310 6th St NW · East Grand Forks, MN
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEWER WINDOWS, ROOF, GFA FURNACE. VERY WELL MAINTAINED 3 BEDROOM PLUS MAIN FLOOR DEN & 2 BATHS. NEUTRAL DECOR THROUGHOUT. BEAUTIFUL LARGE FENCED BACK YARD PLUS ATTACHED GARAGE. A MUST SEE!
Key facts
- Spacious livingroom
- Large fenced yard
- 6,580 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Masonite siding; Block foundation; Built by unknown builder
- Exterior features: Patio; Wood fencing (fenced yard); Lot approximately 6,580 square feet
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Forced air heating; Natural gas available; Electric heating; Cooling present
- Interior features: Full basement; Total of 10 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 3.1% in East Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#167 in MN, #3,598 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- East Grand Forks Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #168 of 301 in MN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Grand Forks Senior High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #246 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 541 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 42 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.62%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,718
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -47.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 819 Burlington DR Dr NW | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,104 (-5%) | 6mo | $229,900 | $208 | 73 |
| 914 1st Ave Ave NE | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,162 (+0%) | 16mo | $115,500 | $99 | 71 |
| 1120 4th Ave NW | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,116 (-4%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $259 | 70 |
| 417 2nd Ave NE | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,067 (-8%) | 0mo | $189,900 | $178 | 70 |
| 309 5th St NW | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,117 (-4%) | 15mo | $155,000 | $139 | 66 |
| 822 5th Ave NW | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,072 (-7%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $238 | 65 |
| 106 5th St NW | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-5%) | 23mo | $114,900 | $104 | 61 |
| 514 1st Ave NE | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,289 (+11%) | 15mo | $99,900 | $78 | 59 |
| 1403 4th Ave NW | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,140 (-2%) | 8mo | $263,500 | $231 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $29,028
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 35.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $81,471
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56721
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,644 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,268/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $684
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $735 | -5% $710 | +0% $684 | +5% $659 | +10% $633 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $554 | -5% $619 | +0% $684 | +5% $749 | +10% $814 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $729 | -0.5pp $707 | base $684 | +0.5pp $661 | +1.0pp $637 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 N 4th St Grand Forks, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,345 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 674-char remark
-
2026-05-11$89,900 Active 674-char remark
-
1998-10-28soldstatus 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
NEWER WINDOWS, ROOF, GFA FURNACE. VERY WELL MAINTAINED 3 BEDROOM PLUS MAIN FLOOR DEN & 2 BATHS. NEUTRAL DECOR THROUGHOUT. BEAUTIFUL LARGE FENCED BACK YARD PLUS ATTACHED GARAGE. A MUST SEE!
-
1998-10-28soldstatus $71,700
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
NEWER WINDOWS, ROOF, GFA FURNACE. VERY WELL MAINTAINED 3 BEDROOM PLUS MAIN FLOOR DEN & 2 BATHS. NEUTRAL DECOR THROUGHOUT. BEAUTIFUL LARGE FENCED BACK YARD PLUS ATTACHED GARAGE. A MUST SEE!
-
1998-09-14$72,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
NEWER WINDOWS, ROOF, GFA FURNACE. VERY WELL MAINTAINED 3 BEDROOM PLUS MAIN FLOOR DEN & 2 BATHS. NEUTRAL DECOR THROUGHOUT. BEAUTIFUL LARGE FENCED BACK YARD PLUS ATTACHED GARAGE. A MUST SEE!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,268 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,268 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,268
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,578
- − Management
- −$1,578
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $7,203
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,729
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Grand Forks Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711130
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,956
- Composite
- 39.6/100
- National rank
- #3924
- State rank
- #168 of 301 in MN
Livability — East Grand Forks
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #3598
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Grand Forks, MN
- County
- Polk County · 10,679 people
- City population
- 10,679
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,679
- Household income
- $82,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 276.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,123 people
- By 2030
- 30,720 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 29,806 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 29,022 · -6.8%
- By 2075
- 27,972 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 26,953 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 31% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.3% · R 66.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.89%
- Current HPI
- 176.3062
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+23.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — GFAAR
- 2026-05-11 Listed $89,900 GFAAR
- 1998-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $71,700 Public Records
- 1998-10-28 Sold (MLS) — GFAAR
- 1998-09-14 Listed $72,900 GFAAR
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,268 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…