1938 Pennsylvania 92 · Duryea, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect to add to your investment portfolio. Perched above the river with stunning views, this unique property offers a 3 bed, 1 bath main home plus separate 1 bed 1 bath guest house. Private hillside setting with parking at the top of the driveway. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special. Cash, hard money, commercial, or portfolio loans ONLY.
Key facts
- 0.65 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 46 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,029 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Wyoming Area SD (suburban): math 24% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #381 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.40%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $316,053
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -60.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $526
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $27,578
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18643
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,717 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$258 /mo · $3,101/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
Perfect to add to your investment portfolio. Perched above the river with stunning views, this unique property offers a 3 bed, 1 bath main home plus separate 1 bed 1 bath guest house. Private hillside setting with parking at the top of the driveway. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special. Cash, hard money, commercial, or portfolio loans ONLY.
-
2026-05-11status Pending 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Perched above the river with stunning views, this unique property offers a 3bed 1bath main home plus a separate 1bed 1bath guest house. Ideal for investors, multi-gen living, or buyers seeking sweat equity. Private hillside setting with parking at top of steep drive. Bring your vision and transform this property into something truly special. Cash, hard money, or portfolio loans only
-
2026-05-04$125,000 Active 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
Perfect to add to your investment portfolio. Perched above the river with stunning views, this unique property offers a 3 bed, 1 bath main home plus separate 1 bed 1 bath guest house. Private hillside setting with parking at the top of the driveway. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special. Cash, hard money, commercial, or portfolio loans ONLY.
-
2026-03-26$125,000 Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Perched above the river with stunning views, this unique property offers a 3bed 1bath main home plus a separate 1bed 1bath guest house. Ideal for investors, multi-gen living, or buyers seeking sweat equity. Private hillside setting with parking at top of steep drive. Bring your vision and transform this property into something truly special. Cash, hard money, or portfolio loans only
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,101 · $258/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,101 · $258/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$3,101
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,649
- − Management
- −$1,649
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,149
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$516
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226730
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,856
- Composite
- 32.21/100
- National rank
- #5776
- State rank
- #381 of 539 in PA
Livability — Duryea
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1029
- US rank
- #11458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 4,469
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,683
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Scotch-Irish 5% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.48%
- Current HPI
- 259.5339
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-05-11 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-05-04 Listed $125,000 LCAR
- 2026-03-26 Listed $125,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,101 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…