5055 NE Elliott Cir #202 · Corvallis, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked on a quiet dead-end street, this home just feels easy with a peaceful pond view right from the large back deck. The yard is huge, and interesting, with cherry trees, apple trees, garden beds and a greenhouse that has doubled as an office! Inside the home has big rooms, a beautifully updated kitchen and flooring, a refreshed bath, and a built-in coffee bar you'll actually use shop/shed for projects heat pump with AC, washer dryer included cash purchase. Space rent 885 includes water, sewer, and trash.
Key facts
- Large back deck
- Pond view
- Apple trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $816 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.6% in Corvallis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in OR, #1,113 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Corvallis SD 509J (urban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #15 of 183 in OR (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.00%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,281
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- 28.97%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #8 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $74 | 81 |
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #51 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+6%) | 9mo | $160,000 | $114 | 75 |
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #35 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+14%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $83 | 68 |
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #20 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (-7%) | 23mo | $174,900 | $143 | 67 |
| 5055 Elliot Cir #166 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-13%) | 13mo | $75,000 | $65 | 61 |
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #30 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+14%) | 19mo | $173,750 | $115 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $33,114
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.82×
- Total profit
- $125,715
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97330
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,424 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $816
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $926 | -5% $871 | +0% $816 | +5% $761 | +10% $706 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $625 | -5% $720 | +0% $816 | +5% $912 | +10% $1,008 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $896 | -0.5pp $857 | base $816 | +0.5pp $775 | +1.0pp $733 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
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2026-06-19days on market $159,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-14pricedays on market $159,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $169,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-09status $169,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active under Contract 49 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active under Contract 48 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $169,000 Active under Contract 45 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active under Contract 44 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $169,000 Active under Contract 43 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active under Contract 42 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active under Contract 41 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $169,000 Active under Contract 40 DOM
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2026-05-01price $169,000 512-char remark
Show marketing remark (512 chars)
Tucked on a quiet dead-end street, this home just feels easy with a peaceful pond view right from the large back deck. The yard is huge, and interesting, with cherry trees, apple trees, garden beds and a greenhouse that has doubled as an office! Inside the home has big rooms, a beautifully updated kitchen and flooring, a refreshed bath, and a built-in coffee bar you'll actually use shop/shed for projects heat pump with AC, washer dryer included cash purchase. Space rent 885 includes water, sewer, and trash.
-
2026-04-21$179,000 Active 512-char remark
Show marketing remark (512 chars)
Tucked on a quiet dead-end street, this home just feels easy with a peaceful pond view right from the large back deck. The yard is huge, and interesting, with cherry trees, apple trees, garden beds and a greenhouse that has doubled as an office! Inside the home has big rooms, a beautifully updated kitchen and flooring, a refreshed bath, and a built-in coffee bar you'll actually use shop/shed for projects heat pump with AC, washer dryer included cash purchase. Space rent 885 includes water, sewer, and trash.
-
2024-05-21soldstatus $157,000 Sold 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2024-05-16status Pending 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2024-04-14historical Active under Contract 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2024-04-06price $155,000 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2024-04-05status Active 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2024-02-18historical Active under Contract 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2024-02-10price $159,000 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2024-01-18status Active 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2024-01-11historical Active under Contract 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2023-12-26$165,000 Active 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Back on market through no fault of home! BEST VIEWS & LOCATION in Knoll Terrace all ages Park! Exterior Features: NEW roof liner, lower skirting, windows, paint & deck. Gardening & fruit trees! Interior Features: AMAZING VIEWS from most windows, newer stove, fridge & stackable washer/dryer. NEW Kitchen, coffee bar, bedrooms, bathrooms, PEX Plumbing, HVAC, furnace, water heater, paint & flooring. Park Amenities include W/S, cable, clubhouse use, gym, playground & for a fee, RV/boat storage!
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2023-07-07soldstatus $40,000 Sold
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2023-06-19historical Active under Contract
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2023-06-16status Active
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2023-06-12historical Active under Contract
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2023-06-09price $60,000
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2023-05-26$87,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,087
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,385
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,327
- − Management
- −$2,327
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $7,721
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,853
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corvallis SD 509J
- NCES district ID
- 4103480
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,820
- Composite
- 48.62/100
- National rank
- #4584
- State rank
- #15 of 183 in OR
Livability — Corvallis
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #1113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Benton County · 98,484 people
- City population
- 67,812
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,878
- Household income
- $70,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3416.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,963 people
- By 2030
- 101,658 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 110,157 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 119,275 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 145,172 · +49.7%
- By 2100
- 165,349 · +70.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 3% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.6) · D 68.1% · R 28.5% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.1pp toward D · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.6 2020: D+39.7 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+31.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -420.12%
- Current HPI
- 298.7746
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.74%
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+94.3% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $169,000 WVMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $179,000 WVMLS
- 2024-05-21 Sold (MLS) $157,000 WVMLS
- 2024-05-16 Pending — WVMLS
- 2024-04-14 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2024-04-06 Price Changed $155,000 WVMLS
- 2024-04-05 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2024-02-18 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2024-02-10 Price Changed $159,000 WVMLS
- 2024-01-18 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2024-01-11 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2023-12-26 Listed $165,000 WVMLS
- 2023-07-07 Sold (MLS) $40,000 WVMLS
- 2023-06-19 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2023-06-16 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2023-06-12 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2023-06-09 Price Changed $60,000 WVMLS
- 2023-05-26 Listed $87,000 WVMLS
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $276 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…