🏗️ New Construction
Barrett Plan · Temple, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$268,600
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Barrett Floor Plan - 4-Bedroom, 2-Bathroom Home with Open Living Space and Covered Patio The Barrett floor plan by Omega Builders offers a thoughtfully designed layout featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage, encompassing 1,604 square feet of comfortable living space. This single-story home boasts an open-concept living area, seamlessly connecting the spacious family room, dining area, and modern kitchen, creating an ideal environment for both daily living and entertaining. The covered patio extends the living space outdoors, perfect for relaxing evenings or weekend gatherings. Each of the three secondary bedrooms provides ample space and versatility, accommodating family members, guests, or a home office setup. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a well-appointed bathroom and generous closet space. The Barrett floor plan combines functionality and style, making it an excellent choice for families seeking a new home in Central Texas.
Key facts
- Dining area
- Covered patio
- Open living space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-334 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (15.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (26.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.7% in Temple — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D+.
- Temple ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #590 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 1512 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 117d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.22%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,357
- List price
- $268,600
- Delta
- -2.10%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2042 Yarrelton Dr | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,536 (-4%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $173 | 79 |
| 1621 Cedar River Ln | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,603 (-0%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $184 | 72 |
| 3722 Oglala Trl | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,683 (+5%) | 3mo | $304,500 | $181 | 60 |
| 3707 Mccleland Creek Trl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-0%) | 13mo | $280,000 | $175 | 60 |
| 3512 Oglala Trl | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,659 (+3%) | 2mo | $259,000 | $156 | 59 |
| 1518 Flatland Trl | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,505 (-6%) | 4mo | $284,000 | $189 | 55 |
| 1522 Curlew Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,565 (-2%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $173 | 54 |
| 1623 Fiddle Wood Way | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 1,771 (+10%) | 3mo | $290,000 | $164 | 50 |
| 3804 Oglala Trl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,473 (-8%) | 4mo | $279,000 | $189 | 49 |
| 1410 Flatland Trl | 0.61mi | 4/3.0 | 1,777 (+11%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $174 | 47 |
| 1619 Flatland Trl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-13%) | 7mo | $180,100 | $129 | 45 |
| 3714 Oglala | 0.64mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,473 (-8%) | 11mo | $279,200 | $190 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-71,522
- Equity at exit
- $40,908
- IRR
- -45.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.46×
- Total profit
- $-111,974
- Equity at exit
- $23,721
Cash invested: $76,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 71 active · 18 under contract
- Months of supply
- 30.4 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $258,650 ($163/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 114 d
- This list price
- 68% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76502
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 1512
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,977 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,439
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$343 /mo · $4,115/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $-334
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-145 | -5% $-240 | +0% $-334 | +5% $-429 | +10% $-524 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-491 | -5% $-413 | +0% $-334 | +5% $-256 | +10% $-178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-196 | -0.5pp $-265 | base $-334 | +0.5pp $-406 | +1.0pp $-478 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,589
- Closing costs
- $8,231
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2037 Yarrelton Dr Temple, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1789 | $2,195 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2034 Zabcikville Dr Temple, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1876 | $1,980 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4803 Bellfalls Ct Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1883 | $1,995 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1905 Westphalia Dr Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,895 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4926 Bellfalls Ct Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $3,900 | $2.95 | 139d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3711 McCleland Creek Trl Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 6d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3703 McCleland Creek Trl Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $4,550 | $2.81 | 6d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3703 McCleland Creek Trl Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $4,950 | $3.05 | 139d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1619 Sideoats Ln Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1607 Sideoats Ln Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $1,899 | $1.24 | 139d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1503 Sideoats Ln Temple, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1830 | $1,795 | $0.98 | 119d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1423 Fiddle Wood Way Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1878 | $1,950 | $1.04 | 139d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1614 Curlew Ln Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,795 | $1.17 | 109d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1615 Black Kettle Trl Temple, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1777 | $2,050 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1423 Curlew Ln Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $1,875 | $1.17 | 139d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1526 Black Kettle Trl Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 139d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3050 Dade Loop Unit DADE3050 Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,695 | $1.12 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1907 Delano Dr Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 117d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1909 Euclid Dr Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $1,600 | $0.99 | 119d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1905 Euclid Dr Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,595 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2072 Dade Loop Unit DADE2072 Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $1,535 | $1.22 | 109d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2152 Meridian Loop Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $1,700 | $1.25 | 109d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1622 Lummus Dr Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1518 | $1,600 | $1.05 | 139d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1551 Case Rd Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 139d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1515 Case Rd Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 119d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 108 McFaddan Ln Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1799 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 139d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1418 Eaton Dr Temple, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $2,199 | $1.44 | 0d | 11 | 1.23mi |
| 2509 Elk Creek St Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $1,825 | $1.05 | 119d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 216 Pullman Place Blvd Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 105 Pullman Place Blvd Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 6d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 208A Andy Ln Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 139d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 212A Andy Ln Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 139d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2420 Alterman Dr Unit A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,325 | $0.99 | 119d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6506 Ambrose Cir Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $2,600 | $1.21 | 139d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5106 Whistle Stop Dr Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2040 | $2,050 | $1.00 | 139d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 5106 Whistle Stop Dr Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2040 | $1,950 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2416 Alterman Dr Unit B Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,395 | $1.06 | 6d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $268,600 Active 186 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $268,600 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $268,600 Active 184 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $268,600 Active 183 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $268,600 Active 182 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $268,600 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $268,600 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $268,600 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $268,600 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $268,600 Active 176 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $268,600 Active 175 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $268,600 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $268,600 Active 173 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $268,600 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $268,600 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $268,600 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $268,600 Active 162 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $268,600 Active 161 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $268,600 Active 160 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $268,600 Active 159 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $268,600 Active 158 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $268,600 Active 156 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $268,600 Active 155 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $268,600 Active 154 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $268,600 Active 153 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $268,600 Active 152 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $268,600 Active 151 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $268,600 Active 150 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $268,600 Active 149 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $268,600 Active 148 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $268,600 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $268,600 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $268,600 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $268,600 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $268,600 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $268,600 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $268,600 Active 141 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $268,600 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $268,600 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $268,600 Active 138 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $268,600 Active 137 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $268,600 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $268,600 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $268,600 Active 134 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $268,600 Active 131 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $268,600 Active 130 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $268,600 Active 129 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $268,600 Active 127 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $268,600 Active 125 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $268,600 Active 124 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,368
- − Property taxes
- −$4,115
- − Insurance
- −$1,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,898
- − Management
- −$1,898
- − Depreciation
- −$7,981
- Taxable loss
- −$8,912
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,139
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This Barrett floor plan by Omega Builders is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a good layout, ideal for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Temple ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842330
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,120
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7123
- State rank
- #590 of 826 in TX
Livability — Temple
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #3814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Temple, TX
- County
- Bell County · 371,114 people
- City population
- 96,587
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,669
- Household income
- $82,088
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 371,114 people
- By 2030
- 389,104 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 420,592 · +13.3%
- By 2050
- 447,779 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 499,130 · +34.5%
- By 2100
- 505,680 · +36.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bell
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -216.80%
- Current HPI
- 166.927
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.79%
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Listed $268,600 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…