Duplex
312 S Brewer St · Manchester, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
What is hot on the market these days? Yep rentals! This duplex has both units filled with long time renters that want to stay:) Beautiful lot great location close to all the amenities for every day life! Each unit has it's own utilities set up. Lets start building your house farming portfolio today!
Key facts
- Great location
- Own utilities
- Duplex
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $368/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 2.1% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#51 in IA, #1,250 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- West Delaware County Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #49 of 289 in IA (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $84k; list at $139k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.70%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $35,000
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- 297.14%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 E Main St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 2,021 (-3%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $17 | 77 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $24,395
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $81,712
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52057
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,122 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,838/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $736
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $815 | -5% $776 | +0% $736 | +5% $697 | +10% $658 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $569 | -5% $653 | +0% $736 | +5% $820 | +10% $904 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $806 | -0.5pp $772 | base $736 | +0.5pp $700 | +1.0pp $664 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,122 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,061 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,061 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,122 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-02-12$139,000 Active 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
What is hot on the market these days? Yep rentals! This duplex has both units filled with long time renters that want to stay:) Beautiful lot great location close to all the amenities for every day life! Each unit has it's own utilities set up. Lets start building your house farming portfolio today!
-
2025-09-22price $139,000
-
2024-12-19price $149,000
-
2024-10-02status Active
-
2024-08-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-06-07$158,000 Active
-
2013-03-26soldstatus $84,000
-
2001-05-23soldstatus $41,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,838 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,010 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 9.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$1,838
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,037
- − Management
- −$2,037
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $7,027
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,686
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,150/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Delaware County Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930900
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,373
- Composite
- 65.37/100
- National rank
- #484
- State rank
- #49 of 289 in IA
Livability — Manchester
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #1250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Manchester, IA
- City population
- 7,883
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,883
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,718 people
- By 2030
- 16,267 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 15,277 · -8.6%
- By 2050
- 14,198 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 12,804 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 11,678 · -30.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.4% · R 69.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.6pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.1 2016: R+29.8 2012: R+0.2 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.71%
- Current HPI
- 222.5625
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+234.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $139,000 ECIMLS
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $139,000 ECIMLS
- 2024-12-19 Price Changed $149,000 ECIMLS
- 2024-10-02 Relisted — ECIMLS
- 2024-08-13 Contingent — ECIMLS
- 2024-06-07 Listed $158,000 ECIMLS
- 2013-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,838 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…