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11250 Az-69 #2116
B- Composite 67.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

11250 Az-69 #2116 · Prescott Valley, AZ 86327
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 882 sqft · SingleFamily · 64 Days on market
Built 2011 Average condition $136/sqft · 16% below area Est $143k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming home on a corner lot.Nice view from front porch. Back Yard beautiful mountain view. Open floor plan, relax in the Livingroom looking into the Dining room & Kitchen with all electric white appliances. Laundry nook w/stacked front load W/D.Master & Guest Bedroom & baths, w/walk in showers.3 Ceiling fans in, LR, MBR & GBR. Turf fenced in side yard & Pavers to park Golf Cart. Shed under Carport.A/C w/Heat pump. An adorable home is on a friendly & quite street55+ community background check required

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Walk in showers
  • Laundry nook

Tags

CORNER LOTMOUNTAIN VIEWOPEN FLOOR PLANELECTRIC WHITE APPLIANCESLAUNDRY NOOKWALK IN SHOWERS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.2% in Prescott Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#126 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Humboldt Unified District (4469) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #94 of 249 in AZ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 266 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.80%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$143,250
List price
$120,000
Delta
-16.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11250 Arizona 69 #2130 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 884 (+0%) 4mo $123,000 $139 88
1101 E Windmill Dr 0.14mi 2/1.5 896 (+2%) 9mo $117,000 $131 82
11250 E State Route 69 #1107 #1107 0.29mi 2/1.0 840 (-5%) 1mo $134,500 $160 74
2214 Dove Dr 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,000 (+13%) 4mo $140,000 $140 70
1165 Rocking M Ln 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (+11%) 3mo $146,500 $149 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-3,692
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$17,225
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86327

Home prices YoY
-11.8%
Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $670/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,120
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
959 N Old Chisholm Trl Apt 01 Dewey, AZ 1.0 2.0 960 $1,175 $1.22 43d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    price $120,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    listed $135,000 Active 536-char remark
    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    This charming home on a corner lot.Nice view from front porch. Back Yard beautiful mountain view. Open floor plan, relax in the Livingroom looking into the Dining room & Kitchen with all electric white appliances. Laundry nook w/stacked front load W/D.Master & Guest Bedroom & baths, w/walk in showers.3 Ceiling fans in, LR, MBR & GBR. Turf fenced in side yard & Pavers to park Golf Cart. Shed under Carport.A/C w/Heat pump. An adorable home is on a friendly & quite street55+ community background check required

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 26% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,189
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$1,270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$1,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$277
After-tax cash flow
$2,680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

A charming home with average condition, requiring cosmetic repairs and updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate exterior siding — visible wear
  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both replace exterior siding — improves curb appeal and structural integrity

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · visible wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $3,500–18,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both replace exterior siding — improves curb appeal and structural integrity

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humboldt Unified District (4469)
NCES district ID
0403870
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$45,326
Composite
29.06/100
National rank
#6605
State rank
#94 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Prescott Valley

Score
62/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#16160

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prescott Valley, AZ
County
Yavapai County · 190,406 people
City population
63,155
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
Population (ZIP)
12,154
Household income
$71,512
Rent vs Own
9.0% rent · 91.0% own
Severe rent burden
70.0

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
241,389 people
By 2030
249,523 · +3.4%
By 2040
259,966 · +7.7%
By 2050
264,736 · +9.7%
By 2075
269,334 · +11.6%
By 2100
256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.08%
Current HPI
320.6301
Rent YoY
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $135,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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