Barrett Plan · Temple, TX 76502

$268,600

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,604 sqft · SingleFamily · 139 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +7.0/30.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• 1% rule +1.9/10.0
• DSCR +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Barrett Floor Plan - 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home with Open Living Space and Covered Patio The Barrett floor plan by Omega Builders offers a thoughtfully designed layout featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage, encompassing 1,604 square feet of comfortable living space. This single-story home boasts an open-concept living area, seamlessly connecting the spacious family room, dining area, and modern kitchen, creating an ideal environment for both daily living and entertaining. The covered patio extends the living space outdoors, perfect for relaxing evenings or weekend gatherings. Each of the three secondary bedrooms provides ample space and versatility, accommodating family members, guests, or a home office setup. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a well-appointed bathroom and generous closet space. The Barrett floor plan combines functionality and style, making it an excellent choice for families seeking a new home in Central Texas.

Key facts

• Dining area
• Covered patio
• Open living space

Tags

• OPEN LIVING SPACE
• COVERED PATIO
• THOUGHTFULLY DESIGNED LAYOUT
• MODERN KITCHEN
• SPACIOUS FAMILY ROOM
• DINING AREA

🏗️ New construction. The $268,600 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $274,787.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-406 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (19.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (29.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $189k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D+.
• Temple ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #590 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 1312 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $188,981 (29.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.69% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.52%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.33%
• DSCR: 0.72
• GRM: 12.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $274,787
• List price: $268,600
• Delta: -2.25%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2042 Yarrelton Dr	0.11mi	4/2.0	1,536 (-4%)	9mo	$265,000	$173	81
1621 Cedar River Ln	0.44mi	4/2.0	1,603 (-0%)	7mo	$295,000	$184	74
3722 Oglala Trl	0.63mi	4/2.0	1,683 (+5%)	2mo	$304,500	$181	61
3707 Mccleland Creek Trl	0.52mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,600 (-0%)	11mo	$280,000	$175	61
3512 Oglala Trl	0.73mi	4/2.0	1,659 (+3%)	0mo	$259,000	$156	60
1518 Flatland Trl	0.55mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,505 (-6%)	3mo	$284,000	$189	56
1522 Curlew Ln	0.68mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,565 (-2%)	4mo	$270,000	$173	55
1623 Fiddle Wood Way	0.57mi	4/3.0	1,771 (+10%)	1mo	$290,000	$164	51
3804 Oglala Trl	0.62mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,473 (-8%)	3mo	$279,000	$189	50
1410 Flatland Trl	0.61mi	4/3.0	1,777 (+11%)	2mo	$310,000	$174	48
1619 Flatland Trl	0.49mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,400 (-13%)	5mo	$180,100	$129	47
3714 Oglala	0.64mi	3/3.0 (-1)	1,473 (-8%)	9mo	$279,200	$190	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -30.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.01×
• Total profit: $-75,898
• Equity at exit: $40,972

10-year hold

• IRR: -52.7%
• Equity multiple: -0.57×
• Total profit: $-120,678
• Equity at exit: $23,759

Cash invested: $76,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 59 active · 13 under contract
• Months of supply: 27.2 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $259,000 ($163/sqft)
• Median days on market: 122 d
• This list price: 66% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +5.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 76502

• Rents YoY: -0.8%
• Active inventory: 1312
• Price-to-rent: 11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,890 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,441
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$343 /mo · $4,122/yr
• Insurance: −$114
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$397
• Net cashflow: $-406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,404

Max offer price $216,032

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-216	-5% $-311	+0% $-406	+5% $-501	+10% $-596
Rent	-10% $-555	-5% $-481	+0% $-406	+5% $-331	+10% $-257
Rate	-1.0pp $-268	-0.5pp $-336	base $-406	+0.5pp $-477	+1.0pp $-550

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $68,697
• Closing costs: $8,244
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 27 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4926 Bellfalls Ct Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1320	$3,900	$2.95	93d	1	0.36mi
3703 McCleland Creek Trl Temple, TX	4.0	2.0	1621	$4,950	$3.05	72d	1	0.53mi
3703 McCleland Creek Trl Temple, TX	4.0	2.0	1621	$4,950	$3.05	93d	1	0.53mi
1607 Sideoats Ln Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1533	$1,899	$1.24	93d	1	0.56mi
1503 Sideoats Ln Temple, TX	4.0	3.0	1830	$1,795	$0.98	72d	1	0.61mi
1423 Fiddle Wood Way Temple, TX	4.0	2.0	1878	$1,950	$1.04	93d	1	0.66mi
1614 Curlew Ln Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1528	$1,795	$1.17	63d	1	0.66mi
1423 Curlew Ln Temple, TX	4.0	2.0	1603	$1,875	$1.17	93d	1	0.70mi
1526 Black Kettle Trl Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1413	$1,750	$1.24	93d	1	0.73mi
1907 Delano Dr Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1265	$1,700	$1.34	70d	1	0.77mi
1909 Euclid Dr Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1616	$1,600	$0.99	72d	1	0.82mi
2072 Dade Loop Unit DADE2072 Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1257	$1,535	$1.22	63d	1	0.84mi
2152 Meridian Loop Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1359	$1,700	$1.25	63d	1	0.93mi
1622 Lummus Dr Temple, TX	3.0	2.5	1518	$1,600	$1.05	93d	1	0.94mi
1551 Case Rd Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1315	$1,600	$1.22	93d	1	0.97mi
1515 Case Rd Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1315	$1,600	$1.22	72d	1	1.03mi
108 McFaddan Ln Temple, TX	4.0	2.0	1799	$1,795	$1.00	93d	1	1.20mi
1418 Eaton Dr Temple, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0	1529	$2,145	$1.40	63d	13	1.23mi
2509 Elk Creek St Temple, TX	4.0	2.0	1740	$1,825	$1.05	72d	1	1.23mi
216 Pullman Place Blvd Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1206	$1,600	$1.33	93d	1	1.27mi
105 Pullman Place Blvd Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1458	$1,675	$1.15	63d	1	1.35mi
208A Andy Ln Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,395	$1.07	93d	1	1.42mi
212A Andy Ln Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,395	$1.07	93d	1	1.44mi
2420 Alterman Dr Unit A Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	1335	$1,325	$0.99	72d	1	1.48mi
6506 Ambrose Cir Temple, TX	3.0	2.5	2150	$2,600	$1.21	93d	1	1.48mi
5106 Whistle Stop Dr Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	2040	$1,950	$0.96	70d	1	1.49mi
5106 Whistle Stop Dr Temple, TX	3.0	2.0	2040	$2,050	$1.00	93d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $268,600 Active 139 DOM
2. 2026-08-07
   days on market $268,600 Active 138 DOM
3. 2026-08-06
   days on market $268,600 Active 137 DOM
4. 2026-08-05
   days on market $268,600 Active 136 DOM
5. 2026-08-04
   days on market $268,600 Active 135 DOM
6. 2026-08-03
   days on market $268,600 Active 134 DOM
7. 2026-07-31
   days on market $268,600 Active 131 DOM
8. 2026-07-30
   days on market $268,600 Active 130 DOM
9. 2026-07-29
   days on market $268,600 Active 129 DOM
10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $268,600 Active 127 DOM
11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $268,600 Active 125 DOM
12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $268,600 Active 124 DOM
13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $268,600 Active 123 DOM
14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $268,600 Active 122 DOM
15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $268,600 Active 121 DOM
16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $268,600 Active 118 DOM
17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $268,600 Active 116 DOM
18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $268,600 Active 115 DOM
19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $268,600 Active 114 DOM
20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $268,600 Active 113 DOM
21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $268,600 Active 112 DOM
22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $268,600 Active 111 DOM
23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $268,600 Active 110 DOM
24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $268,600 Active 109 DOM
25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $268,600 Active 108 DOM
26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $268,600 Active 107 DOM
27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $268,600 Active 106 DOM
28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $268,600 Active 105 DOM
29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $268,600 Active 104 DOM
30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $268,600 Active 103 DOM
31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $268,600 Active 102 DOM
32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $268,600 Active 101 DOM
33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $268,600 Active 100 DOM
34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $268,600 Active 99 DOM
35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $268,600 Active 98 DOM
36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $268,600 Active 97 DOM
37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $268,600 Active 96 DOM
38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $268,600 Active 94 DOM
39. 2026-06-23
    days on market $268,600 Active 92 DOM
40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $268,600 Active 91 DOM
41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $268,600 Active 88 DOM
42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $268,600 Active 87 DOM
43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $268,600 Active 86 DOM
44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $268,600 Active 85 DOM
45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $268,600 Active 83 DOM
46. 2026-06-10
    days on market $268,600 Active 80 DOM
47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $268,600 Active 79 DOM
48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $268,600 Active 78 DOM
49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $268,600 Active 77 DOM
50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $268,600 Active 73 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,678
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,392
• − Property taxes: −$4,122
• − Insurance: −$1,374
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,814
• − Management: −$1,814
• − Depreciation: −$7,994
• Taxable loss: −$9,833
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,360
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,513/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Barrett floor plan by Omega Builders is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a good layout, ideal for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑

F Composite school gradezoned avg 34/100

Zoned Schools

Middle Travis Science Academy F TX #892/1,662 Nat'l #7,813/14,009

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Temple ISD
• NCES district ID: 4842330
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $43,120
• Composite: 26.8/100
• National rank: #7123
• State rank: #590 of 826 in TX

B Composite livability gradescore 75/100

Livability — Temple

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #122
• US rank: #3814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Temple, TX
• County: Bell County · 371,114 people
• City population: 96,587
• Metro: Killeen-Temple, TX
• Population (ZIP): 52,669
• Household income: $82,088
• Rent vs Own: 35.9% rent · 64.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 9% of renters

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Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 371,114 people
• By 2030: 389,104 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 420,592 · +13.3%
• By 2050: 447,779 · +20.7%
• By 2075: 499,130 · +34.5%
• By 2100: 505,680 · +36.3%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 58% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, South Korea, China
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Bell

• 2024 margin: R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -216.80%
• Current HPI: 166.927
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.79%
• Metro: Killeen-Temple, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-22 Listed $268,600 Zillow