3415 S 149th EastAvenue · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity in Broken Arrow school district. Recently updated w/ new flooring, new fixtures, new paint, newer roof. New french doors, New sliding doors in master bedroom w/ private deck. New quartz counter tops thru out. Open living concept w/ wood burning fireplace. Ultra contemporary design w/ both front and back yard decks. Qualifying neighborhood for special financing.
Key facts
- Open living concept
- Quartz counter tops
- 7,923 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community features include gutters and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with workshop and shelving; 2 garage spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces west; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built per public records; Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch; Rain gutters; Full privacy fencing; Mature trees on lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Range/Stove; Quartz and stone counters
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath, separate closets and walk-in closet (First floor); Additional bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom with bathtub (First floor); Hall full bathroom (First floor)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric and Gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; High ceilings; Vaulted ceiling(s); Ceiling fan(s); High speed internet available; Wired for data; Cable TV available; Quartz counters; Stone counters; Electric oven and range connections
- Laundry & utility: Utility room inside and separate (First floor); Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-125/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (13.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Broken Arrow (suburban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #79 of 270 in OK (top 29%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 195 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.23%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $250,826
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14803 E 33rd Pl | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+0%) | 1mo | $115,623 | $76 | 93 |
| 15035 E 35th Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+1%) | 4mo | $223,000 | $146 | 86 |
| 15119 E 35th St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-6%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $123 | 80 |
| 14810 E 37th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-0%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $166 | 79 |
| 3437 S 148th EastAvenue | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,349 (-11%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $107 | 71 |
| 3743 S 153rd Ave E | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (-5%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $168 | 64 |
| 3740 S 150th EastAvenue | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,423 (-6%) | 7mo | $256,350 | $180 | 63 |
| 14811 E 32nd St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-15%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $160 | 62 |
| 14827 E 39th St S | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-6%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $176 | 62 |
| 14715 E 39th St S | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-6%) | 3mo | $259,999 | $183 | 62 |
| 3938 S 148th EastPlace | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 4mo | $269,900 | $185 | 61 |
| 3711 S 151st East Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,690 (+12%) | 7mo | $259,000 | $153 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-31,344
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-24,344
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74134
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 195
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,695 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$245 /mo · $2,945/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $-10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $100 | -5% $45 | +0% $-10 | +5% $-66 | +10% $-121 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-144 | -5% $-77 | +0% $-10 | +5% $57 | +10% $123 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $88 | -0.5pp $39 | base $-10 | +0.5pp $-61 | +1.0pp $-112 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14826 E 39th St S Tulsa, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $1,980 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3208 S 137th East Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,578 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13809 E 27th Pl Tulsa, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $1,785 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 13102 E 30th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,395 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 13102 E 30th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,395 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2336 S 137th East Ave Tulsa, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $1,499 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3311 S 126th East Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $195,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-22$195,000 Active
-
2023-01-06soldstatus $190,000
-
2023-01-05soldstatus $190,000 Closed 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Excellent opportunity in Broken Arrow school district. Recently updated w/ new flooring, new fixtures, new paint, newer roof. New french doors, New sliding doors in master bedroom w/ private deck. New quartz counter tops thru out. Open living concept w/ wood burning fireplace. Ultra contemporary design w/ both front and back yard decks. Qualifying neighborhood for special financing.
-
2022-11-21status Pending 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Excellent opportunity in Broken Arrow school district. Recently updated w/ new flooring, new fixtures, new paint, newer roof. New french doors, New sliding doors in master bedroom w/ private deck. New quartz counter tops thru out. Open living concept w/ wood burning fireplace. Ultra contemporary design w/ both front and back yard decks. Qualifying neighborhood for special financing.
-
2022-11-15$190,000 Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Excellent opportunity in Broken Arrow school district. Recently updated w/ new flooring, new fixtures, new paint, newer roof. New french doors, New sliding doors in master bedroom w/ private deck. New quartz counter tops thru out. Open living concept w/ wood burning fireplace. Ultra contemporary design w/ both front and back yard decks. Qualifying neighborhood for special financing.
-
2017-01-30soldstatus $95,500
-
2017-01-27soldstatus $95,500 Closed 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity in Broken Arrow Schools. Unique Open Floorplan w/ Vaulted Living Room. Tons of Natural Light. New Interior Paint. Close to Schools/Shopping.
-
2016-12-22status Pending 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity in Broken Arrow Schools. Unique Open Floorplan w/ Vaulted Living Room. Tons of Natural Light. New Interior Paint. Close to Schools/Shopping.
-
2016-12-05price $103,500 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity in Broken Arrow Schools. Unique Open Floorplan w/ Vaulted Living Room. Tons of Natural Light. New Interior Paint. Close to Schools/Shopping.
-
2016-11-08$105,000 Active 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity in Broken Arrow Schools. Unique Open Floorplan w/ Vaulted Living Room. Tons of Natural Light. New Interior Paint. Close to Schools/Shopping.
-
2014-08-18historical
-
2014-06-30$124,500
-
1998-12-11soldstatus $73,000
-
1993-06-01soldstatus $64,500
-
1993-02-24$66,500
-
1992-11-02$66,500
-
1992-07-25historical
-
1992-01-25$67,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,945 · $245/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,945 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,945
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,627
- − Management
- −$1,627
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$3,433
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$824
- After-tax cash flow
- $699/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broken Arrow
- NCES district ID
- 4005490
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,646
- Composite
- 23.86/100
- National rank
- #7801
- State rank
- #79 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,323
- Household income
- $73,119
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 608.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 10% Asian 7% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.07%
- Current HPI
- 198.7031
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.52%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+187.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $195,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-05 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-11-21 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-11-15 Listed $190,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2017-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $95,500 Public Records
- 2017-01-27 Sold (MLS) $95,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-12-22 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-12-05 Price Changed $103,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-11-08 Listed $105,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-08-18 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-06-30 Listed $124,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1998-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 1993-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 1993-02-24 Listed $66,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1992-11-02 Listed $66,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1992-07-25 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1992-01-25 Listed $67,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,945 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…