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3842 Sunny Spring St
D- Composite 39.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$346,900

3842 Sunny Spring St · Plant City, FL 33565
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,350 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 169 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition 4,669 sqft lot $8/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Short Sale. SHORT SALE. Welcome to the Elston II - a modern, 1.5 year old two story home offering 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths and 2,350 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an inviting open first floor plan featuring a bright living area and a stylish kitchen equipped with granite countertops, SS appliances and sleek ceramic tile flooring. A convenient half-bath is located off the entry foyer. Sliding glass doors lead to the rear yard, ideal for outdoor dining and relaxation. A spacious 2-car garage with additional storage area provides ample space for vehicles and equipment. Upstairs, you will find a comfortable loft area perfect for a home office, playroom or media space, along with 4 well appointed bedrooms finished with plush carpeting. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with dual vanity sinks, shower and separate water closet. Also, you will find a very large walk-in closet. Blending modern finishes with functional design, this home is move-in ready and crafted for comfortable contemporary living. Located in Farm at Varrea this home offers resort style amenities including a large pool with slide, lap pool, gym, playground, basketball court, dog park and several walking trails. Convenently located close to I-4 for easy commute to Tampa and Orlando.

Key facts

  • Rear yard
  • Stylish kitchen
  • Ss appliances

Tags

OPEN FIRST FLOOR PLANSTYLISH KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSS APPLIANCESCERAMIC TILE FLOORINGREAR YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $347k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $314k (9.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $307k (11.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $305k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 307 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,066/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 10240% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $305,272 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.28%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.0%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-67,797
Equity at exit
$51,724
10-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-73,466
Equity at exit
$29,994

Cash invested: $97,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33565

Home prices YoY
-24.7%
Active inventory
307
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,066 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,819
Tax from tax record
$635 /mo · $7,625/yr
Insurance
$145
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$644
Net cashflow
$-185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,300
Max offer price $314,285
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,725
Closing costs
$10,407
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3827 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL 4.0 3.0 2756 $3,150 $1.14 24d 1 0.08mi
3809 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL 5.0 3.0 2964 $2,800 $0.94 24d 1 0.15mi
3440 Ivy Hollow Dr Plant City, FL 5.0 3.0 2605 $2,750 $1.06 24d 1 0.22mi
3546 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 3.0 1673 $2,200 $1.32 24d 1 0.56mi
3546 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,200 $1.31 22d 1 0.56mi
3551 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,200 $1.31 3d 1 0.57mi
2318 Allium Roseum Ln Plant City, FL 4.0 2.0 1817 $2,400 $1.32 24d 1 1.15mi
2505 Williams Rd Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 2052 $1,950 $0.95 24d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgym

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    price $346,900 Active 169 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $354,900 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $354,900 Active 168 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $354,900 Active 167 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $354,900 Active 166 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $354,900 Active 164 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $354,900 Active 163 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $354,900 Active 160 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $354,900 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $354,900 Active 158 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $354,900 Active 155 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $354,900 Active 154 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $354,900 Active 153 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    price $354,900 Active 152 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,995 Active 152 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $359,995 Active 151 DOM
  17. 2026-05-11
    price $372,000 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Short Sale. SHORT SALE. Welcome to the Elston II - a modern, 1.5 year old two story home offering 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths and 2,350 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an inviting open first floor plan featuring a bright living area and a stylish kitchen equipped with granite countertops, SS appliances and sleek ceramic tile flooring. A convenient half-bath is located off the entry foyer. Sliding glass doors lead to the rear yard, ideal for outdoor dining and relaxation. A spacious 2-car garage with additional storage area provides ample space for vehicles and equipment. Upstairs, you will find a comfortable loft area perfect for a home office, playroom or media space, along with 4 well appointed bedrooms finished with plush carpeting. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with dual vanity sinks, shower and separate water closet. Also, you will find a very large walk-in closet. Blending modern finishes with functional design, this home is move-in ready and crafted for comfortable contemporary living. Located in Farm at Varrea this home offers resort style amenities including a large pool with slide, lap pool, gym, playground, basketball court, dog park and several walking trails. Convenently located close to I-4 for easy commute to Tampa and Orlando.

  18. 2026-04-15
    price $376,000 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Short Sale. SHORT SALE. Welcome to the Elston II - a modern, 1.5 year old two story home offering 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths and 2,350 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an inviting open first floor plan featuring a bright living area and a stylish kitchen equipped with granite countertops, SS appliances and sleek ceramic tile flooring. A convenient half-bath is located off the entry foyer. Sliding glass doors lead to the rear yard, ideal for outdoor dining and relaxation. A spacious 2-car garage with additional storage area provides ample space for vehicles and equipment. Upstairs, you will find a comfortable loft area perfect for a home office, playroom or media space, along with 4 well appointed bedrooms finished with plush carpeting. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with dual vanity sinks, shower and separate water closet. Also, you will find a very large walk-in closet. Blending modern finishes with functional design, this home is move-in ready and crafted for comfortable contemporary living. Located in Farm at Varrea this home offers resort style amenities including a large pool with slide, lap pool, gym, playground, basketball court, dog park and several walking trails. Convenently located close to I-4 for easy commute to Tampa and Orlando.

  19. 2026-03-13
    price $394,000 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Short Sale. SHORT SALE. Welcome to the Elston II - a modern, 1.5 year old two story home offering 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths and 2,350 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an inviting open first floor plan featuring a bright living area and a stylish kitchen equipped with granite countertops, SS appliances and sleek ceramic tile flooring. A convenient half-bath is located off the entry foyer. Sliding glass doors lead to the rear yard, ideal for outdoor dining and relaxation. A spacious 2-car garage with additional storage area provides ample space for vehicles and equipment. Upstairs, you will find a comfortable loft area perfect for a home office, playroom or media space, along with 4 well appointed bedrooms finished with plush carpeting. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with dual vanity sinks, shower and separate water closet. Also, you will find a very large walk-in closet. Blending modern finishes with functional design, this home is move-in ready and crafted for comfortable contemporary living. Located in Farm at Varrea this home offers resort style amenities including a large pool with slide, lap pool, gym, playground, basketball court, dog park and several walking trails. Convenently located close to I-4 for easy commute to Tampa and Orlando.

  20. 2026-03-10
    price $376,000 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Short Sale. SHORT SALE. Welcome to the Elston II - a modern, 1.5 year old two story home offering 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths and 2,350 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an inviting open first floor plan featuring a bright living area and a stylish kitchen equipped with granite countertops, SS appliances and sleek ceramic tile flooring. A convenient half-bath is located off the entry foyer. Sliding glass doors lead to the rear yard, ideal for outdoor dining and relaxation. A spacious 2-car garage with additional storage area provides ample space for vehicles and equipment. Upstairs, you will find a comfortable loft area perfect for a home office, playroom or media space, along with 4 well appointed bedrooms finished with plush carpeting. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with dual vanity sinks, shower and separate water closet. Also, you will find a very large walk-in closet. Blending modern finishes with functional design, this home is move-in ready and crafted for comfortable contemporary living. Located in Farm at Varrea this home offers resort style amenities including a large pool with slide, lap pool, gym, playground, basketball court, dog park and several walking trails. Convenently located close to I-4 for easy commute to Tampa and Orlando.

  21. 2026-01-25
    historical $3,355
  22. 2026-01-09
    listed $3,355
  23. 2025-12-31
    listed $394,000 Active 1347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1347 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Short Sale. SHORT SALE. Welcome to the Elston II - a modern, 1.5 year old two story home offering 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths and 2,350 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Step inside to an inviting open first floor plan featuring a bright living area and a stylish kitchen equipped with granite countertops, SS appliances and sleek ceramic tile flooring. A convenient half-bath is located off the entry foyer. Sliding glass doors lead to the rear yard, ideal for outdoor dining and relaxation. A spacious 2-car garage with additional storage area provides ample space for vehicles and equipment. Upstairs, you will find a comfortable loft area perfect for a home office, playroom or media space, along with 4 well appointed bedrooms finished with plush carpeting. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with dual vanity sinks, shower and separate water closet. Also, you will find a very large walk-in closet. Blending modern finishes with functional design, this home is move-in ready and crafted for comfortable contemporary living. Located in Farm at Varrea this home offers resort style amenities including a large pool with slide, lap pool, gym, playground, basketball court, dog park and several walking trails. Convenently located close to I-4 for easy commute to Tampa and Orlando.

  24. 2024-06-28
    soldstatus $367,990 Closed 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. Farm at Varrea offers new homes in Plant City, located right off Midway Road, and less than 10 minutes from I-4. Easy access to the interstate provides a seamless commute to the large surrounding cities such as Tampa, Orlando, and Lakeland. Farm at Varrea, nestled among grand oak trees, provides a small-town, rural feel, yet allows homeowners to be immersed in all that Plant City has to offer. Just 11 minutes away, you'll find Downtown Plant City with a main street bustling with unique shops, restaurants, and entertainment. Not only is the community in a prime location, but it sits in the center of the Strawberry Capital, where the famous Strawberry Festival is held annually, bringing rides, vendors, and live entertainment to the city. Each home in this community is constructed with concrete blocks on 1st and 2nd stories, comes equipped with D. R. Horton’s Smart Home System and is backed by America’s #1 Builder since 2002. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. D. R. Horton Reserves all Rights.

  25. 2024-03-23
    status Pending 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. Farm at Varrea offers new homes in Plant City, located right off Midway Road, and less than 10 minutes from I-4. Easy access to the interstate provides a seamless commute to the large surrounding cities such as Tampa, Orlando, and Lakeland. Farm at Varrea, nestled among grand oak trees, provides a small-town, rural feel, yet allows homeowners to be immersed in all that Plant City has to offer. Just 11 minutes away, you'll find Downtown Plant City with a main street bustling with unique shops, restaurants, and entertainment. Not only is the community in a prime location, but it sits in the center of the Strawberry Capital, where the famous Strawberry Festival is held annually, bringing rides, vendors, and live entertainment to the city. Each home in this community is constructed with concrete blocks on 1st and 2nd stories, comes equipped with D. R. Horton’s Smart Home System and is backed by America’s #1 Builder since 2002. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. D. R. Horton Reserves all Rights.

  26. 2024-03-11
    price $367,990 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. Farm at Varrea offers new homes in Plant City, located right off Midway Road, and less than 10 minutes from I-4. Easy access to the interstate provides a seamless commute to the large surrounding cities such as Tampa, Orlando, and Lakeland. Farm at Varrea, nestled among grand oak trees, provides a small-town, rural feel, yet allows homeowners to be immersed in all that Plant City has to offer. Just 11 minutes away, you'll find Downtown Plant City with a main street bustling with unique shops, restaurants, and entertainment. Not only is the community in a prime location, but it sits in the center of the Strawberry Capital, where the famous Strawberry Festival is held annually, bringing rides, vendors, and live entertainment to the city. Each home in this community is constructed with concrete blocks on 1st and 2nd stories, comes equipped with D. R. Horton’s Smart Home System and is backed by America’s #1 Builder since 2002. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. D. R. Horton Reserves all Rights.

  27. 2024-03-05
    listed $366,990 Active 1403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1403 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. Farm at Varrea offers new homes in Plant City, located right off Midway Road, and less than 10 minutes from I-4. Easy access to the interstate provides a seamless commute to the large surrounding cities such as Tampa, Orlando, and Lakeland. Farm at Varrea, nestled among grand oak trees, provides a small-town, rural feel, yet allows homeowners to be immersed in all that Plant City has to offer. Just 11 minutes away, you'll find Downtown Plant City with a main street bustling with unique shops, restaurants, and entertainment. Not only is the community in a prime location, but it sits in the center of the Strawberry Capital, where the famous Strawberry Festival is held annually, bringing rides, vendors, and live entertainment to the city. Each home in this community is constructed with concrete blocks on 1st and 2nd stories, comes equipped with D. R. Horton’s Smart Home System and is backed by America’s #1 Builder since 2002. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. D. R. Horton Reserves all Rights.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,625 · $635/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,625 · $635/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,797
− Mortgage interest
−$19,432
− Property taxes
−$7,625
− Insurance
−$1,734
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,944
− Management
−$2,944
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$10,092
Taxable loss
−$8,069
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,937
After-tax cash flow
$-279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern, two-story home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a spacious layout with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ceramic tile flooring. The exterior is well-maintained, and the property is located in a desirable neighborhood. The home is ready for move-in and would benefit from some cosmetic updates to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Freshens up the interior and improves durability
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Freshens up the interior and improves durability
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Plant City

Score
76/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plant City, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
68,525
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,108
Household income
$73,414
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
152.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.17%
Current HPI
347.2475
Rent YoY
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $372,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $376,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $394,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $376,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-25 Rental Removed $3,355 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-01-09 Listed for Rent $3,355 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $394,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) $367,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-23 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-11 Price Changed $367,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-05 Listed $366,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…