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3938 Surfside Blvd #3222
D- Composite 39.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.2/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$85,000

3938 Surfside Blvd #3222 · Corpus Christi, TX 78402
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 420 sqft · Townhouse public records · 230 Days on market
Built 1981 928 sqft lot $202/sqft · 28% below area Est $118k · 28% under $575/mo HOA · 49% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This vibrant Villa del Sol Single Bedroom Bathroom Residence, located on the second level of Building 3 features spacious living and extra bunk space available for guests. This unit features a newly renovated, tile-accented bathroom and patio with courtyard access. It has been used as a vacation property and offers excellent potential for short-term rentals, which are permitted by the property. The current owner, however, only used the unit for personal use. In addition to the unit's current renovations, Villa del Sol offers residents and guests access to swimming pools, a courtyard, and a recreation area. The property also provides convenient access to Corpus Christi Beach.

Key facts

  • Courtyard access
  • Swimming pools
  • Recreation area

Tags

TILE ACCENTED BATHROOMCOURTYARD ACCESSSWIMMING POOLSRECREATION AREAACCESS TO CORPUS CHRISTI BEACH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $44k (47.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (47.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $85k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
Recommended offer $44,445 (47.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
3.05%
Cash-on-cash
-11.58%
DSCR
0.48
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,173
List price
$85,000
Delta
-28.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3938 Surfside Blvd #2327 0.01mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $58,000 $138 98
3938 Surfside Blvd #3342 0.00mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $62,000 $148 98
3938 Surfside Blvd #3114 0.01mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $45,000 $107 98
3938 Surfside Blvd #1219 0.03mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $44,900 $107 98
3938 Surfside Blvd #1316 0.04mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $64,500 $154 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #3225 0.04mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $39,900 $95 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #2332 0.02mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $48,000 $114 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #3224 0.04mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $55,000 $131 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #1225 0.03mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $50,000 $119 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #1207 0.04mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $50,000 $119 96
3938 Surfside Blvd #1327 0.04mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $50,000 $119 96
3938 Surfside Blvd #2305 0.03mi 1/1.0 418 (-0%) 3mo $100,000 $239 96

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-36.7%
Equity multiple
-0.18×
Total profit
$-28,030
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
-46.9%
Equity multiple
-0.75×
Total profit
$-41,752
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78402

Home prices YoY
-8.8%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,163/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$575
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$-230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,460
Max offer price $44,445
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-181 -5% $-206 +0% $-230 +5% $-254 +10% $-278
Rent -10% $-322 -5% $-276 +0% $-230 +5% $-183 +10% $-137
Rate -1.0pp $-187 -0.5pp $-208 base $-230 +0.5pp $-252 +1.0pp $-274

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$575 · $6,900/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 230 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 227 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 226 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 225 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 224 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 222 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 219 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 213 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 212 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 211 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 210 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 209 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 208 DOM
  17. 2024-10-31
    listed $85,000 Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    This vibrant Villa del Sol Single Bedroom Bathroom Residence, located on the second level of Building 3 features spacious living and extra bunk space available for guests. This unit features a newly renovated, tile-accented bathroom and patio with courtyard access. It has been used as a vacation property and offers excellent potential for short-term rentals, which are permitted by the property. The current owner, however, only used the unit for personal use. In addition to the unit's current renovations, Villa del Sol offers residents and guests access to swimming pools, a courtyard, and a recreation area. The property also provides convenient access to Corpus Christi Beach.

  18. 2002-03-20
    soldstatus $24,225
  19. 2001-12-15
    listed $26,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,163 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,556 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$393/yr (+$33/mo · 33.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,028
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,163
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,122
− Management
−$1,122
− HOA
−$6,900
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable loss
−$3,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$945
After-tax cash flow
$-1,810/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corpus Christi ISD
NCES district ID
4815270
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,672
Composite
28.27/100
National rank
#6793
State rank
#562 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corpus Christi

Score
78/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#2404

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corpus Christi, TX
City population
296,836
Population (ZIP)
392

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 17% Black 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.74%
Current HPI
101.5421
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+220.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2024-10-31 Listed $85,000 CBMLS
  • 2002-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $24,225 Public Records
  • 2001-12-15 Listed $26,500 CBMLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,163 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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