933 Hillsboro Rd · Camden, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New Price!!! Country Farm House Lovers, Here it is! Spacious & affordable Country Farm House with 12 spacious rooms!! There's an all important nearly new architectural shingle roof that's only 4 yrs old. This home offers a total of 5 bedrooms, & 2 baths, with 2 of the bedrooms on the main level & the other 3 are on the 2nd level with a huge landing used as a family room & a bath on each level for added convenience. The country kitchen allows you plenty of room to prepare home cooked meals & includes existing appliances. Last but certainly not least is the formal dining room & large living room. Yes, this home is in need of upgrades, some repairs & a good coat of paint on the exterior, but certainly livable while you do all of the work that you feel is necessary. Great bones to work with and a quaint open cover front porch & a large s covered side porch leading to a chain linked fenced area for all of your pets! Get yourself prequalified in the meantime, so you are ready to act on this affordable home at a great New Price!
Key facts
- Country kitchen
- Formal dining room
- Bonus family room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with storage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Circuit breaker electrical; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story residence; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding; Stone foundation; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; PEX plumbing; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Dirt and gravel driveways; Covered open porch; Private yard; Partial fencing; Fence; Propane tank (leased); See remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Multiple heating units; Space heater; Programmable thermostat
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Pantry; Main level primary bedroom; Programmable thermostat; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.0% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#549 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Camden Central School District (rural): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #504 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1830 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1830 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.87%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,733
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -54.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 990 Hillsboro Rd | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 | 2,000 (-4%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $163 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $86,330
- Equity at exit
- $126,033
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.29×
- Total profit
- $246,305
- Equity at exit
- $271,795
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13316
- Home prices YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,417 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $159
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $238 | -5% $198 | +0% $159 | +5% $119 | +10% $80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $47 | -5% $103 | +0% $159 | +5% $215 | +10% $271 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $229 | -0.5pp $194 | base $159 | +0.5pp $123 | +1.0pp $86 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-08$149,900 Active 1173-char remark
-
2026-02-11soldstatus $110,000
-
2026-02-03soldstatus $110,000 Closed 1086-char remark
Show marketing remark (1086 chars)
New Price!!! Country Farm House Lovers, Here it is! Spacious & affordable Country Farm House with 12 spacious rooms!! There's an all important nearly new architectural shingle roof that's only 4 yrs old. This home offers a total of 5 bedrooms, & 2 baths, with 2 of the bedrooms on the main level & the other 3 are on the 2nd level with a huge landing used as a family room & a bath on each level for added convenience. The country kitchen allows you plenty of room to prepare home cooked meals & includes existing appliances. Last but certainly not least is the formal dining room & large living room. Yes, this home is in need of upgrades, some repairs & a good coat of paint on the exterior, but certainly livable while you do all of the work that you feel is necessary. Great bones to work with and a quaint open cover front porch & a large s covered side porch leading to a chain linked fenced area for all of your pets! Get yourself prequalified in the meantime, so you are ready to act on this affordable home at a great New Price!
-
2025-12-27status Pending 1086-char remark
Show marketing remark (1086 chars)
New Price!!! Country Farm House Lovers, Here it is! Spacious & affordable Country Farm House with 12 spacious rooms!! There's an all important nearly new architectural shingle roof that's only 4 yrs old. This home offers a total of 5 bedrooms, & 2 baths, with 2 of the bedrooms on the main level & the other 3 are on the 2nd level with a huge landing used as a family room & a bath on each level for added convenience. The country kitchen allows you plenty of room to prepare home cooked meals & includes existing appliances. Last but certainly not least is the formal dining room & large living room. Yes, this home is in need of upgrades, some repairs & a good coat of paint on the exterior, but certainly livable while you do all of the work that you feel is necessary. Great bones to work with and a quaint open cover front porch & a large s covered side porch leading to a chain linked fenced area for all of your pets! Get yourself prequalified in the meantime, so you are ready to act on this affordable home at a great New Price!
-
2025-11-13historical Active Under Contract 1086-char remark
Show marketing remark (1086 chars)
New Price!!! Country Farm House Lovers, Here it is! Spacious & affordable Country Farm House with 12 spacious rooms!! There's an all important nearly new architectural shingle roof that's only 4 yrs old. This home offers a total of 5 bedrooms, & 2 baths, with 2 of the bedrooms on the main level & the other 3 are on the 2nd level with a huge landing used as a family room & a bath on each level for added convenience. The country kitchen allows you plenty of room to prepare home cooked meals & includes existing appliances. Last but certainly not least is the formal dining room & large living room. Yes, this home is in need of upgrades, some repairs & a good coat of paint on the exterior, but certainly livable while you do all of the work that you feel is necessary. Great bones to work with and a quaint open cover front porch & a large s covered side porch leading to a chain linked fenced area for all of your pets! Get yourself prequalified in the meantime, so you are ready to act on this affordable home at a great New Price!
-
2025-10-31price $114,900 1086-char remark
Show marketing remark (1086 chars)
New Price!!! Country Farm House Lovers, Here it is! Spacious & affordable Country Farm House with 12 spacious rooms!! There's an all important nearly new architectural shingle roof that's only 4 yrs old. This home offers a total of 5 bedrooms, & 2 baths, with 2 of the bedrooms on the main level & the other 3 are on the 2nd level with a huge landing used as a family room & a bath on each level for added convenience. The country kitchen allows you plenty of room to prepare home cooked meals & includes existing appliances. Last but certainly not least is the formal dining room & large living room. Yes, this home is in need of upgrades, some repairs & a good coat of paint on the exterior, but certainly livable while you do all of the work that you feel is necessary. Great bones to work with and a quaint open cover front porch & a large s covered side porch leading to a chain linked fenced area for all of your pets! Get yourself prequalified in the meantime, so you are ready to act on this affordable home at a great New Price!
-
2025-09-05$129,900 Active 1086-char remark
Show marketing remark (1086 chars)
New Price!!! Country Farm House Lovers, Here it is! Spacious & affordable Country Farm House with 12 spacious rooms!! There's an all important nearly new architectural shingle roof that's only 4 yrs old. This home offers a total of 5 bedrooms, & 2 baths, with 2 of the bedrooms on the main level & the other 3 are on the 2nd level with a huge landing used as a family room & a bath on each level for added convenience. The country kitchen allows you plenty of room to prepare home cooked meals & includes existing appliances. Last but certainly not least is the formal dining room & large living room. Yes, this home is in need of upgrades, some repairs & a good coat of paint on the exterior, but certainly livable while you do all of the work that you feel is necessary. Great bones to work with and a quaint open cover front porch & a large s covered side porch leading to a chain linked fenced area for all of your pets! Get yourself prequalified in the meantime, so you are ready to act on this affordable home at a great New Price!
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2008-05-09soldstatus $94,000
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2001-10-04soldstatus $66,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,025 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,194 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$170/yr (+$14/mo · 8.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,006
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,360
- − Management
- −$1,360
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$346
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$83
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606240
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,686
- Composite
- 35.15/100
- National rank
- #5008
- State rank
- #504 of 590 in NY
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #9877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,924
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.23%
- Current HPI
- 316.4996
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+112.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $139,900 CNYIS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
- 2026-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2026-02-03 Sold (MLS) $110,000 CNYIS
- 2025-12-27 Pending — CNYIS
- 2025-11-13 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $114,900 CNYIS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $129,900 CNYIS
- 2008-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2001-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,025 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…