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13863 Park Pl
B Composite 72.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,500

13863 Park Pl · La Feria, TX 78559
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1988 5,850 sqft lot $99/sqft · 48% below area Est $191k · 48% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence, including land is situated in a 55+ community in South Green Bay. This home is totally handicap equipped, it comes with a Harmar scooter electric lift, it will take you from the ground floor up to the top of the deck and you ride your wheelchair right to the front door in the safety and comfort of this electric lift. Boasts a split-bedroom layout, open living and dining areas, and a specious kitchen with appliances. Features a specious patio perfect for relaxation or entertainment, with handicap accessibility, and additional storage. A nicely back yard with access to the saltwater swimming pool area a county club, two pool tables, and various activities throughout the year. and additional storage. Low HOA fees: $600 per year. Ideal for full-time residents, Winter Texans, or those seeking a low maintenance, flexible property.

Key facts

  • Split-bedroom layout
  • Back yard
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

HARMAR SCOOTER ELECTRIC LIFTSPLIT-BEDROOM LAYOUTOPEN LIVING AND DINING AREASSPACIOUS KITCHENSPACIOUS PATIOBACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.4% in La Feria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.86%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$190,859
List price
$99,500
Delta
-47.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,626
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$24,302
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78559

Home prices YoY
-6.1%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,208 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $556/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $856
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,500 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,500 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,500 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,500 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,500 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,500 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,500 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $99,500 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,500 Active 244 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,500 Active 243 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 242 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 241 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,500 Active 240 DOM
  16. 2026-03-25
    status Active 885-char remark
    Show marketing remark (885 chars)

    Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence, including land is situated in a 55+ community in South Green Bay. This home is totally handicap equipped, it comes with a Harmar scooter electric lift, it will take you from the ground floor up to the top of the deck and you ride your wheelchair right to the front door in the safety and comfort of this electric lift. Boasts a split-bedroom layout, open living and dining areas, and a specious kitchen with appliances. Features a specious patio perfect for relaxation or entertainment, with handicap accessibility, and additional storage. A nicely back yard with access to the saltwater swimming pool area a county club, two pool tables, and various activities throughout the year. and additional storage. Low HOA fees: $600 per year. Ideal for full-time residents, Winter Texans, or those seeking a low maintenance, flexible property.

  17. 2026-03-25
    historical 885-char remark
    Show marketing remark (885 chars)

    Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence, including land is situated in a 55+ community in South Green Bay. This home is totally handicap equipped, it comes with a Harmar scooter electric lift, it will take you from the ground floor up to the top of the deck and you ride your wheelchair right to the front door in the safety and comfort of this electric lift. Boasts a split-bedroom layout, open living and dining areas, and a specious kitchen with appliances. Features a specious patio perfect for relaxation or entertainment, with handicap accessibility, and additional storage. A nicely back yard with access to the saltwater swimming pool area a county club, two pool tables, and various activities throughout the year. and additional storage. Low HOA fees: $600 per year. Ideal for full-time residents, Winter Texans, or those seeking a low maintenance, flexible property.

  18. 2026-02-12
    price $99,500 885-char remark
    Show marketing remark (885 chars)

    Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence, including land is situated in a 55+ community in South Green Bay. This home is totally handicap equipped, it comes with a Harmar scooter electric lift, it will take you from the ground floor up to the top of the deck and you ride your wheelchair right to the front door in the safety and comfort of this electric lift. Boasts a split-bedroom layout, open living and dining areas, and a specious kitchen with appliances. Features a specious patio perfect for relaxation or entertainment, with handicap accessibility, and additional storage. A nicely back yard with access to the saltwater swimming pool area a county club, two pool tables, and various activities throughout the year. and additional storage. Low HOA fees: $600 per year. Ideal for full-time residents, Winter Texans, or those seeking a low maintenance, flexible property.

  19. 2025-09-25
    listed $125,000 Active 885-char remark
    Show marketing remark (885 chars)

    Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence, including land is situated in a 55+ community in South Green Bay. This home is totally handicap equipped, it comes with a Harmar scooter electric lift, it will take you from the ground floor up to the top of the deck and you ride your wheelchair right to the front door in the safety and comfort of this electric lift. Boasts a split-bedroom layout, open living and dining areas, and a specious kitchen with appliances. Features a specious patio perfect for relaxation or entertainment, with handicap accessibility, and additional storage. A nicely back yard with access to the saltwater swimming pool area a county club, two pool tables, and various activities throughout the year. and additional storage. Low HOA fees: $600 per year. Ideal for full-time residents, Winter Texans, or those seeking a low maintenance, flexible property.

  20. 2010-12-02
    soldstatus
  21. 2008-10-20
    soldstatus
  22. 2007-07-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$556 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,821 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$1,265/yr (+$105/mo · 227.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,500
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$556
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,160
− Management
−$1,160
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$1,860
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$447
After-tax cash flow
$2,896/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Feria ISD
NCES district ID
4826040
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$33,306
Composite
25.41/100
National rank
#7460
State rank
#630 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Feria

Score
65/100
State rank
#667
US rank
#12330

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,752

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 35% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 87%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
40% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.21%
Current HPI
187.8512
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Relisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Delisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $99,500 RGVMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $125,000 RGVMLS
  • 2010-12-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-10-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-07-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $556 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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