1824 Heights Dr · Poydras, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 1 bath-home, great for first-time buyers. This cozy residence features a fully fenced in yard, for pets, kids or outdoor entertainment. located just a short walk from the Islenos Museum, enjoy a touch of local culture right in your neighborhood.
Key facts
- Fully fenced in yard
- Parking
- Built 2006
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; City lot, rectangular (approx. 55 x 92)
- Construction: Built with brick; Shingle roofing; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch with concrete surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Total of 7 rooms; Very good condition
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($548/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (8.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#309 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Zoned schools: J.F. Gauthier School (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #129 of 646 statewide, top 21%, 520 students, 68% FRL); St. Bernard Middle School (math 30% / reading 43%, grade F, #82 of 218 statewide, top 38%, 354 students, 74% FRL); Chalmette High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #93 of 265 statewide, top 36%, 2,334 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in St. Bernard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
- St. Bernard County population projected at +89% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $130k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.70%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,323
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -25.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1716 Heights Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,085 (+2%) | 15mo | $131,500 | $121 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $36,545
- Equity at exit
- $77,560
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $106,411
- Equity at exit
- $137,192
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70085
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,193 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,137/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $119 | -5% $82 | +0% $46 | +5% $9 | +10% $-28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-49 | -5% $-1 | +0% $46 | +5% $93 | +10% $140 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $111 | -0.5pp $79 | base $46 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-22 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$130,000 Active 256-char remark
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bath-home, great for first-time buyers. This cozy residence features a fully fenced in yard, for pets, kids or outdoor entertainment. located just a short walk from the Islenos Museum, enjoy a touch of local culture right in your neighborhood.
-
2026-05-13$130,000 Active 256-char remark
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bath-home, great for first-time buyers. This cozy residence features a fully fenced in yard, for pets, kids or outdoor entertainment. located just a short walk from the Islenos Museum, enjoy a touch of local culture right in your neighborhood.
-
2026-03-23status Active
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2026-03-11status Pending
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2026-02-26price $110,000
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2026-02-26price $110,000
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2025-10-22price $115,000
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2025-10-22price $115,000
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2025-09-13price $110,000
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2025-09-13price $110,000
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2025-05-27$130,000 Active
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2025-05-27$110,000 Active
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2014-05-07soldstatus $73,800
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1993-10-27$32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,137 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,137 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,137
- − Insurance
- −$1,448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,619
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$389
- After-tax cash flow
- $936/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Poydras
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #21341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,952
Population outlook (St. Bernard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,513 people
- By 2030
- 77,768 · +16.9%
- By 2040
- 101,296 · +52.3%
- By 2050
- 125,770 · +89.1%
- By 2075
- 188,160 · +182.9%
- By 2100
- 239,339 · +259.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 16% Black 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 17% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Bernard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.1pp toward D · 2008: -45.4pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.7 2008: R+45.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.49%
- Current HPI
- 168.4026
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $130,000 GSREIN
- 2026-05-13 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-11 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $110,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $115,000 GSREIN
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $110,000 GSREIN
- 2025-05-27 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $73,800 Public Records
- 1993-10-27 Listed $32,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,137 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…