86-70 Francis Lewis Blvd Unit A46 · New York, NY 11427

$265,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Condo · 152 Days on market

Built 1954

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Cash flow +3.2/30.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to Hilltop Village, where you will find this tasteful and well-designed 2-bedroom apartment. The home features a spacious kitchen and a formal dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. An oversized living room fills with natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Both bedrooms offer generous space and ample closets for all storage needs. Thoughtfully laid out and full of potential, this unit is ready for you to make it your own. The coop is conveniently located near schools, shops, and transportation.

Key facts

• Formal dining room
• Spacious kitchen
• Ample closets

Tags

• SPACIOUS KITCHEN
• FORMAL DINING ROOM
• OVERSIZED LIVING ROOM
• AMPLE CLOSETS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No carport; Parking waitlist
• Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas connected; Sewer available
• Home design: Stock cooperative
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Convection oven; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Entry level: 4
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Wall/window air conditioning units; Other heating
• Interior features: Other interior features; No pets allowed

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-831 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (0.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $135k; list at $265k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $233,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.00% ✗
• Cap rate: 2.53%
• Cash-on-cash: -13.44%
• DSCR: 0.40
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -41.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.28×
• Total profit: $-95,149
• Equity at exit: $39,512

10-year hold

• IRR: -63.7%
• Equity multiple: -1.00×
• Total profit: $-148,116
• Equity at exit: $22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11427

• Active inventory: 113
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,642 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,390
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
• Insurance: −$110
• HOA est. from 1 same-building comp: −$1,087
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$555
• Net cashflow: $-831

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,694

Max offer price $144,778

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $66,250
• Closing costs: $7,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 13 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
222-40 92nd Rd Unit 2nd Floor Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	1120	$3,400	$3.04	14d	1	0.63mi
214-83 Jamaica Ave Unit 2R Queens Village, NY	1.0	1.0	650	$2,100	$3.23	24d	1	0.89mi
220-13 Jamaica Ave Queens Village, NY	2.0	1.0	800	$2,400	$3.00	21d	1	0.90mi
8827 208th St Queens Village, NY	1.0	1.0	640	$1,900	$2.97	24d	1	0.91mi
6747 222nd St Oakland Gardens, NY	3.0	1.0	924	$2,700	$2.92	2d	1	1.09mi
206-03 Jamaica Ave Unit 2ND Queens Village, NY	1.0	1.0	630	$2,696	$4.28	24d	1	1.21mi
232-15 67th Ave Unit 1FL Flushing, NY	2.0	2.0	900	$2,900	$3.22	4d	1	1.27mi
76-37 Commonwealth Blvd Unit 2 Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	641	$2,200	$3.43	24d	1	1.32mi
8737 Marengo St #1 Hollis, NY	1.0	1.0	720	$1,950	$2.71	11d	1	1.32mi
245-24 77th Cres Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	785	$2,600	$3.31	19d	1	1.34mi
246-17 Union Tpke Unit A Bellerose, NY	3.0	1.0	799	$3,200	$4.01	24d	1	1.37mi
248-15 89th Ave Unit 2nd Queens, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	1d	1	1.38mi
197-10 Foothill Ave Unit 1st floor Jamaica, NY	3.0	2.0	1100	$3,600	$3.27	6d	1	1.39mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-03
   status Pending
2. 2025-12-01
   listed $265,000 Active
3. 2013-08-05
   soldstatus $135,000
4. 2013-02-18
   listed $150,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,709
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,844
• − Property taxes: −$3,975
• − Insurance: −$1,325
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,537
• − Management: −$2,537
• − HOA: −$13,044
• − Depreciation: −$7,709
• Taxable loss: −$14,261
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,423
• After-tax cash flow: $-6,547/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 24,607
• Household income: $88,980
• Rent vs Own: 37.0% rent · 63.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 811.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
• Race & ethnicity: Asian 37% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 14% Two or more races 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 51% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 49% English-only · Other Indo-European 16% Spanish 14% Tagalog/Filipino 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -436.66%
• Current HPI: 297.7969
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+76.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-01 Listed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-08-05 Sold (MLS) $135,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-02-18 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid