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303 Central Ave
C+ Composite 61.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

303 Central Ave · Norwich, CT 06360
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,596 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 135 Days on market
Built 1890 2,178 sqft lot Est $286k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully remodeled 5-bedroom, 2-full bath colonial style home. The home was remodeled from studs up and offers all new electrical, plumbing, insulation and mechanicals. Contemporary features include stainless steel appliances, recessed lights, butcher-block counter tops, luxury-laminate flooring, barn-yard doors, soothing paint colors, new light fixtures and ceiling fans, sinks, vanities, faucets and so much more. Specious backyard.

Key facts

  • 2,178 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890
  • Listed 135 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Beige exterior
  • Exterior features: Porch; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heat specified; Thermopane windows (energy efficient)
  • Interior features: Cable pre-wired; Full unfinished basement with hatchway
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on 2nd floor / upper level; 40-gallon electric hot water tank

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.0% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: schools D+.
  • Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.83%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$285,684
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
79 Roosevelt Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,537 (-4%) 2mo $355,800 $231 69
113 4th St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,696 (+6%) 2mo $260,000 $153 62
31 Prospect St 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,672 (+5%) 5mo $260,000 $156 61
556 Boswell Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,716 (+8%) 3mo $257,000 $150 61
3 Curtis St 0.57mi 4/1.0 1,560 (-2%) 3mo $400,000 $256 59
163 Hickory St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,518 (-5%) 4mo $280,000 $184 55
89 Hickory St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,512 (-5%) 6mo $225,000 $149 55
276 Boswell Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,536 (-4%) 8mo $275,000 $179 50
290 Boswell Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,416 (-11%) 1mo $335,500 $237 48
272 Boswell Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,800 (+13%) 6mo $240,000 $133 46
128 Smith Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,357 (-15%) 0mo $275,000 $203 39
17 Daniel St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,381 (-14%) 6mo $160,000 $116 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-6,239
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$55,883
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06360

Home prices YoY
-19.9%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
241
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,305 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$417 /mo · $5,005/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,960
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
229 Boswell Ave Unit 6 Norwich, CT 3.0 2.5 1547 $2,350 $1.52 13d 1 0.50mi
10 Hillcrest St Unit B Norwich, CT 3.0 3.0 1507 $2,300 $1.53 43d 1 0.69mi
130 Platt Ave Norwich, CT 3.0 1.0 2010 $1,800 $0.90 43d 1 0.91mi
51-53 Cliff St Norwich, CT 4.0 1.0 1598 $2,100 $1.31 21d 1 1.13mi
51 Broad St Norwich, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 21d 1 1.22mi
14-16 Slater Ave Unit 14 Norwich, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 43d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-23
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  3. 2026-04-16
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-02
    status Under Contract
  5. 2026-02-20
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  6. 2026-02-16
    status Active
  7. 2026-02-12
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  8. 2026-01-24
    price $199,900
  9. 2025-12-24
    price $224,900
  10. 2025-11-06
    listed $259,900 Active
  11. 2025-06-25
    historical
  12. 2025-04-09
    listed $300,000 Active
  13. 2023-07-29
    status Under Contract 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Fully remodeled 5-bedroom, 2-full bath colonial style home. The home was remodeled from studs up and offers all new electrical, plumbing, insulation and mechanicals. Contemporary features include stainless steel appliances, recessed lights, butcher-block counter tops, luxury-laminate flooring, barn-yard doors, soothing paint colors, new light fixtures and ceiling fans, sinks, vanities, faucets and so much more. Specious backyard.

  14. 2023-07-25
    soldstatus $257,000 Closed 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Fully remodeled 5-bedroom, 2-full bath colonial style home. The home was remodeled from studs up and offers all new electrical, plumbing, insulation and mechanicals. Contemporary features include stainless steel appliances, recessed lights, butcher-block counter tops, luxury-laminate flooring, barn-yard doors, soothing paint colors, new light fixtures and ceiling fans, sinks, vanities, faucets and so much more. Specious backyard.

  15. 2023-06-26
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Fully remodeled 5-bedroom, 2-full bath colonial style home. The home was remodeled from studs up and offers all new electrical, plumbing, insulation and mechanicals. Contemporary features include stainless steel appliances, recessed lights, butcher-block counter tops, luxury-laminate flooring, barn-yard doors, soothing paint colors, new light fixtures and ceiling fans, sinks, vanities, faucets and so much more. Specious backyard.

  16. 2023-06-07
    listed $240,000 Active 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Fully remodeled 5-bedroom, 2-full bath colonial style home. The home was remodeled from studs up and offers all new electrical, plumbing, insulation and mechanicals. Contemporary features include stainless steel appliances, recessed lights, butcher-block counter tops, luxury-laminate flooring, barn-yard doors, soothing paint colors, new light fixtures and ceiling fans, sinks, vanities, faucets and so much more. Specious backyard.

  17. 2022-06-02
    soldstatus $69,000
  18. 2022-06-01
    soldstatus $69,000 Closed
  19. 2022-05-03
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  20. 2022-04-18
    price $79,000
  21. 2022-04-18
    price $79,000
  22. 2022-03-22
    listed $87,000 Active
  23. 2021-12-10
    price $89,000
  24. 2021-04-23
    soldstatus $68,400
  25. 2021-04-22
    soldstatus $68,000 Closed
  26. 2021-03-22
    listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,005 · $417/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,005 · $417/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,654
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$5,005
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,212
− Management
−$2,212
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$212
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$51
After-tax cash flow
$3,212/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norwich School District
NCES district ID
0903120
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,813
Composite
21.27/100
National rank
#8395
State rank
#139 of 153 in CT

Livability — Norwich

Score
81/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#1391

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A- Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norwich, CT
County
New London County · 147,197 people
City population
37,216
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
Population (ZIP)
37,216
Household income
$65,539
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
1643.0

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.27%
Current HPI
261.8575
Rent YoY
▲ 6.62%
Metro
Norwich-New London, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.2% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-16 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $199,900 Smart MLS
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $224,900 Smart MLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $259,900 Smart MLS
  • 2025-06-25 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $300,000 Smart MLS
  • 2023-07-29 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2023-07-25 Sold (MLS) $257,000 Smart MLS
  • 2023-06-26 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2023-06-07 Listed $240,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-01 Sold (MLS) $69,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-05-03 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2022-04-18 Price Changed $79,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-04-18 Price Changed $79,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-03-22 Listed $87,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-12-10 Price Changed $89,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $68,400 Public Records
  • 2021-04-22 Sold (MLS) $68,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-03-22 Listed $79,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,005 · +54.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…