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3842 Sunny Spring St
D Composite 43.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$332,500

3842 Sunny Spring St · Plant City, FL 33565
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,350 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 220 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition 4,669 sqft lot $141/sqft · 11% below area Est $374k · 11% under $8/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Short Sale. SHORT SALE. Welcome to the Elston II - a modern, 1.5 year old two story home offering 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths and 2,350 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an inviting open first floor plan featuring a bright living area and a stylish kitchen equipped with granite countertops, SS appliances and sleek ceramic tile flooring. A convenient half-bath is located off the entry foyer. Sliding glass doors lead to the rear yard, ideal for outdoor dining and relaxation. A spacious 2-car garage with additional storage area provides ample space for vehicles and equipment. Upstairs, you will find a comfortable loft area perfect for a home office, playroom or media space, along with 4 well appointed bedrooms finished with plush carpeting. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with dual vanity sinks, shower and separate water closet. Also, you will find a very large walk-in closet. Blending modern finishes with functional design, this home is move-in ready and crafted for comfortable contemporary living. Located in Farm at Varrea this home offers resort style amenities including a large pool with slide, lap pool, gym, playground, basketball court, dog park and several walking trails. Convenently located close to I-4 for easy commute to Tampa and Orlando.

Key facts

  • Rear yard
  • Stylish kitchen
  • Ss appliances

Tags

OPEN FIRST FLOOR PLANSTYLISH KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSS APPLIANCESCERAMIC TILE FLOORINGREAR YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $332k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-200 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (10.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (11.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $293k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.3% in Plant City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Knights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 45%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 623 students, 70% FRL); Marshall Middle Magnet School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,089 students, 69% FRL); Plant City High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 2,474 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,944/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($293k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 9811% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $292,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.57%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$374,224
List price
$332,500
Delta
-9.41%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3920 Harvest Hearth Pl 0.26mi 4/3.0 2,537 (+8%) 5mo $454,545 $179 70
3436 Ivy Hollow Dr 0.20mi 4/2.5 2,305 (-2%) 20mo $345,990 $150 69
3428 Amber Waves Dr 0.27mi 4/2.5 2,045 (-13%) 0mo $379,380 $186 64
3415 Amber Waves Dr 0.19mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,077 (-12%) 6mo $374,990 $181 62
3516 Rosewood Ramble Ct 0.45mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,605 (+11%) 9mo $413,990 $159 48
3331 Ivy Hollow Dr 0.51mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,605 (+11%) 14mo $397,990 $153 42
3519 Thistle Bank Ct 0.51mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,639 (+12%) 14mo $409,990 $155 38
3520 Thistle Bank Ct 0.50mi 4/2.5 2,045 (-13%) 18mo $411,740 $201 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.5%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-66,410
Equity at exit
$49,577
10-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-73,453
Equity at exit
$28,749

Cash invested: $93,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
38 active · 30 under contract
Months of supply
22.8 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$404,300 ($178/sqft)
Median days on market
55 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-10.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33565

Home prices YoY
-24.7%
Active inventory
426
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,944 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,744
Tax from tax record
$635 /mo · $7,625/yr
Insurance
$139
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$618
Net cashflow
$-200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,197
Max offer price $297,232
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-11 -5% $-106 +0% $-200 +5% $-294 +10% $-388
Rent -10% $-432 -5% $-316 +0% $-200 +5% $-83 +10% $33
Rate -1.0pp $-32 -0.5pp $-115 base $-200 +0.5pp $-286 +1.0pp $-373

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,125
Closing costs
$9,975
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3827 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL 4.0 3.0 2756 $3,150 $1.14 73d 1 0.08mi
3809 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL 5.0 3.0 2964 $2,800 $0.94 73d 1 0.15mi
3440 Ivy Hollow Dr Plant City, FL 5.0 3.0 2605 $2,750 $1.06 73d 1 0.22mi
3507 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,300 $1.37 22d 1 0.50mi
3546 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 3.0 1673 $2,200 $1.32 73d 1 0.56mi
3546 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,200 $1.31 71d 1 0.56mi
3551 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,200 $1.31 53d 1 0.57mi
2318 Allium Roseum Ln Plant City, FL 4.0 2.0 1817 $2,300 $1.27 8d 1 1.10mi
2505 Williams Rd Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 2052 $1,950 $0.95 73d 1 1.26mi
3852 Northern Key Dr Plant City, FL 4.0 2.0 1936 $2,599 $1.34 28d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail $8/mo · $96/yr

Likely covers
waterpoolgym

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $332,500 Active 220 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    price $332,500 Active 218 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $339,000 Active 218 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $339,000 Active 217 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $339,000 Active 216 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $339,000 Active 215 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $339,000 Active 212 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $339,000 Active 210 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $339,000 Active 209 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $339,000 Active 207 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $339,000 Active 205 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $339,000 Active 204 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $339,000 Active 203 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $339,000 Active 202 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $339,000 Active 201 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $339,000 Active 198 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $339,000 Active 197 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    pricedays on market $339,000 Active 196 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $346,900 Active 194 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $346,900 Active 193 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $346,900 Active 192 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $346,900 Active 191 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $346,900 Active 190 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $346,900 Active 188 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $346,900 Active 187 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $346,900 Active 186 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $346,900 Active 185 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $346,900 Active 184 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $346,900 Active 183 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $346,900 Active 182 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $346,900 Active 181 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $346,900 Active 180 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $346,900 Active 179 DOM
  34. 2026-06-27
    days on market $346,900 Active 178 DOM
  35. 2026-06-26
    days on market $346,900 Active 177 DOM
  36. 2026-06-24
    days on market $346,900 Active 175 DOM
  37. 2026-06-22
    days on market $346,900 Active 173 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $346,900 Active 172 DOM
  39. 2026-06-19
    price $346,900 Active 169 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $354,900 Active 169 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $354,900 Active 168 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $354,900 Active 167 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $354,900 Active 166 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $354,900 Active 164 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $354,900 Active 163 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $354,900 Active 160 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $354,900 Active 159 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $354,900 Active 158 DOM
  49. 2026-06-04
    days on market $354,900 Active 155 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $354,900 Active 154 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,625 · $635/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,625 · $635/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,331
− Mortgage interest
−$18,625
− Property taxes
−$7,625
− Insurance
−$1,662
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,826
− Management
−$2,826
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$9,673
Taxable loss
−$8,003
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,921
After-tax cash flow
$-475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $11,750–$35,250 screening

This modern, two-story home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a spacious layout with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ceramic tile flooring. The exterior is well-maintained, and the property is located in a desirable neighborhood. The home is ready for move-in and would benefit from some cosmetic updates to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Freshens up the interior and improves durability
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 39/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Knights Elementary School D FL #1,152/2,144 Nat'l #14,081/41,679 Middle Marshall Middle Magnet School F FL #469/571 Nat'l #9,020/14,009 High Plant City High School F FL #312/667 Nat'l #8,724/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Plant City

Score
76/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plant City, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
City population
68,525
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,108
Household income
$73,414
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+1.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $372,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $376,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $394,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $376,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-25 Rental Removed $3,355 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-01-09 Listed for Rent $3,355 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $394,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) $367,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-23 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-11 Price Changed $367,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-05 Listed $366,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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