buchanan Rd Antioch, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $1,750 $2.09 1d 4 1.04mi
618 W 7th St Unit 5 Antioch, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,695 $2.42 43d 1 1.07mi
512 E St Unit C Antioch, CA 1.0 1.0 469 $1,645 $3.51 43d 1 1.23mi
3104 Lone Tree Way Antioch, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,450 $2.23 14d 1 1.31mi
3108 Lone Tree Way Antioch, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,550 $2.38 14d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$485 · $5,820/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashpoolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 47 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,990 Active 253 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,990 Active 252 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,990 Active 251 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,990 Active 250 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,990 Active 248 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,990 Active 247 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,990 Active 244 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,990 Active 243 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,990 Active 242 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,990 Active 239 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,990 Active 238 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,990 Active 237 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,990 Active 236 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,990 Active 235 DOM
  15. 2026-03-24
    status Active 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  16. 2026-03-20
    historical 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  17. 2026-03-20
    listed $179,990 Active 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  18. 2026-03-15
    historical $2,099
  19. 2026-03-14
    historical $2,099
  20. 2026-03-03
    listed $2,099
  21. 2026-02-17
    historical $2,099
  22. 2026-02-02
    price $2,099
  23. 2026-01-31
    price $179,990 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  24. 2026-01-19
    price $2,199
  25. 2026-01-19
    listed $2,311
  26. 2026-01-01
    listed $2,311
  27. 2025-12-21
    price $189,990 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  28. 2025-12-21
    historical $2,311
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  29. 2025-12-06
    price $2,311
  30. 2025-12-05
    historical $1,950
  31. 2025-12-05
    listed $1,950
  32. 2025-12-04
    listed $1,950
  33. 2025-11-21
    price $199,950 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  34. 2025-10-25
    status Active 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  35. 2025-09-08
    status Pending 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  36. 2025-08-19
    listed $209,990 Active 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    Great Investment, Modern Living in a Secure, Gated Oasis Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo. Located in a sought-after gated community, this home is flooded with natural light that highlights the sleek, open-concept kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances. The seamless flow from the living area to your private open balcony makes it ideal for morning coffee or evening relaxation. Beyond your front door, enjoy resort-style amenities including a sparkling community pool, professional BBQ area, and a dedicated pet space for your furry friends. Key Highlights: Worry-Free Living: HOA covers water, sewer, and garbage utilities. Convenience: Dedicated parking space included. Prime Location: Minutes from e-BART, Highway 4, local dining, and major shopping centers.

  37. 2023-05-29
    historical
  38. 2014-04-08
    soldstatus $53,900 Sold-REO
  39. 2014-01-22
    status Pend-REO
  40. 2013-12-30
    price $57,900 Price Change-REO
  41. 2013-12-12
    price $63,900 Price Change-REO
  42. 2013-11-05
    price $71,000 Price Change-REO
  43. 2013-10-03
    listed $77,900 New-REO
  44. 2003-05-27
    soldstatus $143,000
  45. 2003-05-27
    soldstatus $143,000
  46. 2003-04-10
    historical
  47. 2003-03-15
    listed $143,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,229 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,368 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$139/yr (+$12/mo · 11.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,115
− Mortgage interest
−$10,082
− Property taxes
−$1,229
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,689
− Management
−$1,689
− HOA
−$5,820
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$5,531
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,327
After-tax cash flow
$-1,268/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Antioch Unified
NCES district ID
0602850
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 12.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 25.00%
Median HH income
$65,935
Composite
37.57/100
National rank
#4386
State rank
#200 of 517 in CA

Livability — Antioch

Score
56/100
State rank
#782
US rank
#22472

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Antioch, CA
County
Contra Costa County · 1,059,880 people
City population
116,477
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
70,090
Household income
$86,196
Rent vs Own
42.0% rent · 58.0% own
Severe rent burden
3063.0

Population outlook (Contra Costa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,287,720 people
By 2030
1,364,937 · +6.0%
By 2040
1,506,209 · +17.0%
By 2050
1,624,373 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,853,193 · +43.9%
By 2100
1,901,231 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% White 25% Two or more races 18% Black 16% Asian 9% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Russian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 29% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Contra Costa

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.0) · D 67.3% · R 29.4% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 37.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.0 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+43.5 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+37.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -477.30%
Current HPI
309.3499
Rent YoY
▲ 1.09%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.9% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $179,990 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-03-15 Rental Removed $2,099 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-03-14 Rental Removed $2,099 BRIDGEMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed for Rent $2,099 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-17 Rental Removed $2,099 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $2,099 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $179,990 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $2,199 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-01-19 Listed for Rent $2,311 BRIDGEMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listed for Rent $2,311 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-21 Price Changed $189,990 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-12-21 Rental Removed $2,311 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-06 Price Changed $2,311 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-05 Rental Removed $1,950 BRIDGEMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-04 Listed for Rent $1,950 BRIDGEMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $199,950 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-10-25 Relisted bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-09-08 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $209,990 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2023-05-29 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2014-04-08 Sold (MLS) $53,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2014-01-22 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2013-12-30 Price Changed $57,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2013-12-12 Price Changed $63,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2013-11-05 Price Changed $71,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2013-10-03 Listed $77,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2003-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
  • 2003-05-27 Sold (MLS) $143,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2003-04-10 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2003-03-15 Listed $143,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,229 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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