49 Maple Ave · Cohocton, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very Exciting! Price reduction!!! Where will you find a better deal on a cozy Village home?? 2-3 bedrooms, l bath. Formal dining room, Lots of kitchen work space. First floor laundry. Large 3 season room. 2 car detached garage. Deep lot. Convenient to 390 expressway. Bring your ideas and make this your own.
Key facts
- Brand new kitchen
- First floor laundry
- Large backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (11.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,097 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Wayland-Cohocton Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #446 of 590 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
- Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $145k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.70%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,100
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Maple Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,451 (0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $100 | 99 |
| 14 Wheeler St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,448 (-0%) | 20mo | $210,000 | $145 | 68 |
| 31 S Main St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,621 (+12%) | 4mo | $121,000 | $75 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $31,631
- Equity at exit
- $86,404
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $99,038
- Equity at exit
- $152,747
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14826
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,230 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,909/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $-91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-9 | -5% $-50 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-133 | +10% $-174 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-189 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-43 | +10% $6 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-18 | -0.5pp $-55 | base $-91 | +0.5pp $-129 | +1.0pp $-167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-03-04$145,000 Active
-
2024-09-17soldstatus $46,000 Closed 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Very Exciting! Price reduction!!! Where will you find a better deal on a cozy Village home?? 2-3 bedrooms, l bath. Formal dining room, Lots of kitchen work space. First floor laundry. Large 3 season room. 2 car detached garage. Deep lot. Convenient to 390 expressway. Bring your ideas and make this your own.
-
2024-08-09status Pending 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Very Exciting! Price reduction!!! Where will you find a better deal on a cozy Village home?? 2-3 bedrooms, l bath. Formal dining room, Lots of kitchen work space. First floor laundry. Large 3 season room. 2 car detached garage. Deep lot. Convenient to 390 expressway. Bring your ideas and make this your own.
-
2024-07-23price $52,000 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Very Exciting! Price reduction!!! Where will you find a better deal on a cozy Village home?? 2-3 bedrooms, l bath. Formal dining room, Lots of kitchen work space. First floor laundry. Large 3 season room. 2 car detached garage. Deep lot. Convenient to 390 expressway. Bring your ideas and make this your own.
-
2024-06-24price $57,000 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Very Exciting! Price reduction!!! Where will you find a better deal on a cozy Village home?? 2-3 bedrooms, l bath. Formal dining room, Lots of kitchen work space. First floor laundry. Large 3 season room. 2 car detached garage. Deep lot. Convenient to 390 expressway. Bring your ideas and make this your own.
-
2024-05-22status Active 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Very Exciting! Price reduction!!! Where will you find a better deal on a cozy Village home?? 2-3 bedrooms, l bath. Formal dining room, Lots of kitchen work space. First floor laundry. Large 3 season room. 2 car detached garage. Deep lot. Convenient to 390 expressway. Bring your ideas and make this your own.
-
2024-04-10status Pending 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Very Exciting! Price reduction!!! Where will you find a better deal on a cozy Village home?? 2-3 bedrooms, l bath. Formal dining room, Lots of kitchen work space. First floor laundry. Large 3 season room. 2 car detached garage. Deep lot. Convenient to 390 expressway. Bring your ideas and make this your own.
-
2024-04-02$62,000 Active 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Very Exciting! Price reduction!!! Where will you find a better deal on a cozy Village home?? 2-3 bedrooms, l bath. Formal dining room, Lots of kitchen work space. First floor laundry. Large 3 season room. 2 car detached garage. Deep lot. Convenient to 390 expressway. Bring your ideas and make this your own.
-
2015-12-28historical
-
2015-09-28$69,900
-
2015-09-10historical
-
2015-03-10$69,900
-
2015-02-28historical
-
2014-10-14$73,000
-
2011-11-18soldstatus $67,500
-
2011-11-17soldstatus $67,500
-
2011-06-11$67,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,909 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,909 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,761
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,909
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,181
- − Management
- −$1,181
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$3,575
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$858
- After-tax cash flow
- $-240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayland-Cohocton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3600011
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,957
- Composite
- 39.54/100
- National rank
- #3940
- State rank
- #446 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cohocton
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1097
- US rank
- #22367
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cohocton, NY
- City population
- 2,134
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,134
Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,062 people
- By 2030
- 89,793 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 82,353 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 74,286 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 55,589 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 37,587 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Steuben
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Current HPI
- 307.2648
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+114.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $145,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-09-17 Sold (MLS) $46,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-08-09 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-07-23 Price Changed $52,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-06-24 Price Changed $57,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-05-22 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2024-04-10 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-04-02 Listed $62,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-12-28 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-09-28 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-09-10 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-03-10 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-02-28 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2014-10-14 Listed $73,000 UNYREIS
- 2011-11-18 Sold (MLS) $67,500 UNYREIS
- 2011-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
- 2011-06-11 Listed $67,500 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,909 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…